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Autumn is coming pretty quickly. Thought some early discussion would be nice. Been a spectacular summer for me. Things are greener in August and more alive looking than I remember seeing in many many years. I am incredibly ready for autumn to begin though as I believe it will be quite beautiful this year.

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Same here. Probably been 5 years  or so since I have seen full color or the trees haven't held their leaves too long and turned straight brown because of drought. I don't usually look forward to autumn as a season itself but I'm looking forward to it this year.

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Looking like we run near avg to above for most of the area in the next 2 weeks but September looks solidly cool for most of us at this point. Longer range guidance keeps cooling further with each run over the central CONUS. Days like today just make me even more ready for fall.

 

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I put out a Fall Outlook using MJJ conditions (PDO, ONI, AMO), observed ABQ weather conditions MJJ (90F days, MJJ mean high), change in ONI from DJF to MJJ, and also (estimated) sunspots for July-June.

Looked like a cooler Fall than last year nationally, expecting Fall to be 3F cooler than last year here, with October in particular much colder.

https://tinyurl.com/y8ae83v5

 

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Nice forecast raindancewx. Enjoyed reading it. One thing that did get my attention, though, is that La Niña conditions look like they will be now somewhat likely to at least an extent through part or all of fall/winter. What are your thoughts in that instance?

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  • 3 weeks later...
On 9/15/2017 at 2:34 AM, Cerakoter1984 said:

Yeah. Hot again but October looking really awesome from what I hear. Still hoping for beautiful fall colors this year but it has gotten very dry lately, which I wasn't expecting.

I think you can kiss fall color goodbye in this region again this year.   Just like the past 2 yrs, really dry conditions have set up at the wrong time,  leaves are dying and falling off prematurely. 

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On 9/16/2017 at 9:53 AM, mbkemp said:

Hello from Owasso. Is it ever going to snow again?

I just started following this board. I've always been interested, know next to nothing, but following to learn more


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Thinking you have a decent shot of seeing snow this year.

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