bluewave Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Just now, Paragon said: That was also a late afternoon event wasn't it? That was early morning and October was late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 1.75 at ISP. 78/77 now, brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: That was early morning and October was late afternoon. Typically our tornadic events come with early morning warm front passages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: 1.75 at ISP. 78/77 now, brutal. worst day of the year, I prefer 100+ degrees over this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Looking at the radar estimates it appears as though the immediate south shore was mostly left out once again. Lol. I missed all of it (on the LIE), lots residual traffic, blown out tires (why?) and vehicle issues though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 21 minutes ago, Paragon said: Typically our tornadic events come with early morning warm front passages. Yeah, they mostly involve warm fronts with the exception of Labor Day 1998. I don't think any of our tornadoes since 2000 occurred during a formal tornado watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Just now, bluewave said: Yeah, they mostly involve warm fronts with the exception of Labor Day 1998. I don't think any of our tornadoes since 2000 occurred during a formal tornado watch. Wasn't there another event in 1998, back in May I think? Around Memorial Day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: Wasn't there another event in 1998, back in May I think? Near Memorial Day? That was with the last high risk day in upstate NY. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Storm_Prediction_Center_high_risk_days#/media/File:Day1may3198.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: That was with the last high risk day in upstate NY. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Storm_Prediction_Center_high_risk_days#/media/File:Day1may3198.png Interesting that we had severe weather events near both Memorial Day and Labor Day that year. Personally I feel that the Labor Day outbreak was superior. Last time we had anything like that was back in October 1989 I think it was with all the funnel clouds reported and the school wall collapse. We had some big severe weather events in 2010 too, but obviously not high risk days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 2 minutes ago, Paragon said: Interesting that we had severe weather events near both Memorial Day and Labor Day that year. Personally I feel that the Labor Day outbreak was superior. Last time we had anything like that was back in October 1989 I think it was with all the funnel clouds reported and the school wall collapse. We had some big severe weather events in 2010 too, but obviously not high risk days. Labor Day 98 was still the only time that I ever verified wind damage to trees and 3/4 hail in Long Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 The slight risk was expanded North and East some with the latest update. Main threats are a spin up or damaging winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 The latest HRRR rips a wicked squall line through the whole area late this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 .49 so far in springfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 18, 2017 Author Share Posted August 18, 2017 Picked up 0.20" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Labor Day 98 was still the only time that I ever verified wind damage to trees and 3/4 hail in Long Beach. Was that the largest hail our area has ever received? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 18, 2017 Author Share Posted August 18, 2017 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1521.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 15 minutes ago, Paragon said: Was that the largest hail our area has ever received? In Long Beach it was. But the close to 3" hailer on 08-01-11 was the record for Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: In Long Beach it was. But the close to 3" hailer on 08-01-11 was the record for Nassau. I don't think that was in SW Nassau I don't remember it lol. It would be nice to have to shovel hail one day and to have the plows out for it, like what happened in NJ a few years back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 we'll probably get drenched later. juiced atmosphere with the activity west of us expanding and the meso models show that activity sweeping through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: we'll probably get drenched later. juiced atmosphere with the activity west of us expanding and the meso models show that activity sweeping through and the sun coming out probably didn't hurt either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 2 minutes ago, Paragon said: I don't think that was in SW Nassau I don't remember it lol. It would be nice to have to shovel hail one day and to have the plows out for it, like what happened in NJ a few years back. New Hyde Park. 0430 PM HAIL NEW HYDE PARK 40.73N 73.69W 08/01/2011 M3.00 INCH NASSAU NY TRAINED SPOTTER SPOTTER MEASURED HAIL AT 3.0 INCHES. CAR WINDSHIELD SHATTERED ON DURHAM ROAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 28 minutes ago, Paragon said: Was that the largest hail our area has ever received? I remember a couple of significant hail events in Oceanside in the 70's and one in North Merrick that took out a couple of windows at the camp I went to. I remember one of them being enough that I shoveled the driveway just because I could and doing it in shorts and sandals was kind of unique. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 The golf ball sized hail that I had back on 5/31/17 is the largest I've ever seen in person. Not sure if it's a coincidence or not but the number of hail events seems to have increased here substantially in the last ten years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Upton must have read my post from earlier because they decided to hoist a Flash Flood Watch Flood Watch National Weather Service New York NY 106 PM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017 ...Heavy Showers and Thunderstorms through Early Tonight... .As a cold front moves slowly east toward the area, narrow bands of heavy showers and thunderstorms will move northeast across the area. CTZ009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ069>075-176>179-190300- /O.NEW.KOKX.FF.A.0005.170818T1706Z-170819T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Southern Fairfield-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson- Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Western Union-Eastern Union-Rockland-Northern Westchester- Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens- Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 106 PM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and southeast New York, including the following areas, in southern Connecticut, Southern Fairfield. In northeast New Jersey, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Western Bergen, Western Essex, Western Passaic, and Western Union. In southeast New York, Bronx, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northern Nassau, Northern Queens, Northern Westchester, Richmond (Staten Island), Rockland, Southern Nassau, Southern Queens, and Southern Westchester. * Until 11 PM EDT this evening * Narrow bands of heavy showers could produce rainfall rates from 1 to 3 inches per hour as they move across the same area. With wet antecedent conditions, flash flooding is possible. * There is a chance for widespread life threatening flooding of small rivers, streams, brooks, and urban areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The golf ball sized hail that I had back on 5/31/17 is the largest I've ever seen in person. Not sure if it's a coincidence or not but the number of hail events seems to have increased here substantially in the last ten years. I think so too. NJ has had a number of shovelable/plowable events in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 This cluster of storms moving along 78 in PA is in a prime location to affect the Northern portion of the metro over the next 3-4hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 18, 2017 Author Share Posted August 18, 2017 One of the highest dew points I have seen in a while, currently at 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 8 minutes ago, gravitylover said: I remember a couple of significant hail events in Oceanside in the 70's and one in North Merrick that took out a couple of windows at the camp I went to. I remember one of them being enough that I shoveled the driveway just because I could and doing it in shorts and sandals was kind of unique. I went away on summer vacation one year and when I came back and went through the mail I saw we had received our community newspaper and there were big blaring headlines about a car dealership losing half their cars because of large hail. I regretted not being there to see how big the hail was- this was back in the early or mid 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Severe T-Storm Watch til 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 18, 2017 Author Share Posted August 18, 2017 Looks like it is going to be a very active afternoon/evening ahead. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0455.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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