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Hurricane Irma


downeastnc

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2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Water and bread is out everywhere here! Is it gonna snow!?

Same shi*, just different time of year. Someone gets screwed out of a storm.

EDIT: Before anyone bashes me, I don't wish havoc on people. However, if it happens to come to MBY , bring it on!

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55 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Grit do you know how many hours she's been at 150 mph or greater, I'm thinking at least 84. Any idea about that record?

Since 5AM Tues, so 90 hours as of 11PM tonight.  Other records as of 11PM - https://webcms.colostate.edu/tropical/media/sites/111/2017/09/Hurricane-Irma-Records.pdf

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I think someone said it best the other day. "These giant storms make their own path". They run through troughs and follow the warm water til they hit a big enough chunk of land to make em fizzle out. Then the next one lines up as a patch of drizzle somewhere off the west African coast. Thats nature for you 

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9 minutes ago, shaggy said:

She looks like cuba took a big toll on her. Her west side is all but gone. Eye even looked rough on the west with  no deep convection out past the eyewall. I can't see how this is still a 155mph storm.

She looks strong as ever and will only get stronger before destroying southern Florida. Pray for them. :weep:

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8 minutes ago, 10below said:

She looks strong as ever and will only get stronger before destroying southern Florida. Pray for them. :weep:

She doesn't look as strong as ever. Ask Barbuda if she looks as good now as when she ripped them up. No way she is 155mph right now based off satellite imagery. Still.gonna be bad for Florida but not as bad as the Miami hit that was depicted earlier.

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Just now, shaggy said:

She doesn't look as strong as ever. Ask Barbuda if she looks as good now as when she ripped them up. No way she is 155mph right now based off satellite imagery. Still.gonna be bad for Florida but not as bad as the Miami hit that was depicted earlier.

You are wrong. This a strong Cat 4 storm with the potential to go to a Cat 5. 

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1 minute ago, shaggy said:

She doesn't look as strong as ever. Ask Barbuda if she looks as good now as when she ripped them up. No way she is 155mph right now based off satellite imagery. Still.gonna be bad for Florida but not as bad as the Miami hit that was depicted earlier.

Weaker but still solid and should ramp back up...110kt/937 at last recon.   Euro has it Cuba until atleast 8pm tonight...hopefully it weakens more.

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1 minute ago, 10below said:

And headed for even warmer water. It's going to get stronger.

Highest winds they are finding on any drop in the NE side is 120 mph....though it should recover some once it gets away from Cuba, but if it spends 12 more hrs right along the coast it will have her down to a Cat 1-2. Pressure will be slower to come up than winds will be to go down, so if she clear land soon the winds can catch back up to the pressure.....if her wind field spread out to much she will have trouble spinning that back up regardless of how low the pressure can get back down, it takes time for the winds to catch up to the pressure usually.

look like she is going to follow the coastline, crazy how she turns just enough to keep the center from fully going ashore while following the coast. 

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Just now, downeastnc said:

Highest winds they are finding on any drop in the NE side is 120 mph....though it should recover some once it gets away from Cuba, but if it spends 12 more hrs right along the coast it will have her down to a Cat 1-2. Pressure will be slower to come up than winds will be to go down, so if she clear land soon the winds can catch back up to the pressure.....if her wind field spread out to much she will have trouble spinning that back up regardless of how low the pressure can get back down, it takes time for the winds to catch up to the pressure usually.

look like she is going to follow the coastline, crazy how she turns just enough to keep the center from fully going ashore while following the coast. 

Irma will restrengthen quickly once it moves north off the coast of Cuba. High SST, favorable 200mb jet entrance region, weak shear.

DJR2xUPWsAAS2co.jpg

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SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 79.6W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM S OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES
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4 minutes ago, Solak said:

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 79.6W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM S OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES

Yeah she is hurting and thats probably generous, she has at best 12-24 hrs before the shear picks up too which will hamper her returning to her former glory...realy working out well for Florida right now....need it to stay close to the coast for another 12 hrs or so but I think she turns before then....I suspect models might also correct more north with her track after landfall as it appears the SW shear might push her NE a bit more.

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