ncskywarn Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 6:50 AM, Stebo said: Or... it is going to go NNW between 192-216, so toward SC instead. Expand Agreed that's exactly what it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Hook north just in time to spare south FL. Very close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 6:53 AM, Hoosier said: Hook north just in time to spare south FL. Very close call. Expand Floyd type turn that would be a logistical nightmare for evacuations verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 I like Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 6:55 AM, lilj4425 said: I live in SC. Expand I'm in NC right now, but I'll be back in SC next week (summerville). so you and me both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 This has Carolinas all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Almost all models show the late hook N/NW....EURO has been showing it run after run, regardless of where Irma is located. Gun to head, Carolinas would be my bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 6:53 AM, Hoosier said: Hook north just in time to spare south FL. Very close call. Expand Over Charleston, SC at 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 This run is Hugo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 931 Charleston, SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 FEMA is already overloaded and broken, begging for help with Harvey. A hit anywhere is going to be a nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/1/2017 at 1:37 AM, Mountain_Patch said: Very hugo track Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 I say gfs and euro are coming much closer in agreement. I'd say a hit it likely now from south Carolina to maryland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Just like Hugo, barely North of downtown Charleston looks to be the spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Keep reiterating how much of a change the Euro flipped on the trough. Still way too early. If nothing else, still huge uncertainty and this may very well flip again. Toodles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 6:58 AM, LovintheWhiteFluff said: 931 Charleston, SC Expand That is not good. Hopefully it hooks right and stays offshore: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:06 AM, Animal said: That is not good. Hopefully it hooks right and stays offshore: Expand there's still a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 At what angle is Irma making landfall might I ask? Is she going inland into the Piedmont, running north through the coastal plain, or hugging the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Need to watch how far South Irma gets and the trough over the US. The further South Irma gets the better a SE US landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 While run to run variance is still there, if you step back and look at all the modeling over the last few days, you can see the zone slowly shrinking...still sticking with between Savannah and the Delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 6:55 AM, Stebo said: Floyd type turn that would be a logistical nightmare for evacuations verbatim. Expand Yeah, that's a pretty good comp on the approach. Looking at the 168 hr panel, I thought for sure they were screwed. Probably would've been had the ridge held just a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:07 AM, BlunderStorm said: At what angle is Irma making landfall might I ask? Is she going inland into the Piedmont, running north through the coastal plain, or hugging the coast? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:10 AM, LovintheWhiteFluff said: Expand That's georgetown not charleston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:10 AM, LovintheWhiteFluff said: Expand Thank you. Also, to be exact it seems to make landfall at Mclellanville, not Georgetown or Charleston. No point in being exact though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Can anyone please explain the sharp NW turn taken? It looked like for sure it would go across Florida and possibly into the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:07 AM, BlunderStorm said: At what angle is Irma making landfall might I ask? Is she going inland into the Piedmont, running north through the coastal plain, or hugging the coast? Expand Looking at the angle she is coming in at. Unlike Hugo which was moving NW that went through Charlotte Irma is moving more NNW. It looks like more of the Piedmont would be in play probably close to Greensboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:12 AM, BlunderStorm said: Thank you. Expand No problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:14 AM, ncskywarn said: Looking at the angle she is coming in at. uUlike Hugo which was moving NW that went through Charlotte Erma is moving more NNW. It looks like more of the Piedmont would be in play probably close to Greensboro. Expand that angle would take it through Lexington roughly. EDIT: Florence would get wrecked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:15 AM, Mountain_Patch said: that angle would take it through lexington roughly. Expand Relatively speaking that's close to Greensboro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 7:14 AM, ncskywarn said: Looking at the angle she is coming in at. uUlike Hugo which was moving NW that went through Charlotte Erma is moving more NNW. It looks like more of the Piedmont would be in play probably close to Greensboro. Expand I am quite fascinated by Hurricane Hugo considering it went directly over the Blue Ridge mountains maintaining tropical storm status charging through Appalachia. In fact the low went directly over my hometown as my parents re-call and is shown on track depictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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