Juliancolton Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 13 minutes ago, snywx said: All this talk about an extreme -NAO is making me cringe. Unless you live in the DC area I never understood the love for it. Suppression/depression incoming If Paul Kocin taught me anything, it's that big interior snowstorms happen at the tail end of -NAO episodes, not when the blocking is at its strongest. With any luck, it'll last long enough that the Mid-Atlantic cashes in during the crazy 5 sigma -NAO or whatever, then we get a system or two while the pattern breaks down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Down to 76 here after hitting 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Yup hit 80 here at the house. It was kinda nice to do some early yard cleanup in a t-shirt without the bugs and such. I'm hoping that we see a reasonable storm as the -nao sets in then another as it pulls out. I'm not looking forward to the mixed up frozen mess that's being forecasted for the next few days though. After it does leave though I think I'll be done with this winter, heck I could be done with it today actually especially after home heating oil jumped almost $.50 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2018 Author Share Posted February 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Juliancolton said: If Paul Kocin taught me anything, it's that big interior snowstorms happen at the tail end of -NAO episodes, not when the blocking is at its strongest. With any luck, it'll last long enough that the Mid-Atlantic cashes in during the crazy 5 sigma -NAO or whatever, then we get a system or two while the pattern breaks down. Out of curiosity how - was the NAO during the snowicane? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2018 Author Share Posted February 21, 2018 High of 74° here. Front came through around 510, Down to 66° now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, snywx said: Out of curiosity how - was the NAO during the snowicane? It occurred right around the flip to positive after holding near -2 the week before. Some of us could have used a smidgen more supression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 10 minutes ago, snywx said: High of 74° here. Front came through around 510, Down to 66° now The front is moving through here now, the wind picked up pretty quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2018 Author Share Posted February 21, 2018 19 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: It occurred right around the flip to positive after holding near -2 the week before. Some of us could have used a smidgen more supression Touchy subject lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 My second favorite storm ever. 35 inches IMBY in Highland Mills and Boston got all rain. It doesn't get any better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 NAM is a sleetfest north of 84 tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 3 hours ago, Juliancolton said: NAM is a sleetfest north of 84 tomorrow evening Yeap.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 8 hours ago, snywx said: Out of curiosity how - was the NAO during the snowicane? Very negative. Feb 2010 was one of the most -NAOs on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 5 hours ago, nzucker said: Very negative. Feb 2010 was one of the most -NAOs on record. I believe that the month was -1.98 and March was -.88 so to @Juliancoltons post I believe it was on the rebound late in the month which allowed many of us up here to cash in after being shutout for most of the month thanks to suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 3 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: I believe that the month was -1.98 and March was -.88 so to @Juliancoltons post I believe it was on the rebound late in the month which allowed many of us up here to cash in after being shutout for most of the month thanks to suppression. Just looked back at my Feb 2010 records. I received 46" of snow, 40" of that fell in the second half of the month, 33" in the last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Here's a snapshot of the dailies for Feb 2010 found here: ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cwlinks/norm.daily.nao.index.b500101.current.ascii Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 15 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Here's a snapshot of the dailies for Feb 2010 found here: ftp://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cwlinks/norm.daily.nao.index.b500101.current.ascii So basically we got the Snowicane ten days after the peak negative values. That will be interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: So basically we got the Snowicane ten days after the peak negative values. That will be interesting to watch. And the Mid-Atlantic had their big storms 2/4-2/7/10 and 2/9-2/11/10 https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/nesis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 R/S line is cutting Sullivan/Ulster/Dutchess in half. 34° rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 10 minutes ago, snywx said: R/S line is cutting Sullivan/Ulster/Dutchess in half. 34° rain here I’m snow here, some sleet mixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Easy to seemmix line on dual Pol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Moderate snow here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I’m snow here, some sleet mixed Did you flip recently? The latest mesonet photo near there is showing rain or maybe white rain but the shot is from 3pm. I'm wondering if we flip down here before its over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Did you flip recently? The latest mesonet photo near there is showing rain or maybe white rain but the shot is from 3pm. I'm wondering if we flip down here before its over. Mesonet webcam in Walkill is showing a flip to snow. Its prob straddling the Ulster/Orange/Sullivan border now EDIT: All sleet now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: Mesonet webcam in Walkill is showing a flip to snow. Its prob straddling the Ulster/Orange/Sullivan border now Nice. The image I keep getting is the one from 3pm, not sure why its not updating for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Did you flip recently? The latest mesonet photo near there is showing rain or maybe white rain but the shot is from 3pm. I'm wondering if we flip down here before its over. I was sleet for a good hour.. flipped all snow now around 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Mix line is just to my south, almost in a straight line oriented Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I was sleet for a good hour.. flipped all snow now around 3 Sleet here now.. Temp 33° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: Sleet here now.. Temp 33° It was pretty fast... it’s really coming down good now, coating on everything, and starting to gather on street edges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Paste job commencing here in Poughkeepsie. Looks to be mod snow based on what I can't see in the distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT LITCHFIELD... BERKSHIRE...ULSTER...DUTCHESS...COLUMBIA...ALBANY...GREENE... SOUTHEASTERN SCHOHARIE...RENSSELAER...SOUTHERN BENNINGTON AND SOUTHERN WINDHAM COUNTIES... At 345 PM EST, a large area of moderate to heavy snow was located over much of eastern New York from around the Capital District southward and western New England, including Interstates 90, 87, and 787. The snow is causing reduced visibility and snow covered roads. Snowfall rates of one half to one inch per hour will result in hazardous travel conditions. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... Interstate 90 between exits 8 and 1s, and between exits 8 and 6-5A. Interstate 87 between exits 1 and 2 , near exit 4, and between exits 2-4 and 4-5. Interstate 787 between exits 2 and 8-7. Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a half mile in this area of heavy snow. Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra time when traveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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