Morris Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Let's see what 850's of 5C can do. The dew point isn't too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 57 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Next 8 days now up to 4 to 5degs. AN. (Avg. 68-69). Could Jose be another Sandy here, around the 20th.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Low of 59 here, which is my 3rd low in the 50's this month. JFK has 6 so far. Average temps through Sept 9th: Here: 74.2 / 61.7 JFK: 74.4 / 59.8 I'm much closer to the ocean, which likely explains the warmer minimum temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 Latest GFS run has the fate of Jose still up in the air 16 days from now!. Looks like another high latitude loop preformed as it heads west for us then backs off to south and east, not the northeast and gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 10, 2017 Author Share Posted September 10, 2017 What was the low in central park? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 On 9/10/2017 at 3:12 PM, dmillz25 said: What was the low in central park? Expand 57 http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=knyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 4th morning in the upper 40s here. Impressive for first 10 days of sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 On 9/10/2017 at 1:13 PM, CIK62 said: Latest GFS run has the fate of Jose still up in the air 16 days from now!. Looks like another high latitude loop preformed as it heads west for us then backs off to south and east, not the northeast and gone. Expand 12z is even more crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 10, 2017 Share Posted September 10, 2017 On 9/10/2017 at 4:50 PM, SnoSki14 said: 12z is even more crazy. Right. Shows an intensifying hurricane at our latitude! This must prove it will not happen. http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2017091012&fh=222&r=conus&dpdt= Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 On 9/10/2017 at 11:42 AM, CIK62 said: Next 8 days now up to 4 to 5degs. AN. (Avg. 68-69). Could Jose be another Sandy here, around the 20th.? Expand Looks like low 80s here all week before the next trough heads east by the weekend, perhaps accompanied by Jose. If we do get another cold shot around 9/20, we will need some unseasonable warmth to erase the departures from the coolest start to September since 2003. We are currently -5.6F for the month, which is a very large departure for the warm season when variations from normal tend to be in the 1-3F range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 On 8/27/2017 at 1:21 AM, donsutherland1 said: 9/1-10/1964: 9/1 85-65 9/2 80-58 9/3 85-60 9/4 92-63 9/5 89-66 9/6 82-59 9/7 82-58 9/8 84-63 9/9 92-63 9/10 87-66 9/11 92-63 9/12 71-58 9/13 60-53 9/14 75-48 Expand Thank you, Don. I remember that cold morning. I should have gotten my old butt in gear and done the research myself, thank you again for your kindness. Rich Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 Next 8 days jumps to +7degs. Everyday is AN. Jose still has effects here late. Should be back to normal for month by the 19th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 The cooler summer pattern which lingered into the first 10 days of September is finally changing. The summer perma-ridge over the PACNW is being replaced by a trough. This will finally allow more ridging in the East and above normal 80+ degree temps in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 On 9/11/2017 at 11:55 AM, bluewave said: The cooler summer pattern which lingered into the first 10 days of September is finally changing. The summer perma-ridge over the PACNW is being replaced by a trough. This will finally allow more ridging in the East and above normal 80+ degree temps in our area. Expand It's done this before in the summer but went back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 Well, hopefully, we get a nice, warm October. Warm Octobers = cold winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 On 9/11/2017 at 4:33 PM, TriPol said: Well, hopefully, we get a nice, warm October. Warm Octobers = cold winters. Expand Well we do know what happens when you get a HEC in October. That's a winter i never want to repeat. I think the odds of a (direct) jose impact here is extremely low. It would be the ultimate thread the needle. Maybe Atlantic Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 On 9/11/2017 at 1:41 PM, WEATHERBUFF said: It's done this before in the summer but went back. Expand NYC actually finished September 1-10 as the 6th coldest since 1869. That's how impressive the ridge was over Western NOAM. With the Western trough returning, we'll see some warmer temps for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 11, 2017 Share Posted September 11, 2017 Indices shows generally a -NAO/AO with a rising PNA, correlation is weak in September but this upcoming warm period could very well be a blip rather than a pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 On 9/11/2017 at 7:08 PM, bluewave said: NYC actually finished September 1-10 as the 6th coldest since 1869. That's how impressive the ridge was over Western NOAM. With the Western trough returning, we'll see some warmer temps for a while. Expand Coolest in a century. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 Next 8 days Rock and Roast at +8degs. (luckily: Avg. 68-69) Muscleman Jose (941mb.) stays out of the benchmark near the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 On 9/12/2017 at 3:27 AM, Morris said: Coolest in a century. Wow! Expand One of the more impressive cool records here since February 2015. The only way we have been able to get cool here in the 2010's is to have some record blocking ridge like we just came off of over Western NOAM this summer. The EPS drops the trough into the Western US into later September. We then wait to see what happens in October as last year it was a preview of the winter Pacific pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 It was 65 in SW Nassau an hour ago, and it's 53 right now in Central Suffolk. A 12 degree difference. This isn't even the largest temp drop/rise I've experienced while traveling between the two. I remember going from low 40's to mid 20's last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 On 9/12/2017 at 9:52 AM, CIK62 said: Next 8 days Rock and Roast at +8degs. (luckily: Avg. 68-69) Muscleman Jose (941mb.) stays out of the benchmark near the 20th. Expand Sounds great, nothing better than summer weather in mid-late September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 I'm hard pressed to remember a more boring stretch of weather locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 The low 80's have a late summer feel for the warmer spots today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 Back to later August weather for this week. After the cool stretch it feels even warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 On 9/12/2017 at 7:02 PM, Stormlover74 said: Back to later August weather for this week. After the cool stretch it feels even warmer Expand 79, and it feels hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 The 6-10 day EPS is paying tribute to the dominant pattern last winter. Aleutians ridge....Western trough...Eastern ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 12, 2017 Share Posted September 12, 2017 Love thia weather...hoping for extended 80's well inti October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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