Wow Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 GFS a bit more north than 0z, trough still trending pulling out faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Down to 922 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2017 Author Share Posted September 4, 2017 Headed for Cuba again around hr 120. Similar to the last two runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Headed for Cuba again around hr 120. Similar to the last two runs. Stronger and further north. Might miss Cuba altogether Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2017 Author Share Posted September 4, 2017 ADT estimates are up to 117.4kts. That supports an upgrade to 130mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Stronger and further north. Might miss Cuba altogether definitely north and at 120 still skirting the northern coast of cuba Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2017 Author Share Posted September 4, 2017 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Stronger and further north. Might miss Cuba altogether Just a hair North, still Cuba will see high impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: ADT estimates are up to 117.4kts. That supports an upgrade to 130mph. Hurricane Hunters enroute now, they'll probably wait for confirmation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Boy, if it can manage to avoid Cuba as depicted, someone is going to be absolutely annihilated. What a storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2017 Author Share Posted September 4, 2017 Still hasn't made the turn North yet at hr 129 but it's just about stalled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Just a hair North, still Cuba will see high impacts. But it's 35 mb stronger as a result of skirting instead of traveling directly over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Down to 901 at 132. Precariously close to Keys and South Florida. Edit:890! at 138. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Actually looking more like last night's 18z with the trough placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Still hasn't made the turn North yet at hr 129 but it's just about stalled. have to watch that s/w over the SE to pick it up, should start turning after 132 IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Still hasn't made the turn North yet at hr 129 but it's just about stalled. It's moving WSW on visible imageryhttp://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/html5-avn-long.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2017 Author Share Posted September 4, 2017 Just now, OUGrad05 said: It's moving WSW on visible imageryhttp://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/html5-avn-long.html We're not talking real time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Looks to be turning north at 138 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 892mb, turning north at 138. Hello S FL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 4, 2017 Author Share Posted September 4, 2017 Hard right turn, right into S FL again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Trend from 6z to 12z at 132. More north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Looks like she's going to run north along the Florida Atlantic coast instead of inland like 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 MIA gonna get catastrophic surge and wind from this run. RIP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 glad (hope) the GFS is not correct on strength because wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 One thing is consistant is gfs want to really deepen it once it turns north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Trough over New England leaves a break in the WAR so Irma can make a hard right turn near FL/Bahamas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 150 is an absolute wrecking ball for MIA, FLL and surrounding areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Worst case scenario for US would be Se FL landfall than a curve to the Carolinas...double whammy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Unless she gets tugged west it looks like she won't be over land for too long before emerging back out into the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 This would be the storm that changed Miami and Southern Florida forever. Good lord. GFS is worst case scenario for those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 1 minute ago, Voyager said: Unless she gets tugged west it looks like she won't be over land for too long before emerging back out into the Atlantic. Still talking 6, 7 or 8 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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