nycwinter Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 yesterday was a brutal an any day of the summer and it was the humidity that was the reason.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 That GDPS storm still hanging in for another run. Causes easterly gales for 2 days for many north of Cape Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 Be interesting to see if Tuesday turns out to be the last potential 90 degree day of the year. The weeklies don't have much in the way of heat potential from later August into early September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 87 hi here today...Finally seeing some 70+ mins past couple days after going 25 days without one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 8/19: ACY: 89 EWR: 89 LGA: 89 PHL: 88 TEB: 88 New Brunswick: 87 ISP: 87 JFK: 87 TTN: 87 NYC: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 It's 44 degrees here, with the expected low in the 30's. Too bad I'm coming back to the muggy city. I had a week of splendid weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 17 hours ago, bluewave said: Be interesting to see if Tuesday turns out to be the last potential 90 degree day of the year. The weeklies don't have much in the way of heat potential from later August into early September. Agreed 7/23 (very much like 2013) a switch went off in the atmosphere and any push of heat or ridging into the NE struggled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 Still waiting for my first 90F day in August. We'll see if Tuesday will do it. Today's likely mid 80s, and tomorrow may be disrupted by the eclipse. Gorgeous morning with a cool breeze. The interludes of high dew points have been very ephemeral this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 Next 8 days still are +3degs. (Avg. 73). We should be a little above normal by the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 GDPS still has this stubborn TS near us this time next week. This is the same system that the GFS had last Sun-Tues period, for two weeks hence. http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ggem&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2017082000&fh=186&r=conus&dpdt= GFS at this time: Thttp://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2017082006&fh=180&r=conus&dpd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 I would wager that would be a hurricane. Coastal waters will suffice for this development. I see homebrew on every model, even the Euro. Our chances look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Agreed 7/23 (very much like 2013) a switch went off in the atmosphere and any push of heat or ridging into the NE struggled. It's interesting that more than half the Septembers from 2000 to 2011 didn't reach 90 degrees at Newark. But we have seen a fairly high number of 90 degree days during September since then. If the weeklies are correct about the late August into September pattern, then there is a chance this could be the first year since 2011. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 16 hours ago, Morris said: It's 44 degrees here, with the expected low in the 30's. Too bad I'm coming back to the muggy city. I had a week of splendid weather. And I'm back in the muck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 6 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days still are +3degs. (Avg. 73). We should be a little above normal by the 28th. After Tuesday it will be cooler,so that's doubtful unless Monday and Tuesday are well above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 13 minutes ago, WEATHERBUFF said: After Tuesday it will be cooler,so that's doubtful unless Monday and Tuesday are well above normal. Well right now, to date we have a deficit of 13 degs. for the month (-0.7*19). 8 days at +3degs/day is a +24degs.. So basically normal by the 28th. +(11/27) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 Unless there's a freak heat ridge the first week of September then it's very likely that Tuesday will be the last 90F day of the year if we even reach it that is (forecast is right around 90) It would be nice if this pattern could somehow continue into fall and winter. Maybe it will, the last two falls/winters have been torches, it's about time we had some kind of balance even if we still end up averaging just AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 81.5F here today. Lower than MOS by a few degrees for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 Just a tremendous day today 8/20: JFK: 85 EWR: 85 ACY: 85 PHL: 85 New Brunswick: 84 TEB: 84 LGA: 83 ISP: 83 NYC: 83 TTN: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 12 hours ago, Isotherm said: 81.5F here today. Lower than MOS by a few degrees for most. Long nights are beginning to kick in. Down to 59.6F this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 27 minutes ago, Isotherm said: Long nights are beginning to kick in. Down to 59.6F this morning. The beginning of the end for summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 Through the first 2/3 of Aug (polar opposite of 2016) Looks AN Mon - Wed then below Normal 8/24 - 8/28 JFK: +0.1 LGA: -0.6 PHL: -0.7 TTN: -0.7 NYC: -0.7 EWR: -1.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 From a low of 60 to 74 9AM Looks ok for the ecplise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 21 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Through the first 2/3 of Aug (polar opposite of 2016) Looks AN Mon - Wed then below Normal 8/24 - 8/28 JFK: +0.1 LGA: -0.6 PHL: -0.7 TTN: -0.7 NYC: -0.7 EWR: -1.4 Also the polar opposite of the winter. Notice how the PAC NW completely changed from a deep winter trough to a summer ridge. DJF 16-17 JJA 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 80 before 10 in many spots, but the eclipse may prevent 90s, we'll see. https://eyes.jpl.nasa.gov/eyes-on-eclipse-web-app.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 10AM Roundup: TEB: 80 NYC: 79 EWR: 80 LGA: 83 JFK: 82 ISP: 82 New Brunswick: 79 BLM: 80 TTN: 79 PHL: 79 ACY: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 58 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 80 before 10 in many spots, but the eclipse may prevent 90s, we'll see. https://eyes.jpl.nasa.gov/eyes-on-eclipse-web-app.html Don't think 90s were even in the forecast today, highest forecast here is only 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 2 hours ago, dmillz25 said: The beginning of the end for summer These next 2 days may be it for heat.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 Could be some isolated thunderstorms this afternoon into the early morning hours. The meso models have it. SPC has us in the risk box for thunderstorms with a marginal risk over E PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 12 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Could be some isolated thunderstorms this afternoon into the early morning hours. The meso models have it. SPC has us in the risk box for thunderstorms with a marginal risk over E PA. RGEM likes PA. Looks fairly dry for the rest of us. Was hoping for some storms tomorrow as the heat breaks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: RGEM likes PA. Looks fairly dry for the rest of us. Was hoping for some storms tomorrow as the heat breaks.... Yeah I think the dry slot is overdone. The main threat is definitely West of us but the threat for isolated convection exists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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