TriPol Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Looks like the southern fringes may interact with Hispaniola. Don't think it's enough to disrupt her like the island to Irene back in '11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 definitely move towards the Euro at 114. Roughly 75 miles(ish) SW of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 pretty sig SW at 120hr compared to 18z, a lot more interaction w. southern bahamas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 So if this thing heads further SW does that mean since it's going further away that it's going to take longer to interact with the trough over the GL/NE thus buying more time for it to escape and not get picked up by the trough since it will have already exited stage right by the time Irma gets to its latitude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 You'd think based on its position at hr 138 that it's going into the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 138 Still moving more WNW then NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Wow pressure is tanking. GFS want to take it into beast mode once north of the islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Irma going WNW at 162 hours towards the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 887 MB approaching SC at 06z Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Irma going WNW at 162 hours towards the coast But looking at the 500mb it looks like it's going to head NW and then N similar to 18z. Setup looks the similar but Irma is further southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Very large wind field. Expanding as it goes. Might be heading for another obscene low pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Heading towards the Carolinas at 174 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 looking to end up in the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, MattPetrulli said: looking to end up in the Carolinas. Also has TS conditions beginning along the coast during Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just a little breezy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Headed WNW/NNW at 192 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, SN_Lover said: Just a little breezy.... fresh breeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 This is going to be an ugly run for NC verbatim with those obscenely low (but likely too low) pressures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Way it's looking it could end up very close to a Fran track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Yep this is gonna be my nightmare run for MBY, I live 100 miles west of Hatteras lol ......that pressure even if off by 50mb on the low side still has this as a strong Cat 4 probably.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Hurricane force winds are as wide as the South Carolina coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Looks like it's headed due north @192. Might skirt the Carolinas like Irene did and wind up somewhere in the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Landfall likely between what was formerly called the "Outer Banks" and "Wilmington" on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, TriPol said: Looks like it's headed due north @192. Might skirt the Carolinas like Irene did and wind up somewhere in the NE. Nope.. headed NW at 198 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Landfall near ILM at 204 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 LF @204 in NC as a major hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 That's right into North Carolina with a sub 900mb pressure(likely over done) but still. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Hazey said: That's right into North Carolina with a sub 900mb pressure(likely over done) but still. Yikes. Raleigh Obliterated also. Thank god this was a 200 hour run! Has me kinda on edge now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 That's serious damage if it happens as depicted. The euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=uv250&runtime=2017090300&fh=186&xpos=190&ypos=66 poleward exhaust in a right entrance region of the jet. Probably why it's showing the strengthening, albeit, / bit overdone (hopefully) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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