SnoSki14 Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 Honestly it could stay in the 70s into November, 80s are a bit much after September. A lot of ridging to our north though should prevent more extreme heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 Currently 66F. Today felt way warmer with an high of 76F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Definitely had a summer feel out there today, love it. Very reminiscent of the last two Septembers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Next 8 days holding at near +8degs. (Avg. 68) No day even close to normal. Meanwhile Jose still getting blocked in various ways on the GFS/EURO runs. CMC may have secret, smaller-weaker system that goes direct to hit just north of us on the 18th. This is earlier than the other models too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 My avg splits out his way are 78/52. I'm at 50 currently, projected to hit 74. Im not seeing the way above normal temps you are discussing. Projected lows should be higher; is that the basis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Warmer pattern coming up with the trough diving into the Western US. But the biggest + departures may set up over the Great Lakes. The daily means are quickly falling now with the NYC split next week down to 73/59. So not tough to beat that with ridging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 2 hours ago, ForestHillWx said: My avg splits out his way are 78/52. I'm at 50 currently, projected to hit 74. Im not seeing the way above normal temps you are discussing. Projected lows should be higher; is that the basis? http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 We may see more 90s yet, wow that's a massive ridge set to develop. A complete 180 of what we saw in August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 20 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: We may see more 90s yet, wow that's a massive ridge set to develop. A complete 180 of what we saw in August. Those anomalies are only 2C/3.6F, not enough to hit 90F. If NYC's normals are 73/59, that would equate to upper 70s by day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, nzucker said: Those anomalies are only 2C/3.6F, not enough to hit 90F. If NYC's normals are 73/59, that would equate to upper 70s by day. Not if the 12z gfs is right, that's a strong Bermuda Ridge setup for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 37 minutes ago, nzucker said: Those anomalies are only 2C/3.6F, not enough to hit 90F. If NYC's normals are 73/59, that would equate to upper 70s by day. they're at 850 mb, not the sfc an ensemble mean is at day 10 is likely to be toned down from what actually will happen, especially when it comes to extremes that airmass is advecting east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Just had a pretty heavy downpour on the UWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 82.7 / 65.6 here today, warmest day of the month so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Hearing some thunder now with this storm scraping the south shore. Light rain here at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 Had 0.13" rain after high temp of 82. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 13, 2017 Share Posted September 13, 2017 what a signal for day 10. assuming jose doesn't get trapped and pushed westward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 A little summer feel tonight. 74 dewpt 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 Next 8 days still averaging 75degs. or +7 or +8degs. No BN day till 26th., and perhaps a 90 degree day thrown in for good measure? For once EURO, GFS, CMC agree that Jose will be close to us on the 19th/20th. period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 The rest of September looks much like the warm La Nina pattern last winter. Interesting how the trough sets up over the West right where the record breaking summer ridge was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 44 minutes ago, bluewave said: The rest of September looks much like the warm La Nina pattern last winter. Interesting how the trough sets up over the West right where the record breaking summer ridge was. Yep, complete pattern flip from August and early September like you and SnoSki mentioned. Our old friend, "The Ridge," looks to have finally returned. It felt like something was missing lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 46 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: Yep, complete pattern flip from August and early September like you and SnoSki mentioned. Our old friend, "The Ridge," looks to have finally returned. It felt like something was missing lol. This is the type of pattern that can really get stuck in place with a Nina-like regime like we saw last fall and winter. Be interesting to see if this pattern holds or we try and get back to more of a Western ridge again in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 Irma flooded the eastern us with tropical air...that's not the first time a hurricane or tropical storm was followed by a warm up around here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 15 hours ago, forkyfork said: what a signal for day 10. assuming jose doesn't get trapped and pushed westward I think most will tack on another 90F day around the 24th +/- a couple days, maybe more than one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 2 hours ago, Isotherm said: I think most will tack on another 90F day around the 24th +/- a couple days, maybe more than one. Latest my station has been to 90+ is 9/27 back in 1998. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 14, 2017 Share Posted September 14, 2017 Extremely heavy rain out of nowhere in SW Nassau. Near-whiteout conditions for a brief second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 13 hours ago, bluewave said: The rest of September looks much like the warm La Nina pattern last winter. Interesting how the trough sets up over the West right where the record breaking summer ridge was. It looks as if the ridge amplifies to our North, however, limiting how warm we can get and allowing for a tropical system or ULL to develop underneath those high heights. Could eventually lead to a heavy rain/flood threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 JOSE gives us 3", 60mph and 25ft seas nearby on 19th-20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Next 8 days still +8degs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Currently 72F, felt much warmer today and yesterday compared to earlier in the week. Hearing potential heat wave next week.. that would be something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Next 8 days still averaging 75degs., or about +8degs. No BN temps. till near end of month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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