IrishRob17 Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 22 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Yup, same here. Hopefully this isn't the only time we do better than the coast for the next six months. 90 here again today, fourth day in a row makes it the longest heat wave of the summer IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 58 minutes ago, bluewave said: You know there is an historic heat pattern in place when ISP ties the record high on an E to NE flow in late September. A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 86 DEGREES WAS SET AT ISLIP NY TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 86 SET IN 1998. Too bad there is not a juicy front plowing into this airmass-some storms would be great-the hurricane and the subsidence around it probably screwed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
e46and2 Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 just had an incredible 8 minute tropical downpour here in deer park, moving east to west looks vaguely associated with Maria's outflow. brief but impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: with dewpoints in the 70's Looks like the moisture plume originated over the Caribbean-Bahamas and got pulled into our area by Maria. The mid-70's dewpoints out on LI are probably a new record for so late in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Too bad there is not a juicy front plowing into this airmass-some storms would be great-the hurricane and the subsidence around it probably screwed us. Some heavy downpours just missed a few miles to my north. Had views of towering CU the last few hours here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 Guidance continues to show the cooldown 9/29 - 10/2 looks to be very temporary . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 9/27 PHL: 89 EWR: 88 TEB: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 87 New Brunswick: 87 LGA: 87 JFK: 87 ISP: 86 ACY: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 77/74 at 11PM in late September, unbelievable, but I’m loving it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Based on guidance it would not shock me to see us crack 90 in the next heat surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 11 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: 90 here again today, fourth day in a row makes it the longest heat wave of the summer IMBY. I saw 90 on the dashboard thermometer 100 miles north of here this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Next 8 still averaging 67degs. or about +3degs., and this includes the cooler days. GFS back to predicting the 80's for Oct.5-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Feeling the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 I think this may be the first 7 days in a row of +10 departures at Newark since December 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Breezy this morning, and the air is noticeably drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Cold front through here in the lasts 2 hrs...dews plunging and nice dry north winds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 JFK is being given a 7 degree premium today over NYC (81 vs. 74) due to a downsloping northwest wind. Maria now 37.2N 70.5W and pretty weak, but clearly producing those downsloping winds for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Low of 74 this morning, which is the warmest morning low (for me) since 8/22, which had a low of 75. I highly doubt it’ll be the low for the day, however. That should come later on tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 14 hours ago, SACRUS said: Guidance continues to show the cooldown 9/29 - 10/2 looks to be very temporary . I'm interested in the pattern after next week's brief torch. With the Kara ridge, we should see the development of a -NAO block for the first time in a while. Additionally, looks like some height rises over NW Canada/AK should bring much cooler air into Canada. I'm expecting a more sustained cooldown starting around 10/10, leading to the first true autumn weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Feels great out there.. 67° w/ a nice NW wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 6 hours ago, nzucker said: I'm interested in the pattern after next week's brief torch. With the Kara ridge, we should see the development of a -NAO block for the first time in a while. Additionally, looks like some height rises over NW Canada/AK should bring much cooler air into Canada. I'm expecting a more sustained cooldown starting around 10/10, leading to the first true autumn weather. Hope you are right. I personally don’t see more 90s at this point, but mid 80s seem possible. April-Oct nowadays have warm-hot weather, so looking forward to a sustained cool down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 I think October torch's at times...last October had the lowest monthly ao on record...Dec-Mar was positive...I hope October torch's with a very high AO...maybe December will have the neg ao...the last Dec with a -ao was 2012... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 AN days seem to predominate for the next 45 day period, maybe at a 2 to 1 clip over BN days Still CFS shows no BN month for the next 9 months., yet there is talk of a cold or normal winter around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, CIK62 said: AN days seem to predominate for the next 45 day period, maybe at a 2 to 1 clip over BN days Still CFS shows no BN month for the next 9 months., yet there is talk of a cold or normal winter around here. Well the CFS is just a tool. The analysts here consider a lot of factors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Another 80 degree day and JFK misses the record high by just 2 degrees. MAXIMUM 80 234 PM 82 1948 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 46 minutes ago, CIK62 said: AN days seem to predominate for the next 45 day period, maybe at a 2 to 1 clip over BN days Still CFS shows no BN month for the next 9 months., yet there is talk of a cold or normal winter around here. Who is talking about a cold winter? If I had money on it I would bet above normal every single time. The fact that the western trough is locking in again is definitly a sign of a way above normal winter. I think we still manage average snow fall though. As we have had a pretty epic stormy pattern the last 2 decades. I don't see the ending anytime soon. One X factor will be the now below normal water temps off the coast from Jose and Maria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 52 minutes ago, bluewave said: Another 80 degree day and JFK misses the record high by just 2 degrees. MAXIMUM 80 234 PM 82 1948 Only got down to 72 here this morning, so didn't have far to go to get near 80... 77 high here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 now 66 with a Dewpoint of 44 breezy and tonight will approach brisk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 Down to 61 with a forecasted low of 48. Quite breezy as well. Finally turned off the AC for the first time in almost a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 Next 8 days averaging 66degs. or still a +3degs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 29, 2017 Author Share Posted September 29, 2017 55 degrees here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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