StormFollowerUSA Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 What site has all the European Hurricane Models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 9 minutes ago, StormFollowerUSA said: What site has all the European Hurricane Models? WeatherBell.com has all the EC Ensembles, but is subscription. You can't see EC ensembles for free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Stronger ridging on the 18z so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 10 minutes ago, Derecho! said: WeatherBell.com has all the EC Ensembles, but is subscription. You can't see EC ensembles for free. Try weather.us Has operational, control, and every individual ensemble member. Hopefully this site lasts though winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wow said: Try weather.us Has operational, control, and every individual ensemble member. Hopefully this site lasts though winter. I was looking at it earlier. It looks like a good site. Do you know how fast it updates the Euro compared to the pay sites? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, packfan98 said: I was looking at it earlier. It looks like a good site. Do you know how fast it updates the Euro compared to the pay sites? Maybe 10 minutes behind Tropical Tidbits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 I'm thinking fish for the 18z. Don't crucify me. just guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: I'm thinking fish for the 18z. Don't crucify me. just guessing. Agreed I think so too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 I don't think I'm the only one who thinks this, but honestly I don't care too much about what the op-GFS says until the op-euro agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 1 hour ago, Wow said: All a matter of if and when the cutoff ULL occurs and how far south it sinks. Sinks way south with HP over the northeast it's a SE drill. Stays over the midwest like the Euro shows at day 10, it's a peek into the GOM and a sharp turn north and rakes the SE and possibly the entire east coast. Yup. The next week of model runs will be interesting. But it will all come down to timing and placement on when this thing turns up and sinks its teeth into something. It would be nice for it to be a fish storm and have no harm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 The U Albany site has a great Euro chart showing the EPS mean north of the OP longer range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stellarfun Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 In the historical record, three Cat 4> hurricanes have traveled a path similar to the Euro projected track; i.e. within 65 miles of Key West. September storms Georges 1998 long track Rita 2005 shorter track August storm Unnamed 1852 No July or October Cat 4> storm tracked north of Hispaniola. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Someone call NCEP and tell them they need to trash the GFS. Irma going straight into the ridge. This is the same crap it pulled with Sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 The 18z GFS has a much deeper trough across Eastern US @ 168 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Beautiful Irma, from NASA MSFC GOES - https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband14.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CamSE-Wx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 GFS tad more west this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 18z GFS has a large cutoff hovering over the E Conus, wonder if it eventually has it phase with Irma during this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Possibly looking like Chesapeake Bay demolition run, part 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 irma down to 906 at 192hr with jose looking like a caribbean cruiser behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Massive differences @ 500 between 12z and 18z. This looks headed for the Mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 18z is definitely not a fish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 might be eating my words here soon.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Just now, jojo762 said: 18z is definitely not a fish storm. Possible capture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Looks to be going straight towards mid Atlantic. God help us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Not even a little bit fish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 May not capture. Trough not tiled all the way. Still might happen though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Might have a 1938 type track on this run. In any case, a shift west from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Headed straight for the eastern end of LI. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Say good bye Long Island cat 4 hurricane incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Boston about to get rekt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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