Buddy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 2:44EDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Earendil said: How wide is the eye? It's hard for me to tell looking at the radar images on my phone. I'm trying to get an idea of how close to my house this is going to end up being. Where are you at..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 5 minutes ago, Earendil said: How wide is the eye? It's hard for me to tell looking at the radar images on my phone. I'm trying to get an idea of how close to my house this is going to end up being. MSNBC's weather guy just said it's around 18 miles wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Earendil Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Where are you at..... My house is in north east Cape Coral. I'm in Panama City at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, Earendil said: My house is in north east Cape Coral. I'm in Panama City at the moment. IF it doesnt move from the heading its following ( more or less) then Cape Coral will definitely be in the NW or N eyewall.....you want it to move as much north as possible and none to the west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 So far 2.25" of rain. Low end TS force gust in the rain bands have been occurring. Apopka FL( Nw orlando) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Looks like a wobble back more north in its trajectory again. I think it's going east of Tampa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Could this hurricane still be a category 1 when it reaches Atlanta? Or will it definitely have weakened to a TS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, Wow said: Looks like a wobble back more north in its trajectory again. I think it's going east of Tampa. slightly west of due north best I can tell not much west at all last hr or so anyways....entire center should be onshore in a few hrs, unless Irma pulls her I refuse to go over land stunt some more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 Probably really bad in Marco Island....if anywhere is going to see Cat 3 conditions its there.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, downeastnc said: Probably really bad in Marco Island....if anywhere is going to see Cat 3 conditions its there.... Weather channel just reported 130 MPH gust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, No snow for you said: Weather channel just reported 130 MPH gust So possible they have seen sustained close to 100 mph then thats rough.....hopefully the eye weakens quickly now thats it is onshore.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 10 minutes ago, GlaringSun said: Could this hurricane still be a category 1 when it reaches Atlanta? Or will it definitely have weakened to a TS? I have to think it's looking better there now because this is coming in somewhat further south than initially expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Greenville County (SC) schools are closed tomorrow due to possible Irma impact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: I have to think it's looking better there now because this is coming in somewhat further south than initially expected Seems like that S/W the models had digging into the GOM that is suppose to keep Irma going NNW then NW isnt that strong or I am just not seeing it very well on the WV loop anyways the track might even be a bit further east than the 12Z's had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 17 minutes ago, Wow said: Looks like a wobble back more north in its trajectory again. I think it's going east of Tampa. Yea been watching that east west dance all day, but it IS slipping a little west on average. Nowhere near what the track has suggested though. Still, as since around 8AM EST, mostly north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Casualbrain said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 That meshes well with the data the plane was finding in the NE side all morning....gonna be a mess to bad it couldnt have slid a bit further east.....Naples/Cape Coral/Ft Myers all gonna get hammered the next few hrs..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 Live streams from Marco looked bad, Naples is looking less intense for sure....not sure exactly where Brandon Clement is but its not as crazy as the base hunters feed on Marco Island...looks very Cat 1/2 ish....some heavier returns swinging in though might pick up some... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: I have to think it's looking better there now because this is coming in somewhat further south than initially expected She's looks to pass pretty far west. How do you feel about the right front quadrant of whatever is left of Irma? Could that still hit areas like me in west Atlanta? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 6 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Live streams from Marco looked bad, Naples is looking less intense for sure....not sure exactly where Brandon Clement is but its not as crazy as the base hunters feed on Marco Island...looks very Cat 1/2 ish....some heavier returns swinging in though might pick up some... Naples Airport just gusted to 131 mph... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 TWC is pretty intense in Naples Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ollie'sMom Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Longtime Lurker here...since Irma hasn't gone as far to the west as some models initially displayed, what are the implications for folks in NE GA, Upstate SC, and Western NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 16 minutes ago, andyhb said: Naples Airport just gusted to 131 mph... They're headed into the eye now. It's down to 68 now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, Ollie'sMom said: Longtime Lurker here...since Irma hasn't gone as far to the west as some models initially displayed, what are the implications for folks in NE GA, Upstate SC, and Western NC? To soon to tell, NAM takes it much more north on the 18Z run so if that is right I think at the least better rain chances 2-4", if she can hold a strong wind field , and keep her pressure low then it would be quite windy as well....her speed and how far inland she gets also plays into it, slower and over land will cause her to weaken a lot more than the further west track she was forecasted to take yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 30 minutes ago, andyhb said: Naples Airport just gusted to 131 mph... 142 gusted at the airport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Still due N, maybe even a wobble a bit east of north in the past hour as the eye collapses on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.2N 81.8W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF NAPLES FLORIDA ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSE OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: 142 gusted at the airport Its crazy it went from 50 to 140 then back down to 50....thats one hell of a gust....that NE side is doing some scary stuff ....hopefully the reading was faulty and they really didnt hit that speed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Just now, Wow said: Still due N, maybe even a bit east of north in the past hour as the eye collapses on radar. Downgraded to Cat 2 with winds at 110mph as the eye crosses Naples Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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