bluewave Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Warm pattern for the rest of September. Some hints with the EPS of the Western ridge making a return for the start of October. But that is still pretty far out in time to be sure yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Been cloudy all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Been cloudy all day Beautiful sunny day on the South Shore. The seabreeze front is stuck over your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 27 minutes ago, bluewave said: Beautiful sunny day on the South Shore. The seabreeze front is stuck over your area. ...ocean beaches stuck in low clouds while i was there..ocean was plenty rough and very warm..got home to bright blue skies.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Just got caught in a tremendous amount of rain. Sky turned black and opened up. Half inch easy in the last 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Bright sunshine, a light sea breeze, and 82° this afternoon in Larchmont on the Long Island Sound. However, local beaches are closed (prematurely, it seems). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 17 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Bright sunshine, a light sea breeze, and 82° this afternoon in Larchmont on the Long Island Sound. However, local beaches are closed (prematurely, it seems). NYC beaches extended the season again this year to Sept 10, but Sept started chilly so it wasnt so appealing. Now the sun and warmth is here. I think some NYS beaches do the same too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 16, 2017 Author Share Posted September 16, 2017 That's a big cell in North centralNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Very weak steering flow; someone's going to get a flash flood this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 27 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: Very weak steering flow; someone's going to get a flash flood this evening. Activity's winding down now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 2 hours ago, dWave said: NYC beaches extended the season again this year to Sept 10, but Sept started chilly so it wasnt so appealing. Now the sun and warmth is here. I think some NYS beaches do the same too. We are still open (life guards) at jones beach tomorrow. Last day. it was a gorgous beach day, after a cloudy start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 17, 2017 Share Posted September 17, 2017 Next 8 days average, down a little to 74degs., or +7degs. Rest of month looks to be near 80 for highs and no precipitation. Must be a mistake. Crazy thing is---hottest day (so far) [85 on 9/5] was in the midst of the 12 day cold start to September. The next 5 day period that is predicted to average BN, is centered on Oct. 17! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 On 9/16/2017 at 7:24 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We are still open (life guards) at jones beach tomorrow. Last day. it was a gorgous beach day, after a cloudy start. I went to Long Beach. I figured why go out to Jones or Robert Moses with lifeguards if the surf will be too rough to really swim, plus the surfing tournament was at LB. The waves were really big, it came to the point where if your on the sand you will likely get splashed, water was advancing pretty far onto the beach. I wanna see what it'll look like when Jose makes its closest pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 23 minutes ago, dWave said: I went to Long Beach. I figured why go out to Jones or Robert Moses with lifeguards if the surf will be too rough to really swim, plus the surfing tournament was at LB. The waves were really big, it came to the point where if your on the sand you will likely get splashed, water was advancing pretty far onto the beach. I wanna see what it'll look like when Jose makes its closest pass. Here is a pic from jones today. The water should go under the board walk starting with tomorrow evenings high tide. This is why I think there will be major beach erosion. We have seen this in the past with storms that were much further offshore. Most notably with Bill in 09 and Earl in 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 Next 8 days still averaging 74degs., or +7degs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 18, 2017 Share Posted September 18, 2017 Is that rain or just clutter moving into southern Westchester? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 Bluewave, UncleW, does the activity of the hurricane season have anything to do with the upcoming potential winter 'round these parts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 Next 8 days average 77degs!, or about +10degs. Looked like a typical summer chart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 15 minutes ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days average 77degs!, or about +10degs. Looked like a typical summer chart. The weekend should feel like a summer weekend. Sunday might make a run at 90°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 19, 2017 Share Posted September 19, 2017 The transistion to normal temps. or less, comes as Maria goes by on the 28th. If it goes to 50/50 a more meaningful BN period might be iniciated. Only -1.5x18 = -27 negative degs. left now for the month and they should be wiped out before the weekend. We could end month @+1.5 to +2.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Next 8 days averaging 75degs., or +7 or 8 degrees. Should be back to Normal for the month by Sunday AM, and about +1 before any BN air comes in near end of month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Since wave heights predicted for Buoy 44025 for Jose (averaged near 20' over a week)----and this was close to reality, I am going to track Maria too. First call is 37', a week from now. Let's see which way this goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 75/69 and breezy. Tropical feel to the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 1 hour ago, psv88 said: 75/69 and breezy. Tropical feel to the air. Yeah last several days here with upper 60's lows...big difference from earlier in the month with the cool dry mornings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 3 hours ago, doncat said: Yeah last several days here with upper 60's lows...big difference from earlier in the month with the cool dry mornings. Yeah, the air has been muggy for awhile now, and I think that's contributing to the summer feel. This second half of September is bringing back memories of 2015. The weekend looks beautiful here, with forecast highs of 80/85 for Saturday and Sunday respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 Next 8 averaging 76degs. Must be near +9 to +10 degrees. This is normal for second week of August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 Wave height prediction for Maria at Buoy 44025 is down to 19' from 37' yesterday. Going further east now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 That's a pretty insane PNA shift that I haven't seen before, it tanks to -4 before shooting up again by early October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 Sunday and Monday could potentially be the first +20C 850 mb temps on record for the Northeast after September 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 21, 2017 Share Posted September 21, 2017 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: That's a pretty insane PNA shift that I haven't seen before, it tanks to -4 before shooting up again by early October. The pattern looks to change significantly after 9/30...A strong low pressure system tracks across Canada at the same time an Aleutian ridge starts to develop...these two factors remove a lot of the mild Pacific air from Canada and allow colder continental air to filter down from the North Pole and especially the Beaufort Sea/N AK region. Combined with declining sun angle, Canada fills with below freezing 850mb temperatures. Simultaneously, there is a spike in the PNA around 9/28, followed by a brief dip, and then a return to more sustained western ridging/+PNA by October 4th. Wouldn't be surprised if the northwest suburbs saw their first round of 30s along with some frost threats in that first week of October if modeling holds. It looks like that will be the time to remove air conditioning units and ready heating systems for the coming winter. Will feel especially chilly after the mild middle of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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