nzucker Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 25 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: You win. You're going to get all the snow way before us and lots of it. Any given town in the Dakota states have a way more extreme and colder winter pattern than ours. Have fun in 3 feet of snow and low of -14. Actually plenty of areas of the Dakotas average less snow than parts of the NYC metro. Exceptions being the higher elevations in the western parts of the state like the Badlands, the Black Hills, Theodore Roosevelt Natl Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 4 hours ago, Dakota said: That is extremely magnanimous of you "WeatherFeen"! To show My appreciation for your acquiescence and *also* allow you to share in the Dakota Experience; you are cordially invited to come up to the house so you can shovel My driveway... You will have to supply your own air fare and cab fare up to the house; but to show what a nice woman I am; I will supply the shovels as well as a free bowl of soup so you will have plenty of energy for work. It's an offer you can't refuse... William? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 1 hour ago, Dan76 said: William? Pam. Not William. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 Looks like the Black Hills area will live up to its reputation for big temperature swings this week. A welcome back to the board to our friend Dakota. RAPID CITY KRAP GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 10/21/2017 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SAT 21| SUN 22| MON 23| TUE 24| WED 25| THU 26| FRI 27| SAT 28 CLIMO X/N 61| 30 73| 41 63| 31 66| 39 72| 36 48| 24 52| 30 58 31 56 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 Every window open in the house by 11am on 10/21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 Anyone catch any meteors? I was out around 1 but had no luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 Bunch of monarchs flying from north to south down the block today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 52 minutes ago, Dakota said: Thinking back on all those debates I had with BW over GW; and factoring in the crazy hot anomalies the NY area has seen since Spring 2015 (as I keep abreast of the NYC weather even out here)...the gentleman may very well have had a point well taken. That March snow was a big disappointment for LI...but good N&W of the city...that must have been a heartbreaker cause the maps looked good the day before. I didn't fully re-locate until August; but I was back and forth at least 3 times prior; as I discovered the selling of a house is a difficult endeavor. Thank you for kindly receiving Me. It's great to hear from you again. I hope you enjoy your new home in such a gorgeous natural open space part of the country. No shortage of big temperature and weather swings out there. Should be an interesting learning experience getting acclimated to the different type of climate zone out there. http://www.weather.gov/unr/bhco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 Gfs trying to give us the cold beginning around Halloween and into November. A few shots of heavy rain as well with strong ridging east of New England and several lows coming up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 EURO 7-day avgs. of the ensemble 500mb heights never run BN here for the 46 days. November will closer to normal than Oct., but AN I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 Someday, I will get out to the Black Hills. My great-great grandmother is buried out near Lead, South Dakota..she died giving birth to one of my great grand fathers siblings around 1900. They had been living in the area since the 1890s. After her death, my great-great grandfather moved back east to Elizabeth, NJ. His descendants remain in North Jersey. I came across an old photo of them in a conestoga like wagon, simply incredible to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 33 minutes ago, Dakota said: By George, I think I've got it....after about 200 misfires. Looking south from the little deck outside the kitchen. As you see, I'm down near civilization...while My friend up in Deadwood is seriously out in the wilderness. How did you decide to move to that part of the country...friends,family? Best of luck and have fun. You should install a weather station there and put it online! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted October 21, 2017 Share Posted October 21, 2017 2 hours ago, Dakota said: I think I am the only person in the United States who does not know how to upload a photograph to the internet... When I bought My ruler at the WallMart yesterday; I bought a camera as well. I asked the guy what kind of film it uses; and he told Me that film is now obsolete and it all done differently nowadays. When I was younger, I remember taking Kodak pictures and bringing them to a kiosk to get developed; and you had to pay x number of dollars. I also had a Polaroid, and an instant picture would come out; but that still involved inserting film. I do not believe My telephone takes photographs (it might or might not); as it is an old time flip phone circa 2003. So the guy sold Me this "Sony Digital" for about $50; and I read the instructions (which were pretty clear and easy to understand) and after the battery got charged I took a picture from the deck outside of the kitchen looking across a little canyon. Then I put the little "memory chip" in the computer (that had been in the camera)...and the picture did end up "on the computer" in the saved area. But when I tried to put it on the message board, it said "too large a file" to upload. Then I googled "how to reduce a photo"...and I got some options like "JPEG reduce"...or something...and I'm still working on it... To paraphrase Patton, "God, I hate the (21st) Century" Except for Wikipedia & Google & YouTube...which are *really* neat... My Father used to tell Me that I am absolutely excellent in many arcane and esoteric areas that will earn Me no money; while I am somewhat deficient in the ordinary skills needed for life...and He is proven right yet again. I'm older,my love, therefore your the second. I am still mourning web tv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, Dakota said: I'm not so sure RC; for can thee put a number on Eternity? The hills you grace are eternal so why not you........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 33 minutes ago, Dakota said: I am at a loss for what to write; and that does not happen often. Thank you for speaking kindly to Me. That has not been a frequent experience during My life. How sad for those in your sphere who lost their chance. I will not lose mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Ran the CFS for its full 2040 hours and never saw it show a cold wave or a thrust south to us which held. Winter here is going to be a hit/run operation. No chance at 32 till 11/13-20 period which would be normal, but I am a liar. Even when a low of 32 is normal, it is a struggle here. Coldest was Jan. 5, run ends Jan. 14. Let's forget the specifics---just pointing out that there was no long lasting invasion of BN air. 5400THK rarely went south of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Read Larry Cosgrove's weekly newsletter tonight, in the final paragraph his the long range section he doesn't seem to be to excited about a big winter along the Eastern Seaboard but did say it it would be less "non-wintry" then last year. Something tells me when he releases his winter outlook it may be rather disappointing for our area and if I recall correctly his call for last winter was pretty good. But we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 36 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Read Larry Cosgrove's weekly newsletter tonight, in the final paragraph his the long range section he doesn't seem to be to excited about a big winter along the Eastern Seaboard but did say it it would be less "non-wintry" then last year. Something tells me when he releases his winter outlook it may be rather disappointing for our area and if I recall correctly his call for last winter was pretty good. But we will see. Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 7 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Link? Its sent via an email group. You have to subscribe to receive it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 5 hours ago, Dakota said: Here is the last one; gazing southwestward and away from the built-up areas. I think we have a good chance for a snow event here before Halloween; the Canadian and the GFS hint at it after Day 7. I am fairly certain that the deciduous tree line is not too far above Me; and only conifers can exist above it. It may be at the 4000' threshold on topographic charts; or thereabouts. Oh for a breath of that fresh scented air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Front loaded winter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 2 hours ago, Snow88 said: Front loaded winter ? Maybe the 1st lake snow event. SST's are around 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 3 hours ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Maybe the 1st lake snow event. SST's are around 60. 18z GFS says it's possible for the lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 22, 2017 Share Posted October 22, 2017 Was with Joe Cioffi today. It was a pretty good experience 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted October 23, 2017 Author Share Posted October 23, 2017 GFS 18z shows a weak sauce of a low for next week, but the Canadian has a strong low but all rain meanwhile GFS had some snow in higher terrain in PA and Catskills but it looks more like white rain. If anything if this low ends up being a bit colder and stronger in the future runs maybe some places like Monticello, NY and even possibly Sparta, NJ for some accumulating snow especially if it falls at nighttime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 23, 2017 Share Posted October 23, 2017 25 minutes ago, Dakota said: As I was going through the numbers and preparing the chart; the one thing that caught My eye was the 2014-15 snow total at the Logan Airport in Boston: 110.6 inches...obviously an all time record for that station. The Boston Airport had a long time mean of around 42 inches through 1991-92 winter; the last 25 years have bumped the mean up to near 50" annually. To accumulate that much snow at sea level out at the Boston Harbor is remarkable; it would be a pretty astonishing winter even if it happened up the coast at Portland, Maine. That was the year where the Boston area had that massive glacier in an empty lot (they trucked snow there from the metro because it was building up too much) that lasted into July. I posted about it awhile back. It was an incredible season for snow and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 23, 2017 Share Posted October 23, 2017 Next 45 days down to NORMAL again on CFS. But will it hold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted October 23, 2017 Author Share Posted October 23, 2017 2 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 45 days down to NORMAL again on CFS. But will it hold? Who cares dude that's always wrong! Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 23, 2017 Share Posted October 23, 2017 13 hours ago, dmillz25 said: Was with Joe Cioffi today. It was a pretty good experience Great pic He always asks me to hang out and come to his studio . I have to go one day. He seems like a cool person to be around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 23, 2017 Share Posted October 23, 2017 Maybe we should watch the tropics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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