Rtd208 Posted July 28, 2017 Author Share Posted July 28, 2017 06z GFS way south, it looks almost completely dry for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 All the 0z guidance shifted south due to the very strong 50/50 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 I sure as hell hope so!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: All the 0z guidance shifted south due to the very strong 50/50 low. BW could it be a case of the further west you are, the further north the rain gets? I was looking at some precip maps that had near 1" of rain at Allentown but less than 0.5" in NYC High winds will also be from ACY and points south (40 mph) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, Paragon said: BW could it be a case of the further west you are, the further north the rain gets? I was looking at some precip maps that had near 1" of rain at Allentown but less than 0.5" in NYC High winds will also be from ACY and points south (40 mph) You know it's a strong -NAO pattern for late July when you see this kind of suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Just now, bluewave said: You know it's a strong -NAO pattern for late July when you see this kind of suppression. Yeah this is a crazy pattern for the time of year. Any correlation between this and what might happen during the winter, Chris? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 28, 2017 Author Share Posted July 28, 2017 You could clearly see where things were going yesterday, still a good idea to nowcast the storm in case the heavier precip. comes further north but I think that is pretty unlikely given the model consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 25 minutes ago, Paragon said: Yeah this is a crazy pattern for the time of year. Any correlation between this and what might happen during the winter, Chris? Just that it's similar to the pattern of recent years including the winter of transient -NAO intervals in an otherwise longer term +NAO regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Hopefully this isn't the case in the winter where storms get shunted to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Well I for one am glad this is trending further and further away. My flight this afternoon which looked to be in serious jeopardy shouid be okay and I won't be angry that I'm missing the biggest rainstorm since August 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 19 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Well I for one am glad this is trending further and further away. My flight this afternoon which looked to be in serious jeopardy shouid be okay and I won't be angry that I'm missing the biggest rainstorm since August 2011. You deserve a monsoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 It'll still rain just not the totals the mid atl will get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: You deserve a monsoon Sorry, maybe next time. Enjoying our below average July? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 9 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Sorry, maybe next time. Enjoying our below average July? Wrong..IM above..and enjoying another above average month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 27 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: Wrong..IM above..and enjoying another above average month Weird month--torch middle 10 days, average 1st week or so and well below average last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 28, 2017 Author Share Posted July 28, 2017 Some very heavy rains and flooding around the DC metro area already. Lucky them or unlucky depending how you look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Weird month--torch middle 10 days, average 1st week or so and well below average last week. Agreed, and while it will go down closer to 2014 than 15/16, it had much stronger heat overall and the current cool period exceeded most guidance and then some. I like Aug 7 for a big time warmup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 29 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Agreed, and while it will go down closer to 2014 than 15/16, it had much stronger heat overall and the current cool period exceeded most guidance and then some. I like Aug 7 for a big time warmup Hopefully we have clear skies for the Perseids and also for the eclipse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Suppression depression! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Almost a 2/5/10 look on radar. State College, PA getting drenched under a flood warning, while NYC might just get some showers. Crazy how the dry zone extends ESE like that this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Almost a 2/5/10 look on radar. State College, PA getting drenched under a flood warning, while NYC might just get some showers. Crazy how the dry zone extends ESE like that this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 73/71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Almost a 2/5/10 look on radar. State College, PA getting drenched under a flood warning, while NYC might just get some showers. Crazy how the dry zone extends ESE like that this time of year. Honestly, with how much rain we've had here, we don't need this although it would be fun to see a noreaster in July. I wonder if some of the precip programs showing >.50" south of the Southern State are correct. I saw one that had 0.7" for Long Beach and 0.04" for Central Park. In the winter that would be 7 inches of snow here and less than half an inch for Central Park lol. Atlantic City would be getting like two feet! Which is basically what happened with the 2/5/10 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 48 minutes ago, Rjay said: 73/71 This weather sucks, I keep turning my AC on after it's been off for a few hours. I hate high humidity low sunshine weather. At least if it had been sunny today, it would have looked like a nice day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 29, 2017 Author Share Posted July 29, 2017 The DC/Baltimore metro areas are getting crushed with heavy rain, alot of flooding reports in that area. Looks like portions of S NJ are starting to get in on the heavy rains as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 DT's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 dewpoints here have been dropping under a very breezy NE wind, the dew point is down to 61 with a steady NE wind around 15 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 dewpoint still 61 but some light rain and stronger NE winds around 30 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Nothing more than a couple drops near the southern state. Light rain on Merrick Rd on my way to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.