UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 5 minutes ago, snywx said: I’m mostly referring to recent storm, they mention it in the AFD, but that’s it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I’m mostly referring to recent storm, they mention it in the AFD, but that’s it The mid-hudson valley is in no mans land when it comes to CWAs. Im literally a 10 min drive to 3 other CWAs other than mine. I usually take a blend of all the offices to get a general idea of the thinking for our locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 1 hour ago, snywx said: What did you end up finishing with? Ratios had to be atleast 15:1 up here. 4.3” melt d down to .28” which is close to 15:1. I just took a core sample of what’s in the ground to see how that measures up to the Stratus in “snow mode”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 27 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I’m mostly referring to recent storm, they mention it in the AFD, but that’s it This looks like a 2-3 inch snowfall for Monday night into Tuesday morning even down in Rockland, Bergen, Westchester and Passaic. We almost certainly wake up to WWAs tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 25 minutes ago, snowman19 said: This looks like a 2-3 inch snowfall for Monday night into Tuesday morning even down in Rockland, Bergen, Westchester and Passaic. We almost certainly wake up to WWAs tomorrow morning I think you are gonna have to be north or/and west of the TZ to see any accumulation tomorrow night. A general 2-4" (more north/less south ) type deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 1 hour ago, snywx said: I think you are gonna have to be north or/and west of the TZ to see any accumulation tomorrow night. A general 2-4" (more north/less south ) type deal The new 12z model runs would agree with you, this is strictly an Orange County north event. EPS has been showing this as a northern event for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 46 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The new 12z model runs would agree with you, this is strictly an Orange County north event. EPS has been showing this as a northern event for days North of 84 has the potential to see 4+ from this event. Amounts dramatically drop off from there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Just now, snywx said: North of 84 has the potential to see 4+ from this event Agreed. Gotta be in Orange County for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 18z RGEM gives sullivan county warning criteria snows. This maybe another sneaky event for those from O.C northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 00z runs were ugly, gotta be well N+W, rgem is alone with that much precip making its way down here... I’m expecting dusting-1” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 10 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: 00z runs were ugly, gotta be well N+W, rgem is alone with that much precip making its way down here... I’m expecting dusting-1” It's a shame the eastern trough is so amplified and we couldn't get this thing to just scoot underneath us as a conventional clipper for a reliable 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 7 hours ago, Juliancolton said: It's a shame the eastern trough is so amplified and we couldn't get this thing to just scoot underneath us as a conventional clipper for a reliable 1-3". Yea rgem still maintains some bursts, but I don’t see more than “squall” type snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 11, 2017 Author Share Posted December 11, 2017 5 hours ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Yea rgem still maintains some bursts, but I don’t see more than “squall” type snows I think areas N of 84 still have a shot at 1-3" of snow. Amounts drop off to nothing once near the Hudson. Sullivan & W Ulster look to do well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 On 12/10/2017 at 11:14 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I know we’re not suppose to harp on NWS, but I have to say, ever since I moved up here, (Albany) forecast area, I’ve notice they are continuously in the dark on their own forecasts... despite moderate totals for most their Southern area, not advisories or even updates for that matter on the storm, they pretended like It wasn’t happening lol... their probabilistic forecast for the area for Tuesday into wed is 0 snow, high end >1”.... is it just a case where they don’t care about their far southern viewing? I’m baffled Looks like a win for Albany's conservative methodology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 48 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Looks like a win for Albany's conservative methodology. For once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Foreign mods are much colder than the GFS/NAM, plus current below freezing temps as of 23z and the snowpack has gotta help a little with sfc temps. Was about this time in 2009 the NAM (although the old one) had all rain for me and temps near 45 and I got all snow and 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 29F with flakes flying around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTG87 Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 1 hour ago, nesussxwx said: 29F with flakes flying around. Hey Man. I am also in Hardsyton Twp (Crystal Springs) -- currently snowing here as well. Hoping we get the 1-2" that Mt. Holly is forecasting. We will see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Light snow now, was just flurries but picked up a bit last 10min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 24 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Light snow now, was just flurries but picked up a bit last 10min Hey Billy , any idea why its snowing so far South of Albany ? I thought this event would only be for well North ? BTW New City here and no snow just cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Hey Billy , any idea why its snowing so far South of Albany ? I thought this event would only be for well North ? BTW New City here and no snow just cold Decent energy out ahead, I’m seeing 30+DBZ localized in some spots.. I had about 28dbz... for about 20 min.. Coated everything, light snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Another firefighter just texted me said it’s snowing pretty hard at WP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Light Styrofoam pellets with a coating down, 30.8/27.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Very light rain here this morning, 35°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Huge flakes coming down, light snow... can tell smell the rain almost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Ugh, only light rain here closer to the Hudson River. My low elevation is a bummer in these scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Woke up to about 2 inches with steady flakes coming down. Monticello high school and I'm assuming others in the county are closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 Nuthin' but rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 9 hours ago, JTG87 said: Hey Man. I am also in Hardsyton Twp (Crystal Springs) -- currently snowing here as well. Hoping we get the 1-2" that Mt. Holly is forecasting. We will see! Sup neighbor! How's it going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 36F with drizzle, lovely. On the plus side, glad to see the ineludible Christmas torch is starting to take shape on the horizon. You'd know something was seriously wrong otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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