dmillz25 Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 September is expected to start with an overall cool pattern. Discuss away. Oh and btw, we're getting closer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 Am I the only one that is still tracking 92L ? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 41 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Am I the only one that is still tracking 92L ? lol It's still a threat, the 12z gfs was certainly a lot more ominous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: It's still a threat, the 12z gfs was certainly a lot more ominous. Cmc also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 The Euro has a chilly start to September with an early appearance of the first 0c 850's in Northern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 ^Translates to mid-50s in the city and maybe some outskirts flirt with the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 13 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: ^Translates to mid-50s in the city and maybe some outskirts flirt with the 40s. Be interesting to see if these cooler solutions can hold as we get closer. NYC hasn't dropped to 55 or lower during the first week of September since 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 Just now, bluewave said: Be interesting to see if these cooler solutions can hold as we get closer. NYC hasn't dropped to 55 or lower during the first week of September since 2000. They'd get it done verbatim... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 35 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: They'd get it done verbatim... \ I think the last time we had upper 40's during the first week of September at places like ISP and HPN was also 2000. That was the last upper 30's during the first week of September out at FOK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 26, 2017 Share Posted August 26, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Be interesting to see if these cooler solutions can hold as we get closer. NYC hasn't dropped to 55 or lower during the first week of September since 2000. it used to be routine to get near 50 by the first week of September...50 is the lowest min. for August...1965 and 1986 have the coolest end of August outbreaks in recent times... 8/25... 53 in 1963 8/28... 50 in 1885 52 in 1986 8/29... 50 in 1965 50 in 1982 50 in 1986 8/30... 50 in 1965 51 in 1986 8/31... 50 in 1976 51 in 1965 9/1... 51 in 1872 54 in 1967 9/2... 51 in 1886 53 in 1991 9/4... 47 in 1883 48 in 1872 9/5... 52 in 2000 9/6... 49 in 1963...max 56...lowest for so early in the season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 1 hour ago, uncle W said: it used to be routine to get near 50 by the first week of September...50 is the lowest min. for August...1965 and 1986 have the coolest end of August outbreaks in recent times... 8/25... 53 in 1963 8/28... 50 in 1885 52 in 1986 8/29... 50 in 1965 50 in 1982 50 in 1986 8/30... 50 in 1965 51 in 1986 8/31... 50 in 1976 51 in 1965 9/1... 51 in 1872 54 in 1967 9/2... 51 in 1886 53 in 1991 9/4... 47 in 1883 48 in 1872 9/5... 52 in 2000 9/6... 49 in 1963...max 56...lowest for so early in the season... Unc. I was in the opening class at Kingsborough Community College in 1964 and remember a cold September beginning. Did we dip into the forties during those first two weeks? Probably just my memory going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 45 minutes ago, rclab said: Unc. I was in the opening class at Kingsborough Community College in 1964 and remember a cold September beginning. Did we dip into the forties during those first two weeks? Probably just my memory going. 9/14/64 and 9/16/64 had a low of 48...the 48 on the 16th broke the record set in 1961...that record was broken again in 1966... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 50 minutes ago, rclab said: Unc. I was in the opening class at Kingsborough Community College in 1964 and remember a cold September beginning. Did we dip into the forties during those first two weeks? Probably just my memory going. 9/1-10/1964: 9/1 85-65 9/2 80-58 9/3 85-60 9/4 92-63 9/5 89-66 9/6 82-59 9/7 82-58 9/8 84-63 9/9 92-63 9/10 87-66 9/11 92-63 9/12 71-58 9/13 60-53 9/14 75-48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 1964 was an interesting year weather wise...it had a January blizzard...a snowy winter...A cool April...warm May and parts of June...99 degrees on 6/30 and 7/1...very cool first three weeks of August...a very cool first three weeks of October...cold first three weeks of December...60 degree Christmas day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 27, 2017 Share Posted August 27, 2017 0Z Nam was interesting with 92L. It is more northwest than the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 28, 2017 Share Posted August 28, 2017 Models continuing with the idea of the strongest Northeast cold front to start September in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted August 28, 2017 Share Posted August 28, 2017 Wet Summers usually mean cold, wet Autumns... great for foliage viewing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThisIsNotSparta Posted August 28, 2017 Share Posted August 28, 2017 Models continuing with the idea of the strongest Northeast cold front to start September in years. If that is true, I'm not looking forward to itSent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 28, 2017 Share Posted August 28, 2017 3 hours ago, ThisIsNotSparta said: If that is true, I'm not looking forward to it Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk Friday into Saturday looks like a decent shot of CAA for the start of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 28, 2017 Share Posted August 28, 2017 5 hours ago, TriPol said: Wet Summers usually mean cold, wet Autumns... great for foliage viewing! I wonder how that'll translate for those of us experiencing a very dry summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 28, 2017 Share Posted August 28, 2017 September decade averages...the 2010's September average temperature for NYC is the highest of any decade so far along with the highest ave monthly max...... Decade...ave temp...rainfall...ave max...ave min... 1870's......65.3......3.41"............................ 1880's......66.2......4.18"......86.5......46.1 1890's......67.7......3.38"......89.6......47.0 1900's......68.1......3.84"......86.8......48.4 1910's......66.8......3.09"......89.5......45.6 1920's......67.8......3.54"......91.1......47.2 1930's......68.7......5.15"......90.0......47.9 1940's......68.8......3.70"......91.2......45.5 1950's......68.3......2.36"......89.9......45.6 1960's......67.7......3.85"......90.2......47.2 1970's......68.3......4.73"......90.1......47.1 1980's......68.6......3.58"......90.3......47.5 1990's......68.0......4.18"......88.7......47.6 2000's......68.6......4.91"......86.5......49.7 2010's......70.5......3.86"......92.7......52.4....2010-2016 1870- 2009........67.8......3.85"......89.2......47.1 1980- 2009........68.4......4.22"......88.5......48.3 Warmest..........Coolest..........Wettest............Driest... 74.5 in 2015...60.8 in 1871...16.85" in 1882...0.21" in 1884 73.6 in 1961...61.8 in 1887...11.96" in 1934...0.29" in 1914 73.3 in 1881...62.6 in 1883...11.51" in 2004...0.41" in 1885 73.3 in 2005...62.8 in 1888...10.30" in 1944...0.48" in 2005 72.3 in 1931...63.1 in 1963...10.09" in 1933...0.51" in 1941 72.3 in 1959...63.3 in 1893.....9.39" in 2011...0.60" in 1948 72.2 in 1891...63.3 in 1879.....9.32" in 1975...0.62" in 1895 72.1 in 1921...63.6 in 1917.....9.02" in 1938...0.70" in 1951 72.0 in 1930...63.7 in 1876.....8.82" in 1966...0.97" in 1881 71.8 in 1884...63.9 in 1918.....8.81" in 1999...1.10" in 1953 Hottest temp......Coolest temp... 102 9/02/1953....39 9/30/1912 101 9/07/1881....40 9/30/1888 ..99 9/03/1929....40 9/25/1887 ..99 9/11/1931....40 9/24/1963 ..99 9/11/1983....40 9/21/1871 Warmest monthly minimum... 57 in 1910 56 in 1921 56 in 2015 54 in 2002 54 in 1982 54 in 1960 54 in 1891 54 in 2010 54 in 2016 Coldest monthly max... 79 in 1883 80 in 1888 80 in 2003 81 in 1908 81 in 1918 81 in 1975 Warmest daily minimum... 79 9/07/1881 79 9/02/1898 78 9/03/1898 78 9/04/1898 78 9/11/1983 78 9/02/2010 Coolest daily max... 52 9/30/1888 52 9/24/1887 53 9/19/1875 53 9/24/1950 53 9/25/1879 53 9/28/1984 53 9/29/1888 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2017 Share Posted August 29, 2017 A lot of sleepless nights ahead if the models are correct with 93L. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 29, 2017 Share Posted August 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: A lot of sleepless nights ahead if the models are correct with 93L. not me...I'm taking Melatonin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 29, 2017 Share Posted August 29, 2017 13 minutes ago, uncle W said: not me...I'm taking Melatonin... Me either, I work at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 29, 2017 Author Share Posted August 29, 2017 14 minutes ago, uncle W said: not me...I'm taking Melatonin... I wont track it until I know it'll hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 29, 2017 Share Posted August 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: A lot of sleepless nights ahead if the models are correct with 93L. Especially the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 29, 2017 Share Posted August 29, 2017 NAM and Euro have the coolest start to September since at least 2009 with 50's into NYC. NYC September 1st temps in the 50's: 9-1-09....57 9-1-02...59 9-1-92...59 9-1-91...57 9-1-86...58 9-1-85...58 9-1-76...59 9-1-75...55 9-1-70..57 9-1-67..54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2017 Share Posted August 29, 2017 2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Especially the Euro. Deep trough in the midweat with a ridge in the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 a few 90 chances ahead of the next midwestern trough next week on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted August 30, 2017 Share Posted August 30, 2017 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: a few 90 chances ahead of the next midwestern trough next week on the euro Makes sense with the hurricane in the vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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