buckeyefan1 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, downeastnc said: Its crazy it went from 50 to 140 then back down to 50....thats one hell of a gust....that NE side is doing some scary stuff ....hopefully the reading was faulty and they really didnt hit that speed. I know right?! That was nuts! I do believe it was real Winds are starting to pick up here just a tad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Still some gusty winds showing for tomorrow night into Tuesday for Piedmont NC and Upstate SC. 850s are screaming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 Wasnt there a run or two on a few models that took her kinda NE across FL after a SW Florida landfall then up to SC a couple of days ago.... Edit: i think it was the nam just trying to find it to see how the H5 in those runs compared to right now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 20 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Wasnt there a run or two on a few models that took her kinda NE across FL after a SW Florida landfall then up to SC a couple of days ago.... Edit: i think it was the nam just trying to find it to see how the H5 in those runs compared to right now.... I think the UKMET and Euro did it a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 She's definitely moving just east of north per the radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wow said: She's definitely moving just east of north per the radar Sure looks like it huh, at least a wooble that way....would be something if she scooted across and got close to the east coast of Florida..... it would really drive the surge and onshore winds up even more over there...still at this point its just evens out the west wobbles...she is on track for the center to miss Tampa by a good 30-50 miles though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 I'm a little surprised by the lack of lightning with Irma - especially with more land interaction now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 A (little?) interesting to note the cluster of CMC ensembles that are lining up with Irma's N to NNE track putting Orlando in the crosshairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 hour ago, JoshM said: Still some gusty winds showing for tomorrow night into Tuesday for Piedmont NC and Upstate SC. 850s are screaming. 30-35mph sustained!? Bet gust map would be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 @ downeast. I am too by the lightening. But these storms packing a punch. Strong winds torrential rains. Been a few tornado warnings. Possible tornado damage reports showing up around my area. @Wow been noticing that too. The trajectory would take it over west orlando Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Earendil Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 It looks like I might make it through this storm without losing power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 9 minutes ago, Earendil said: It looks like I might make it through this storm without losing power. your in Cape Coral? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Earendil Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 13 minutes ago, downeastnc said: your in Cape Coral? Yeah. It looks like it broke up just in the right spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 11, 2017 Author Share Posted September 11, 2017 Just now, Earendil said: Yeah. It looks like it broke up just in the right spot. Pretty much went right over you, you were in the west eyewall.....but the worst stayed to your east a few miles probably....still you had to have had gust well into the 80-90mph range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 1 hour ago, downeastnc said: Wasnt there a run or two on a few models that took her kinda NE across FL after a SW Florida landfall then up to SC a couple of days ago.... Edit: i think it was the nam just trying to find it to see how the H5 in those runs compared to right now.... The 09/00Z Run of the GFS did as well. SW Fla landfall then moving more Northerly to just west of JAX before turning NW/WNW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Earendil Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Pretty much went right over you, you were in the west eyewall.....but the worst stayed to your east a few miles probably....still you had to have had gust well into the 80-90mph range... My house was built to handle 140ish, so I'm going to guess it made it just fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 11, 2017 Author Share Posted September 11, 2017 Starting to wonder if she might get closer to the east coast Florida....the high to the north seems a little slower, the WV loop of the US is pretty amazing to see how tricky the setup really is..... In several TS and hurricanes as the centers got inland over NC dry air working into the system would cause really big gust often way higher than the sustained wind, it would go from 20-35 to 60-70 or higher in gust and the gust where more downdraft like instead of the normal "sideways" wind in a proper hurricane core....Bertha was especially bad after the center passed ( this was after the normal backside ) we had a period a hr or so later for 30-45 mins where the winds kicked back up....same with Hurricane Charley his front side was 30-35 in gust, once on the backside though we had some sharp 50-55 mph gust for maybe 20-30 mins then it was over...was very odd. I think you will see the same thing in Florida, the sustained winds might only be 30-50 but gust might go 100..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 57 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: 30-35mph sustained!? Bet gust map would be fun! remember, that knots on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 The pressure gradient over north GA tomorrow is going to be insane. 1023+high to the northeast 985 low to the southwest. 3km NAM spitting out some 60-70MPH gusts at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, JoshM said: remember, that knots on the NAM. Oh, ok! Did not pay attention or know that! Outer bands/precip shield at my doorstep! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rowjimmy73 Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 quick question, hoping somewhere here can help...my brother just called from golden gate middle school in golden gate city very near naples, saying they were just told by eoc to expect 6-9 ft of water there. hes LEO collier county so im thinking hes probably got good intel but he asked if anyone else could give thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 1 hour ago, downeastnc said: Starting to wonder if she might get closer to the east coast Florida....the high to the north seems a little slower, the WV loop of the US is pretty amazing to see how tricky the setup really is..... In several TS and hurricanes as the centers got inland over NC dry air working into the system would cause really big gust often way higher than the sustained wind, it would go from 20-35 to 60-70 or higher in gust and the gust where more downdraft like instead of the normal "sideways" wind in a proper hurricane core....Bertha was especially bad after the center passed ( this was after the normal backside ) we had a period a hr or so later for 30-45 mins where the winds kicked back up....same with Hurricane Charley his front side was 30-35 in gust, once on the backside though we had some sharp 50-55 mph gust for maybe 20-30 mins then it was over...was very odd. I think you will see the same thing in Florida, the sustained winds might only be 30-50 but gust might go 100..... This thing is so far off track I'm starting to wonder if CLP5 is gonna verify. That's a nuts statement to make, but wth.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 47 minutes ago, rowjimmy73 said: quick question, hoping somewhere here can help...my brother just called from golden gate middle school in golden gate city very near naples, saying they were just told by eoc to expect 6-9 ft of water there. hes LEO collier county so im thinking hes probably got good intel but he asked if anyone else could give thoughts https://tidesonline.nos.noaa.gov/ Naples (generally) looks to have already peaked, perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 Those damn winds that set up over me and Lookout, all way to ATL look very concerning for tonmorrow ! Should be a lot of downed trees and power outages up here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 I see you down there Waycross!! Chime in with your thoughts! I know you wish you were home!! Being a wind lover and all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 Wind picking up here in Macon. Light rain and cool temperatures. Pretty miserable night. Should be a fun day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 Gonna be an interesting day to say the least! Winds been steady since yesterday morning 15-20 and are bound to pick up shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 28 minutes ago, oconeexman said: Gonna be an interesting day to say the least! Winds been steady since yesterday morning 15-20 and are bound to pick up shortly. I don't know, I'm beginning to wonder.....I'm 2 hours southwest of you and nothing here but light rain....no wind to speak of other than a gentle breeze every now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ollie'sMom Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 8 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Those damn winds that set up over me and Lookout, all way to ATL look very concerning for tonmorrow ! Should be a lot of downed trees and power outages up here! Do you have any model maps showing winds across the Upstate? We are in Taylors, SC and I'm just curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 The earlier landfall and more easterly track really helped here. Winds did gust into the 50s here overnight, but I still have power (for the moment, anyway). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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