Brian5671 Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 Doesnt really matter for me, I'm in bed long before either time-I just check it in the morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 It’s pretty funny but you just know what “analogs” are going to be used in the fall based on whether we have an El Niño or a La Niña. El Niño: 57-58, 02-03, 09-10 La Niña: 95-96, 10-11, 13-14. Without fail, those analogs come out, everytime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 59 minutes ago, snowman19 said: It’s pretty funny but you just know what “analogs” are going to be used in the fall based on whether we have an El Niño or a La Niña. El Niño: 57-58, 02-03, 09-10 La Niña: 95-96, 10-11, 13-14. Without fail, those analogs come out, everytime 93-94, 77-78 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted November 2, 2017 Author Share Posted November 2, 2017 Bitcoin is $6,773 right now buy it before it goes to 50,000 soon bitcoin will start moving a $1,000 a day! right now it's been averaging a couple of hundred a day! Edit: 54 minutes later it's $6915 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 7 hours ago, Brian5671 said: and imagine the sunrise times in western areas of the time zone...9am? LOL. Nothing is going to change. Hard to have one state change and the other stay etc etc. DST to EST and back to DST is not going anywhere anytime soon. Agreed. Been to Ohio now and then, and in late June at 9:40 PM I'd say the sky looks like it does here at 8:50 PM. Haven't been there in early January, but it must be tough getting out of bed there before 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted November 2, 2017 Author Share Posted November 2, 2017 toNY ➜ MID ATLANTIC NY PA NJ DE MD DC 42 minutes ago It's still very early in the game the cold is not building as well this fall but it is spreading faster. We could be in for a surorise winter. Also I believe that this winter will be just above normal when it comes to snow for the northeast area. NYC I'd say 42 inches, Philadelphia 31 D.C. 21 I gotta admit the stratospheric forcing is making the sun a bit less warmer. To sum things up we're right on schedule for winter. We just need upstate areas to get snow before us than we'll have a solid snowy winter. All you feens want snow in this website so have fun. And if everything works out well those snow estimates are on the low side! http://www.liveweatherblogs.com/index.php/community/profile/779-tony Check your city snow totals?!www.nerdwallet.com/blog/snowfall-totals-city/ Pam you getting some snow huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 8 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Doesnt really matter for me, I'm in bed long before either time-I just check it in the morning... Blasphemy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 With a final result of +7.2degs. for Oct., I estimate that Nov. only needs to be +3.5degs. for us to have the warmest Fall ever in NYC. In addition, during the last 50-day period, there were just 5 BN days. It must be 26 of the last 31 months that have been above normal now. No BN month is predicted anytime soon to boot. CFS gets us close in April/May before zooming again. Next BN month is going to be an accident, a mere atmospheric after-thought and miscue. btw: If those 5 BN days had occurred as a cluster, it would not even had made it to -3degs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, CIK62 said: With a final result of +7.2degs. for Oct., I estimate that Nov. only needs to be +3.5degs. for us to have the warmest Fall ever in NYC. In addition, during the last 50-day period, there were just 5 BN days. Really feels never ending. When I comment on how extreme this stretch has been to people at my office they seem to have no idea. Funny how quickly people acclimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 San Diego has gone 4 years without cooler-than-norm month. Last was Oct. 2013. May 2015 was exactly normal, all rest warmer #sandiegoweather 9:06 AM - 1 Nov 2017 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 I think we all see snow by the end of November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 I went to Harolds New York Deli last night in New Jersey with my family. The plates are huge I shared this with 2 other people 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 30 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I shared this with 2 other people Sure you did.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 17 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Sure you did.... That is way too much for 1 person to eat There are no small dishes in this place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 3 hours ago, Snowshack said: Really feels never ending. When I comment on how extreme this stretch has been to people at my office they seem to have no idea. Funny how quickly people acclimate. I remember Halloweens as a kid where most of the trees were bare-this year some remain green, and most are not bare. We blew away 2007's record warm Oct by more than a degree in some cases... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted November 2, 2017 Author Share Posted November 2, 2017 35 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: I remember Halloweens as a kid where most of the trees were bare-this year some remain green, and most are not bare. We blew away 2007's record warm Oct by more than a degree in some cases... Usually by thanksgiving trees are bare in the city. It's warm but fall is here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 The seasonal forecast rankings are in. The one common denominator is that the CFS and Euro are better at forecasting the PNA and EPO than the AO and NAO. But the CFS model is actually better than the Euro with its seasonal AO and NAO forecasts. Remember, the ECMWF seasonal is a different forecast system than the EPS which gets extended to weeklies twice a week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: I remember Halloweens as a kid where most of the trees were bare-this year some remain green, and most are not bare. We blew away 2007's record warm Oct by more than a degree in some cases... We had a pretty good leaf strip with the storm over the weekend here on the south shore. As in green leaves were ripped off. We are at least 2 weeks behind schedule with color change. I was sick and have been MIA so what’s up everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 1 hour ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Usually by thanksgiving trees are bare in the city. It's warm but fall is here I remember when leaves were still burned in piles on the city streets. Great aroma. Than street cleaning with alternate side of the street parking took effect. Well, at least leaf burning never seemed as dangerous as Christmas tree burning, common also 60+ years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 5 hours ago, Snowshack said: Really feels never ending. When I comment on how extreme this stretch has been to people at my office they seem to have no idea. Funny how quickly people acclimate. It's never ending because it has become the norm so people think that's how it's supposed to be. People don't really notice how extreme it is unless it's centered around winter or summer. People definitely noticed Dec 2015 and they'll definitely notice the next record warm July-August. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 On 10/31/2017 at 6:24 AM, JerseyWx said: Yeah, Spearfish has the most rapid temperature change ever recorded. In just two minutes it went from -4° to 45°. Loma, Montana has an incredible record as well, where it went from -54° to 49° in 24 hours. That's a 103° change! Can't forget Browning, Montana where it dropped from 44° to -56° in a day. Montana also holds the record for coldest temperature in the lower 48, which is -70° at Rogers Pass. Wow, those are the places where you can get all possible weather within an hour, any time of the year. Could you imagine that kind of temperature change? Must've been accompanied with some amazing winds too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 56 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's never ending because it has become the norm so people think that's how it's supposed to be. People don't really notice how extreme it is unless it's centered around winter or summer. People definitely noticed Dec 2015 and they'll definitely notice the next record warm July-August. Well I'm glad because my boiler still isn't fixed lol. With all this sunshine and humidity it feels like summer out there! I have my heat going lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 20 hours ago, snowman19 said: It’s pretty funny but you just know what “analogs” are going to be used in the fall based on whether we have an El Niño or a La Niña. El Niño: 57-58, 02-03, 09-10 La Niña: 95-96, 10-11, 13-14. Without fail, those analogs come out, everytime ENSO gets thrown out way too much as an influencer of our local climate- there are other factors that should be used. For example, I am going to use the fact that we are having the warmest fall on record and that alone is enough to convince me we're going to have a mild winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 On 10/31/2017 at 9:01 AM, bluewave said: That area is the high pressure record holder for the the US set on 12-24-83. I just remember how cold it was here. I read somewhere that our last truly anomalous arctic outbreak (2 SD) was in 1994. The three I remember the most were that one and Christmas Day 1980 and January 1985 (inauguration day.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 2pm- D/FW Airport has recorded 90 degrees. This is the first 90 degree temperature recorded at D/FW in the month of November. #dfwwx 12:01 PM - 2 Nov 2017 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 3 hours ago, Dakota said: Snowing beautifully now at 5:15 PM MDT / 23:15 GMT. Moderate snow / visibility about 1/2 mile. Temp has plummeted to 26 F as some heavier squalls move through. Ground whitened for the first time this season. Wind is light out of the east and east / southeast. As I said yesterday; since everything to My east is downhill; an east wind here should produce a nice orographic lift (upslope flow) and wring out the moisture; while last night's west winds (as most spots to My west are higher) were subject to adiabatic compressional warming & drying. "The laws of physics do not cease to exist due to a change in venue", to paraphrase my cousin Vinny. It is nice to see a minor accumulation for the first time this winter; as Larry Hirsch would say when the Devils would score their first goal of the game, "breaking the seal". Fred Shero and Larry were terrific together on WMCA. I feel like a little kitten who has found Her mittens; as My mood has swung back to the "Good Side" of the ledger... Biggest storms there are usually very early or late (by NY standards) I think your in for a very cold dry winter there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 3 hours ago, Dakota said: Snowing beautifully now at 5:15 PM MDT / 23:15 GMT. Moderate snow / visibility about 1/2 mile. Temp has plummeted to 26 F as some heavier squalls move through. Ground whitened for the first time this season. Wind is light out of the east and east / southeast. As I said yesterday; since everything to My east is downhill; an east wind here should produce a nice orographic lift (upslope flow) and wring out the moisture; while last night's west winds (as most spots to My west are higher) were subject to adiabatic compressional warming & drying. "The laws of physics do not cease to exist due to a change in venue", to paraphrase my cousin Vinny. It is nice to see a minor accumulation for the first time this winter; as Larry Hirsch would say when the Devils would score their first goal of the game, "breaking the seal". Fred Shero and Larry were terrific together on WMCA. I feel like a little kitten who has found Her mittens; as My mood has swung back to the "Good Side" of the ledger... Remember that devil's playoff game back in 1988 (I think), that had the replacement referees? I was at that game, I'll never forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, Dakota said: "Go eat another donut you.............." Schoenfeld went nuts. The funny thing is; Koharski was the best referee I've ever seen...even better than Kerry Fraser or Andy van Hellemond. I miss old time hockey...I had been a hockey fanatic since 10 years old..Starting last season, I don't really watch it anymore... I still follow it but get bored trying to watch it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 2 hours ago, Dakota said: "Go eat another donut you.............." Schoenfeld went nuts. The funny thing is; Koharski was the best referee I've ever seen...even better than Kerry Fraser or Andy van Hellemond. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 13 hours ago, Dakota said: Remember that the Entire Universe is predicated on precision mathematics; and it is from this concept….inexplicably & inextricably linked to hyper-dimensional physics….a tetrahedron inscribed in a sphere….upon which all things stand. That's why my world is so fkd up... Math and I have never played well together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now