WishingForWarmWeather Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: ADT estimates are now up to 120kts, which continues to go up. Can you send me the link for this -- I always lose it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, NJwx85 said: What part of South Florida? I have family in Boynton Beach. I told them to get out. They are flying up here on Friday. They were coming up here for a wedding anyway. Deerfield beach, Hollywood, Davie, Naples, west Boca Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: My family and my wife's family in south Florida are asking my opinion. I don't know what to say. I've been a hobbyist for 20 years and on these boards for 10 years. People are panicking down there. Flights and hotel rooms are limited. It's a really tough call right now. I'm telling them all not to panic and to make decisions tomorrow night, but I'm really not sure what to say. This storm really scares me. Wait for official information as its potential is over three days out. In the meantime they should have food, water supplies, gas in their car and a contingency plan. I'm in Florida too, and hope it will not be too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 5, 2017 Author Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, WishingForWarmWeather said: Can you send me the link for this -- I always lose it. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/odt11L.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 5, 2017 Author Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, psv88 said: Deerfield beach, Hollywood, Davie, Naples, west Boca Tell them to leave, Orlando should be a relatively safe spot. At least they are well inland there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 12 minutes ago, ncskywarn said: Is there a GOES 16 loop for Irma? https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband14.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 5, 2017 Author Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 minute ago, WeatherFox said: Wait for official information as its potential is over three days out. In the meantime they should have food, water supplies, gas in their car and a contingency plan. I'm in Florida too, and hope it will not be too bad. Yeah because that worked out real well in Texas. It's better to leave now while the traffic won't be as bad. If the storm misses then it was better to be safer than sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: ADT estimates are now up to 120kts, which continues to go up. Crazy what a beast it already is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chet-NYC Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 18 minutes ago, ncskywarn said: Is there a GOES 16 loop for Irma? Go here: http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=10848&y=10848&z=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p[0]=16&opacity[0]=1&hidden[0]=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider Great image and you can decide what you want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Yeah because that worked out real well in Texas. It's better to leave now while the traffic won't be as bad. If the storm misses then it was better to be safer than sorry. Houston death toll from Harvey 60 Reports from the Houston Chronicle indicated 107 evacuation-related fatalities for Rita. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terdferguson Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 6 minutes ago, WeatherFox said: Wait for official information as its potential is over three days out. In the meantime they should have food, water supplies, gas in their car and a contingency plan. I'm in Florida too, and hope it will not be too bad. This. No need to evacuate now. But you should get all your supplies and have your evacuation plan in place (where are you going to go?). Response to other post about supplies in s fla: Yes there is already a run on supplies. Publix was out of water today. People in s fla prepare early. Many went through Andrew and the news down there goes nuts with hurricanes getting everyone all frenzied. Source: mom, dad, brother, uncles, aunts, cousins all in ft lauderdale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Chet-NYC said: Go here: http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=10848&y=10848&z=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p[0]=16&opacity[0]=1&hidden[0]=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider Great image and you can decide what you want to see. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 9 minutes ago, Random Chaos said: https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband14.html Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Irma looks about as primed as it ever has to significantly intensify, all while being the strongest it has been during its lifetime. Intense DMC wrapped completely around the eye now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJV Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Will start prepping for 'Irma' on Tuesday. GFS/ECMWF looked well enough in 'synch' for me---for significant winds on Sunday (850mb vort/wind fields) around here (northeastern Collier County FL). Still plenty of time to batten down the hatches___and then wait for its big northward turn! That turn is what concerns me the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Everyone is obviously free to do what they wish, but there's still some chance for this to go far enough east of Florida to reduce impacts. I would absolutely fill up the tank and start stocking up on supplies as soon as possible though, as it appears that there's already a run on that stuff. There should probably be a local impacts/evacuation thread. Depends on the situation, my mom, who lives directly on the water on a barrier island had no commitments in FL so she just decided to take a vacation to visit and get away regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Product: Bathythermal Data (SOFX01 KWBC)Date Profile Data was Processed: September 4th, 2017 at 23:54:36ZAgency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF) Storm Number: 11L in 2017 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)AXBT Buoy Drop (Airborne eXpendable Bathythermograph)Profile Date: September 4th, 2017Profile Time: 23:48:46ZProfile Coordinates: 17.646N 53.454W Profile Location: 516 statute miles (830 km) to the NE (53°) from Bridgetown, Barbados.AXBT Channel: 16Sea Surface Temperature: 28.20°C (82.8°F)Depth of 26°C Isotherm: 120 m (394 ft)Deepest Depth of AXBT: 337.5 m (1,107 ft) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Wow pretty good consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 34 minutes ago, psv88 said: My family and my wife's family in south Florida are asking my opinion. I don't know what to say. I've been a hobbyist for 20 years and on these boards for 10 years. People are panicking down there. Flights and hotel rooms are limited. It's a really tough call right now. I'm telling them all not to panic and to make decisions tomorrow night, but I'm really not sure what to say. This storm really scares me. I haven't fully caught up with the thread so my apologies if this has been posted already but it costs nothing to book a hotel room. My advice to anyone who's uncertain is do that now so you have it. Just cancel if you don't end up needing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: That would really maximize Irma's potential with limited land interaction and water temps in the upper 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Irma may be the other shoe dropping for Florida from last year's Mathew brush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 My sis-in-law lives in Fort Pierce and booked a hotel in Jacksonville fwiw. Saidvrates already had doubled. My family flooded/was hit by Harvey last week, now this. At this rate TMI will blow for the trifecta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, StormChaser4Life said: That would really maximize Irma's potential with limited land interaction and water temps in the upper 80s Exactly what I was about to say... most tracks aside from the UK stay north enough of the islands to likely not be overly detremental to the circulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 That's one of the tightest spreads in guidance I may have ever seen for a tropical system this far out, especially one approaching land and expected to make a turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 35 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: What part of South Florida? I have family in Boynton Beach. I told them to get out. They are flying up here on Friday. They were coming up here for a wedding anyway. My parents are in Boynton Beach as well. Far enough inland to avoid any surge/floods. Biggest worry for them will be loss of power. I am trying to see if I can get down there before it hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, jojo762 said: Exactly what I was about to say... most tracks aside from the UK stay north enough of the islands to likely not be overly detremental to the circulation. That's pretty much a worse case scenario track given what it has access to. Even if it came into FL from the south that would still place vulnerable areas like Miami in right front quadrant unless it did what Matthew did and had the eye and most intense part of eyewall off shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Notice this is further North from Cuba than the 18z. More trends like this could mean FL gets missed completely and anywhere from GA to Maine gets hit with her full might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Griizzcoat Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Does these include the new data packages??--- balloons etc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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