senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:21 AM, Sactown4 said: Hi guys, Hoping someone can help me out here. Was meant to be on vacation in Fort Lauderdale till Sunday evening, and obviously needed to cut that short. Was able to book a flight out of Orlando for early Saturday afternoon. Do you think that flights will still be taking off then, or are we out of luck? Thanks Expand You should be fine as long as the storm doesn't advance faster or blow up and out quicker. Probably end up being a wait and see with the airport though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 7, 2017 Author Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:21 AM, Sactown4 said: Hi guys, Hoping someone can help me out here. Was meant to be on vacation in Fort Lauderdale till Sunday evening, and obviously needed to cut that short. Was able to book a flight out of Orlando for early Saturday afternoon. Do you think that flights will still be taking off then, or are we out of luck? Thanks Expand Should be fine.....wont get bad there till after dark probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 No change at 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:21 AM, Sactown4 said: Hi guys, Hoping someone can help me out here. Was meant to be on vacation in Fort Lauderdale till Sunday evening, and obviously needed to cut that short. Was able to book a flight out of Orlando for early Saturday afternoon. Do you think that flights will still be taking off then, or are we out of luck? Thankshttps://orlandoairports.netMCO shutting down at 1700. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Slightly South of 18z @30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Out to 42 and still slightly South. Speed seems pretty close to same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:42 AM, senc30 said: Out to 42 and still slightly South. Speed seems pretty close to same. Expand Yeah I do not see any big changes yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 starting to turn northward at around hour 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 south is probably good for reducing intensity. more impact for cuba, but cuba is in a better position to take the brunt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Still south at 54. Not sure it's a huge difference. I'm by no means even close to an expert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 7, 2017 Author Share Posted September 7, 2017 Guidance goes east model goes west......guidance goes back west models go east..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Somewhat heading towards FL at hour 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Discussion now of shear and dry air to entrain into Irma as it gets off the Florida coast. My thoughts are we will see this where it was not the case with Hugo in 1989 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Heading NW maybe NNW at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 It might be me but it is in no hurry once it turns north to really go anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:48 AM, nchighcountrywx said: Discussion now of shear and dry air to entrain into Irma as it gets off the Florida coast. My thoughts are we will see this where it was not the case with Hugo in 1989 Expand source? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Boy it's going to be close this run for FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:52 AM, Met1985 said: Boy it's going to be close this run for FL. Expand Appears to be following the same path as 18Z just a touch slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:54 AM, senc30 said: Appears to be following the same path as 18Z just a touch slower. Expand Yeah the eye stays offshore. It might be close to grazing the coastline but that is still a very high impact for the east coast of FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Someone correct me if I'm wrong but it looks a little east of 18Z at 90. Further away from Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Heading away from the FL coast at hour 93 with the trough in the NE pulling away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:57 AM, senc30 said: Someone correct me if I'm wrong but it looks a little east of 18Z at 90. Further away from Florida. Expand It's a hair East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:57 AM, Met1985 said: Heading away from the FL coast at hour 93 with the trough in the NE pulling away. Expand Was that a slight NE movement at 96?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 heading North at 105. It is slightly East of the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 3:57 AM, senc30 said: Someone correct me if I'm wrong but it looks a little east of 18Z at 90. Further away from Florida. Expand Right where the nam is at 84 go figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Definitely further East this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 On 9/7/2017 at 4:01 AM, NCSNOW said: Right where the nam is at 84 go figure Expand figures since I was talking crap about it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 A slight jog west at hout 111. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Moving NW at hour 114. Will impact further up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
senc30 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Out to 114 landfall will be further up the SC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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