griteater Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Sounds like no one has the 6hr increment Euro....all y'all care about is winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Well it seems like she is moving NNE from 168 to 192... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Im old enough to remember when the Euro was king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Well it seems like she is moving NNE from 168 to 192... It's def deeper with the trough so it's giving more pull. It'll give way to the ridge and start more westward as the cutoff ULL and ridge build in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 3, 2017 Author Share Posted September 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: Sounds like no one has the 6hr increment Euro....all y'all care about is winter Yeah free maps on tropical Tidbits lol.....sure did make a run at Florida lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, downeastnc said: hell I think its going to Florida... nope looks like recurving at 192 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Im old enough to remember when the Euro was king. Been pretty wild with run to run swings with Irma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Im old enough to remember when the Euro was king. Still is along with the UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Well it seems like she is moving NNE from 168 to 192... Probably get thrown back NNW on the next frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, NCSNOW said: Still is along with the UKIE It was dethroned the past few winters. At least for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 This one may be ots. HP isnt building back hard enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Looks like it keeps the NNE trend to hour 216.... Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 3, 2017 Author Share Posted September 3, 2017 Trying to escape NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Euro gets Irma further SW but then hard right and NNE. With Irma tracking north of the current forecast position an OTS possibilites still very much in play in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Yup, Euro trying it's hardest to push it out to sea by not building in the ridge overhead. It's been consistent with that to prevent the westward curve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Poor Euro lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 3, 2017 Author Share Posted September 3, 2017 its because it has that big low off SE Canada, same low that took it OTS several runs back....completely different look than last run with that... Previous run with landfall no low.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Hard to beleive a storm gets past 78 before 35 N and avoids land, but it's possible. Got to figure out that pacific the next few days like pack said. Rosy waves and all that jargon is gonna tell the tale down stream and pin the tail ( eye land fall) on the donkey. Pretty confident we have a major cat 4 possible 5 in the Hubertus Box and Bahamas by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 OTS! All scenarios are still on the table. OTS would be the preferred of course.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 At end of the Euro run Irma goes hard right, ENE straight out to sea. If this run came to fruition then the US would totally be spared, other than high surf. A long 9 days of model watching..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 That is one heck of a trough for this time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: OTS! All scenarios are still on the table. OTS would be the preferred of course.. Absoloutely. It's all about what happens upstream. I'd rather see noaa planes flying missions up in the NW and pacific. I can see on micro and radar/satalite what Irma doing and where's she gonna be in 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, Met1985 said: That is one heck of a trough for this time of the year. sure is going to feel nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 GFS is Hazel (1954) / Euro is Gloria (1985)...we wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Just now, griteater said: GFS is Hazel (1954) / Euro is Gloria (1985)...we wait And GEFS control was Hugo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 I know it's a different storm, different setup, etc., etc. -- but models can be pretty far off even 5 days days out, much less 7-10. The question isn't if the models are off, it's in which direction. As somebody said above, it's going to be a long week of model watching. (Image courtesy of RaleighWx, via Twitter). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 24 minutes ago, SimeonNC said: Let's see what the EPS says. Larry posted on other board euro ens mean hits Florida about 100 miles west of 0z ens mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Yep, EPS brings gulf back into play. Looks like bulk make landfall somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 So the EPS says the euro operational is at least as bad as we thought it was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Well the OP is on the east side of the EPS spread, maybe 15 members like the Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 3, 2017 Share Posted September 3, 2017 Ryan MaueVerified account @RyanMaue 1h1 hour ago In just over 5-days, hopefully for U.S. interests, we are watching enormous Hurricane #Irma putting on the brakes & turning North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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