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September 2017 Observation & Discussion Thread


dmillz25

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3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

That's been the norm the past few years so I think that'll be the case again. People always think once fall arrives that it's here to stay but we always have an Indian summer

 

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Cool departure months like August have been the exception rather than the rule for the most part during the 2010's. You can see how the first 10 days of September were the tail end of the cool August pattern before the big rebound to warmer after September 12th.

Beautiful "Summer" day out there.  I agree with both of you and think that this Fall will most likely follow the pattern of the last couple. 

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28 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

 

Beautiful "Summer" day out there.  I agree with both of you and think that this Fall will most likely follow the pattern of the last couple. 

Up to 88 now at Newark for our summer in late September pattern.

 

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On 9/22/2017 at 0:48 PM, bluewave said:

This gives new meaning to a back-loaded summer in Grand Rapids. It only reached 93 in June, 90 in July, and 88 in August.

Just passing along an update...  Grand Rapids hit 95 for the 3rd day in a row.  Even more impressive, Traverse City (way freaking north in lower Michigan) also reached 95.

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1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Well so much for having 4 seasons, gfs shows ridging throughout the LR with a trough in the west. 80s in October look likely. 

Basically summer until Thanksgiving. 

It's a shame because we were setting up for a spectacular foliage season but all this heat and dry air are going to kill it. 

The GFS only goes out to 10/10, not even close to Halloween, let alone Thanksgiving. We do see a huge cooldown in the 9/28-10/1 timeframe, though if a strong GoA low returns with the cold air remaining in Siberia, then the cooler pattern will be short-lived.

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5 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

The good thing about this is that it's in late September so it cools down a bit at night

...true..KFOK got down to 54* this morning..currently i'm @ 59*.

quess we'll hit the beach today for the last time and wrap up beach season '17..{been

saying that the last few weekends}..melancholy day for sure..sorry to see the season end but then again

looking forward to the 'low sun angle period'.

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9 minutes ago, bluewave said:

September 2011 was the last wet one at EWR. All the Septembers since then have been dry.

Euro has it dry till next sunday (oct 1) Also hinting at heights coming up on/around 10/3.  GFS is warmer sooner after a 3-4 day cool down 9/28 - 10/1-2.

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3 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Euro has it dry till next sunday (oct 1) Also hinting at heights coming up on/around 10/3.  GFS is warmer sooner after a 3-4 day cool down 9/28 - 10/1-2.

Now that the trough has finally replaced the record summer ridge in the West, it doesn't want to leave. Just like last fall.

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