MN Transplant Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 23 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 8z Hrrr is way north of 3knam with precip by this evening. Model war and weenie suicides on tap. I haven't seen the Euro yet, but the HRRR has support from the NCAR ensemble. 2-3" in MD and DC is dangerously close to the big blob of well under and inch in VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 This may end up matching the best winter storm I saw last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Good thing I did my homework Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Its sunny with blue skies in Ocean City. I was expecting to wake up to torrential rain. Time for one last beach outing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 21 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 9z Hrrr total qpf thru 3z.. That would be hilarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Anne Arundel snow...err, rain hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Wxbell has 7.6 as the highest in that blob. Far western AA county seems to be the jackpot zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: I haven't seen the Euro yet, but the HRRR has support from the NCAR ensemble. 2-3" in MD and DC is dangerously close to the big blob of well under and inch in VA. And a visual of the NCAR ensemble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 One of the hourly DURRRR runs will come somewhat close to ground truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 9 hours ago, ldub23 said: they are evacuating all tourists from the outer banks as we speak. Power cable was cut going into the outer banks. could be weeks to fix though they are sending in generators. That's way south of Kitty Hawk, where I'm staying.....whewwww! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 They're evacuating Okracoke, not all of the outer banks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 14 minutes ago, mitchnick said: That's way south of Kitty Hawk, where I'm staying.....whewwww! You gotta wonder how, in this day of tech and sonar and scanning and pre-plans,. how these things still happen. I wonder if the tidal action over the years moved the cable enough so that the maps weren't accurate anymore, but either way someone's fired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 26 minutes ago, mattie g said: One of the hourly DURRRR runs will come somewhat close to ground truth. And we damn well are going to report on each and every one of them! Speaking of which, the axis of the heavy rain on the 11z is roughly route 50. Somewhere near Annapolis is 11"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: lol just posted about this. Definitely a southward shift. LOL, so the MORON model failed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 I had to jump in this morning. Feels like a winter event no doubt. The real question remains though. Will NE Maryland get pummeled!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Dumping rain in Merrifield right now. This area will easily get 2-3" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 12z HRRR blows up the rain over DC next 3 hours. If it's right, DC could have over 2" before noon. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Decent stuff going up to the west of DC right now. I'm in Potomac - waiting for it here. Hoping for a downright deluge. I want to commute using a boat this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 First warning: https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=14633776 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 22 minutes ago, H2O said: Dumping rain in Merrifield right now. This area will easily get 2-3" now. Radar estimates almost an inch just across 50 from you. I'm rocking 0.16" right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Pretty stationary cell now over Baltimore...ironically this is the 1 year anniversary of Ellicott City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: That's way south of Kitty Hawk, where I'm staying.....whewwww! Stayed at Duck 3 years ago which is on the northern end of OBX. Been to the Wright Brothers museum yet? Enjoyed it myself. And don't forget your Duck Donuts. It's not an official trip until you have some of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Cool how that line is aligning almost perfectly with the Potomac. Radar lighting up pretty nicely at this time. Cool to see the different reflectivity returns moving different directions on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: You gotta wonder how, in this day of tech and sonar and scanning and pre-plans,. how these things still happen. I wonder if the tidal action over the years moved the cable enough so that the maps weren't accurate anymore, but either way someone's fired. Sandy did a number on the channels through there. When we were down a few years ago the Ferry had a very limited run because of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 You can see the little background returns going E to W on radar and the actual precip flowing in from the west. Looks neat. Shouldn't be too long until we start hearing water rescue calls going out for morons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Just now, Kmlwx said: Cool how that line is aligning almost perfectly with the Potomac. Radar lighting up pretty nicely at this time. Cool to see the different reflectivity returns moving different directions on radar. Check out the 925 analysis on the SPC meso page...you can see the easterly low level flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Check out the 925 analysis on the SPC meso page...you can see the easterly low level flow. Was just looking at that. Suspect I won't be getting much done today at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Pretty stationary cell now over Baltimore...ironically this is the 1 year anniversary of Ellicott City. Sunday is the anniversary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 First hydro meso: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=581&yr=2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: First hydro meso: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=581&yr=2017 Imagine we should have one soon as well given the current radar trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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