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Fall Banter & General Discussion/Observations


CapturedNature

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

It's not just you. 75% of the plates I saw yesterday were M***holes. I'm prettty confident the excessive frictional drag has pulled the dews north. I'm actually enjoying it out there. It feels like Key West in the late fall with warm muggies, a nice breeze, and meh solar.

Why can't they hook their trailer hitches to the warm front in the spring and drag it north?

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Rainfall from Nate`s remnants come in two waves. After a brief
period of subsidence early this evening a modest warm front and
attendant warm front will shift N ahead of Nate which continues
a rapid acceleration NNE and goes through extra-tropical
transition. Strong H85 50-60kt LLJ shifts mainly through NY and
into N New England along with secondary moisture increase with
PWATS 2.00-2.25 inches after the lull. Band of mod/heavy
rainfall with high TT shifts N late tonight and pushes into New
England during the early AM hours Mon. Latest guidance trend
continues to shift this initial axis NW of S New England, and as
such have trended POPs through Mon morning toward this thinking.
In fact some mesoscale guidance keeps the bulk of all rainfall
with this warm advective precip out of S New England. Something
to monitor over the next 12-24 hours.

 

AWT

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i'm wondering if some sort of disease swathed through the tree-scape down this way ...  I have one of those 250 year old Sugar maples on my property line with the neighbors, and it's always turned at the same time...every year...right around Oct 10 - flushes over in three days with this exceptional orange illumination that almost hurts the eyes when peering up at it with the sun at your back.  the yard and the light passing through the windows on that side of the house ... you could read a book by the tepid yellow reflected light.

tree.jpg.1b57efe40953e4696c56cb21b38dbe73.jpg

not this year... half the tree's leafs are down well prior to that date.  what remains is a hodgepodge of dullard green and browns mixed.  i'm wondering if there will be an orange flash at all this year.  weird. 


Tar spot on maples has been bad in many places this year and causes that
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Full sun after the last showers went through.  77/71.   Glad there is a nice breeze.  Noticed dews in VT have fallen and wonder if they will advect east into Central NH so at least I can get a nice sleeping night before the tropics try to return tomorrow.

Seems like the models want to get the remanents of Nate a bit stronger.  The Weatherbell Euro gust product has a 2 separate areas of 35-45mph winds tomorrow.  South shore and then S VT and S/C NH.  Don't know how accurate that will be but looks like a dark, windy and rainy day especially up here closer to the low center...

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2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Rainfall from Nate`s remnants come in two waves. After a brief
period of subsidence early this evening a modest warm front and
attendant warm front will shift N ahead of Nate which continues
a rapid acceleration NNE and goes through extra-tropical
transition. Strong H85 50-60kt LLJ shifts mainly through NY and
into N New England along with secondary moisture increase with
PWATS 2.00-2.25 inches after the lull. Band of mod/heavy
rainfall with high TT shifts N late tonight and pushes into New
England during the early AM hours Mon. Latest guidance trend
continues to shift this initial axis NW of S New England, and as
such have trended POPs through Mon morning toward this thinking.
In fact some mesoscale guidance keeps the bulk of all rainfall
with this warm advective precip out of S New England. Something
to monitor over the next 12-24 hours.

 

AWT

This doesn't look as bad as that AFD makes it out to be.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km&region=neus&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2017100818&fh=3&xpos=0&ypos=22.91666603088379

 

 

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46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

May not need to uninstall. Just leave em in..1-2 months of temps in the 30's, 40's 50's. Can deal with a little chill coming in windows till retorch Feb/Morch

Maybe 1-2 months in 40's and 50's. Unless you're talking about low temps you're not going to see highs in the 30's for more than an odd day here and there in January.

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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Got up to 75F up here which is amazing this time of year (our average high this past August was 75F, so August type day).  Dews fell into the 50s though after the front around 11am so not humid.

68/56 this evening.  Similar to most nights in July and August.  

https://twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/917122253086699522

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3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Got up to 75F up here which is amazing this time of year (our average high this past August was 75F, so August type day).  Dews fell into the 50s though after the front around 11am so not humid.

68/56 this evening.  Similar to most nights in July and August.  

look up Oct 95 at BTV

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