lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:09 AM, Hoosier said: I'm looking at small maps but it doesn't look that many miles farther south to me... Expand I thought so too. Maybe 50-75 miles south? But it's really hard to tell in the free maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 Biggest difference so far is it's a lot faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:09 AM, CaWx said: maybe, but better hope that trough goes negative. Expand Why??? Irma would phase with the trough and slam into the coast, regardless.. and with that large blocking high to the east, it's not like it would take it OTS by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:13 AM, NJwx85 said: Biggest difference so far is it's a lot faster Expand And southwest This is coming right to the coast on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:13 AM, NJwx85 said: Biggest difference so far is it's a lot faster Expand yeah it is faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 By visual reference at the same longitude it looks like it's East of the Keys on 0Z and East of Lake Okeechobee on the 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 About to cutoff at 156. No way she goes OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 918 mlb @ hr 156! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Some minor changes with the Midwest trough (at least compared to the huge change from 12z to 18z lol) but overall, I'd agree that this run is headed for landfall again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 Looks like another East coast hit, question is where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 got 10 on Chesapeake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Jesus... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 Wind shear is basically non existent near the Bahamas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 I sure as hell hope this is wrong. A 900 mlb hurricane would be stronger than Isabell! Has any hurricane had this kind of pressure outside of the GoM before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 And we have another top 5 GFS pressure. 896 MB hour 168 0z Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 899MB HOUR 168 GFS, I highly, highly doubt this happens....but...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:19 AM, MattPetrulli said: got 10 on Chesapeake Expand 1.5m people are in Hampton Roads you don't want it anywhere near there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:17 AM, TriPol said: 918 mlb @ hr 156! Expand 896 on HIRES GFS by 168. Which would be the fifth lowest pressure in the Atlantic ever... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Looks like an 18z redux except a bit further west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 Tremendous PRE striking the Northeast again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:20 AM, Mountain_Patch said: 1.5m people are in Hampton Roads you don't want it anywhere near there. Expand I think this model run ends up in Chesapeake, I obviously don't want it to and I don't want it anywhere near any land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:09 AM, Hoosier said: I'm looking at small maps but it doesn't look that many miles farther south to me... Expand Maybe 25 miles south, negligible. It's definitely more west than south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 And capture at hr 180, looks headed for NYC again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:21 AM, MattPetrulli said: I think this model run ends up in Chesapeake, I obviously don't want it to and I don't want it anywhere near any land. Expand The best worst case scenario is a SC hit due to population, and the rapid nature of evacuations w/ South Carolina. Florida/VA at would be insane. Could you imagine the storm surge up the bay? It'd be horrific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Looking more and more like Irene... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 The PRE arrives in NY as early as Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 On 9/2/2017 at 4:23 AM, Mountain_Patch said: The best worst case scenario is a SC hit due to population, and the rapid nature of evacuations w/ South Carolina. Florida/VA at would be insane. Could you imagine the storm surge up the bay? It'd be horrific. Expand How surge prone is Chesapeake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 looks similar to 18z but west. Probably winds up in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Irma moving N at 186 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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