MJO812 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 6z GFS is going to hammer SC once again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 At 120 off Space Coast of FLA, slightly W of 0z. A few miles will make a difference wherever it landfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Landfall around Hilton Head to Fripp Island at 132, showing 908mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 A friend of mine who coordinates pallet shipments for FEMA just emailed me and told me the National Hurricane Center has requested a FEMA pallet of bottled water and MREs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 What is the UKIE showing; I believe it had a good handle on Matthew last year hugging the FL East Coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Anyone have the 06z hurricane models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, Modfan said: What is the UKIE showing; I believe it had a good handle on Matthew last year hugging the FL East Coast http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/storm-tracker/#?tab=map&stormId=11L&stormName=IRMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
taylorsweather Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 1 minute ago, WesterlyWx said: Anyone have the 06z hurricane models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, Modfan said: What is the UKIE showing; I believe it had a good handle on Matthew last year hugging the FL East Coast 00z Ukie has Miami LF after it hits Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 00z Ukie has Miami LF after it hits Cuba.Ukie one of the last models with a Cuba hit. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Taylorsweather said: More and more OTS members starting to show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
taylorsweather Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Taylorsweather said: Those are 00z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
taylorsweather Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Just now, WesterlyWx said: More and more OTS members starting to show up. Yes, but you need to look at consensus guidance too. The majority of globals and their ensembles, as well as the hurricane models seem to be narrowing the cone to a path just to the east of FL and then a NNW path into SC. Obviously that isn't written in stone and Irma can certainly go ots, but we are getting into the time frame where all the players are being well sampled and the models should narrow the cone in the critical 72-96 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, DCAlexandria said: Ukie one of the last models with a Cuba hit. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Yea, just something else to throw in the blender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
taylorsweather Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Those are 00z.. I know. I posted them to show that what was once two distinct camps at 00z has become a more general larger group of SC hits with much fewer FL landfalls at 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 San Juan PR is in trouble. The latest westward wobble puts them in the southern eye wall with a wnw track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Dont want to count the chickens before they hatch but if this glancing blow/graze to the East Coast of FL is to become reality, the NAM will have been the model to begin the trend yesterday with majority of other globals following it. Eta: obviously it was out of range but had Irma sitting near Bahamas already having taken that N turn while most others were flirting with Cuba lf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Taylorsweather said: PR is just gonna miss this, but the NE coast will certainly feel the effects. Appears the current path is ever so slightly on the left side of guidance and that Irma isn't gaining latitude all that dramatically. This loop is old. Getting the eyewall, isn't "just missing". San Juan is on the Northeast coast of PR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Just saw highest wind speed I've ever seen on a WX ob. Anemometer at#Barbuda blew away after recording gust to 155 mph. #Irmapic.twitter.com/aNwT5i04gf 10:32 PM - 5 Sep 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 We have had at least 3-4 runs now with a trend east. Until that trend stops or reverses, OTS is an option, and one that I hope happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazieman Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 This storm is so slow that a new trough comes down and brings this storm further east. Thats what the 0z models showed. Lets see if this goes more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazieman Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 TJUA radar has the motion a hair above due west. I'd say about 271.5 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
taylorsweather Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Old image. for some reason it won't post the new one that I'm looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 The videos on twitter right now of St. Marteen are crazy. The surge looks insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 The OP Euro and EPS mean track is finally very close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazieman Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 1 minute ago, bluewave said: The OP Euro and EPS mean track is finally very close. Why do they all init at 960-979? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 US VI and BVI look to get a good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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