psv88 Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Super excited for tonight’s cold. The reason being all the vegetation. I don’t think there has ever been such extreme cold with over 50% vegetation in the city and on the island. I fully expect sensitive trees to dump all there leaves tomorrow night. And the bugs. Lots of dead bugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 1st readings below 35, freezing, and likely 25 all in one day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 4 hours ago, Juliancolton said: That would be a terrible bet regardless of the month. I'd feel good about a sig snowfall though. Make it 4" and I'm in. No only 6". If it's such an amazing pattern it's a slam dunk. Easy money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 2 hours ago, Morris said: What a ripoff, this cheap midnight high. Yeah hate that . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 I better barometer for daily temperatures is an average of each days hourly temperature and the max/min added in...there were records kept like this a long time ago... https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-EB426BAC-CC7C-4B0E-B7EE-107BDFE88ABE.pdf 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 This weather blows. Bring back the heat. We only have two seasons now. It's incredible 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 32 minutes ago, psv88 said: This weather blows. Bring back the heat. We only have two seasons now. It's incredible It came on way too fast. If this was February I wouldn't mind. I'd gladly take 60s right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 My dog wont be happy about the last of my tomato plants dying tnite...damn dog stole like 100 grape tomatoes this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: My dog wont be happy about the last of my tomato plants dying tnite...damn dog stole like 100 grape tomatoes this year. I grew tomatoes yearly when I was young. I would always have to battle the green horn worms. They got to be real big and could strip kill a good healthy plant quickly. The birds were my natural ally. I recall seeing a Cardinal doing battle with one. The plant shook like it was in an earthquake until the bird, with the worm draped out of both sides of its beek, staggered into the air with dinner for the next week. Are they still a problem like they were fifty years ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 On 11/9/2017 at 5:37 PM, Juliancolton said: That would be a terrible bet regardless of the month. I'd feel good about a sig snowfall though. Make it 4" and I'm in. It's an entirely different world north and west. Driving tomorrow morning into the Poconos and I see reports that the one inch of snow that fell there a few days ago is still on the ground! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 5 hours ago, BxEngine said: My dog wont be happy about the last of my tomato plants dying tnite...damn dog stole like 100 grape tomatoes this year. Tell him that dogs are supposed to eat meat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 14 hours ago, uncle W said: I better barometer for daily temperatures is an average of each days hourly temperature and the max/min added in...there were records kept like this a long time ago... https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-EB426BAC-CC7C-4B0E-B7EE-107BDFE88ABE.pdf I actually had an idea to do that, I wonder why it isn't done like that anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Models backing off big time on the -NAO and huge blocking pattern. Gfs LR even has a massive ridge on east coast, thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Models backing off big time on the -NAO and huge blocking pattern. Gfs LR even has a massive ridge on east coast, thoughts? It might be a case of the model seeing the pattern change too early. I read that we're supposed to flip to a mild pattern starting in early December. Anything before that is likely wrong. We see the same thing happen when models forecast a change to a colder pattern- they tend to want to make it happen too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: It might be a case of the model seeing the pattern change too early. I read that we're supposed to flip to a mild pattern starting in early December. Anything before that is likely wrong. We see the same thing happen when models forecast a change to a colder pattern- they tend to want to make it happen too early. Outside of this outlier arctic cold shot, temps look near normal to at times AN (late next week). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Outside of this outlier arctic cold shot, temps look near normal to at times AN (late next week). The forecasts I saw last night talked about more arctic shots starting next weekend and lasting to the end of November and then a flip to warmer weather beginning in early December. Before next weekend we should be in the 50s. What does what you're looking at have for between November 20-30? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 3 hours ago, Paragon said: It's an entirely different world north and west. Driving tomorrow morning into the Poconos and I see reports that the one inch of snow that fell there a few days ago is still on the ground! It's not, it melted the next morning. You won't see any snow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Next 8 days averaging 44degs., or about 3degs. BN. Just under 25degs., (where it was all night, just about)here in CI now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Just now, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 44degs., or about 3degs. BN. Just under 25degs., (where it was all night, just about)here in CI now. Got anything for the November 20-30 period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 1 hour ago, Paragon said: Got anything for the November 20-30 period? Last 10 days of Nov. definitely favor BN by the CFS. First 10 days of Dec are a tossup, but BN is never positioned far from us. 'Next 45 Days' output actually shows BN for the first time in I do not know how long. btw: The EURO Weeklies reverse these two predictions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 19 hours ago, uncle W said: I better barometer for daily temperatures is an average of each days hourly temperature and the max/min added in...there were records kept like this a long time ago... https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-EB426BAC-CC7C-4B0E-B7EE-107BDFE88ABE.pdf Just curious for anyone who might know - the repeated references to 'city smoke' are interesting. Is that what we now would call smog? How would that be recorded today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 November 11th and theres already bickering over 1 or 2 degrees. Yay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 32 minutes ago, BxEngine said: November 11th and theres already bickering over 1 or 2 degrees. Yay. Just saw this post. Your mega block is gonna bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: Just saw this post. Your mega block is gonna bust. The only thing busting is that gif text i sent you lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, BxEngine said: The only thing busting is that gif text i sent you lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 December 1989 was just so phenomenally cold- I always think about how cold December 2010 was- but then I go look back at these records from 12/1989 GHCND_USW00004781_1989-12-1.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 That great lakes storm late next week could be a big driver in our upcoming blocking pattern for Turkey week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 The latest 10-day period, 40 runs, of the CFS Winter Forecast is hopeful. Cold now looks to invade south and cover 80% of the country, but not us....yet. Older runs showed only some hope in the Pacific NW .http://models.weatherbell.com/cfs/2017111118/noram/cfs_anom3_t2m_noram_201712_avg.php# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 13, 2017 Share Posted November 13, 2017 Utqiaġvik (Barrow) Zone 202 Coastal Flood Warnings and High Surf Advisories: 2017: 8 2016: 1 2015: 2 2014: 2 2013: 2 2012: 5 2011: 1 2010: 1 2009: 1 2008: 1 2007: 0 2006: 2 2005: 3 8:34 PM - 12 Nov 2017 Your weekly reminder: this is NOT normal. Coastal flood warnings Sunday AM from the Bering Strait to Point Barrow (areas in deep blue shading). And it's Nov 12th. With sea ice, this would be just another winter storm, But there isn't…#akwx #Arctic @Climatologist49 @DaveSnider pic.twitter.com/kP3CJ2lKXe 10:53 AM - 12 Nov 2017 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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