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August 2017 Observations & Discussion Thread


Rtd208

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26 minutes ago, TriPol said:

So does this mean we're done with the 90s? Possibly even the 85+s?

I think yesterday essentially ended summer.   While we might get hot for a random day or so, it's pretty much over.  Cool temps next 7-10 days and then we're into early September.  Modeling fairly cool for September as well.

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Record lowest number of 90 degree days this year at Newark following a top 5 warmest winter. That makes this year one of the lowest heating and cooling energy usage years in recent times.

The 1981-2010 30 year average number of 90 degree days at Newark is 27 days. So this year is a -8 day departure so far.

DJF.....avg temp....90 degree days at Newark

01-02....41.1...41

15-16....40.1...40

11-12....40.0...33

97-98....39.5...21

16-17....39.0...19

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23 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Record lowest number of 90 degree days this year at Newark following a top 5 warmest winter. That makes this year one of the lowest heating and cooling energy usage years in recent times.

The 1981-2010 30 year average number of 90 degree days at Newark is 27 days. So this year is a -8 day departure so far.

DJF.....avg temp....90 degree days at Newark

01-02....41.1...41

15-16....40.1...40

11-12....40.0...33

97-98....39.5...21

16-17....39.0...19

Interesting. Other than the historic blizzard of 2016, that winter was pretty blah. Hoping this winter won't be pretty blah.

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2 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Interesting. Other than the historic blizzard of 2016, that winter was pretty blah. Hoping this winter won't be pretty blah.

The 15-16 winter was my favorite since 10-11 due to the historic blizzard, UKMET follow up snowstorm, and first NYC 0 since 1994. 

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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite images, reconnaissance data and surface observations
indicate that the remmants of Harvey are close to redeveloping into
a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico about 150
miles west of Merida, Mexico. Advisories will likely be re-initiated
at 10 am CDT on this system. The low is forecast to move to the
northwest at about 10 mph across the western Gulf of Mexico,
possibly reaching the northwestern Gulf coast late Friday. This
system is likely to slow down once it reaches the coast, increasing
the threat of a prolonged period of heavy rainfall and flooding
across portions of Texas and Louisiana into early next week. Harvey
could also produce storm surge and tropical storm or hurricane force
winds along portions of the Texas coast later this week, and
Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watches could be required later today
for portions of the coast of northeastern Mexico, Texas, and
southwestern Louisiana.  Interests in these areas should monitor the
progress of this system and refer to products issued by your local
National Weather Service office for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
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3 minutes ago, KEITH L.I said:

Forecast high tomorrow from Upton is 81 with a  low of 66 lol..very strange..GFS has a high of 92 and a low of 80..never seen that before

It's been that way since the GFS upgrade. The raw 2m temps have been way too warm. 

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