The Iceman Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 I think Philadelphia and south is where most of the rain will fall. North of there may see a period of rain or some showers but I'm guessing we will see about a half inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 We may get nailed pretty good (Philly 20 - 30 miles N)...radar is filling in. Picked what veggies I could, let it rain then we need some sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Nothing satisfies me more than a heavy rain event, but unfortunately this doesn't look to be too good for us northerners. Hopefully some convection and training can change that. Radar looks juiced! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 23 minutes ago, Newman said: Nothing satisfies me more than a heavy rain event, but unfortunately this doesn't look to be too good for us northerners. Hopefully some convection and training can change that. Radar looks juiced! Philly and close by burbs look pretty damn good per radar. Allentown and N may get shafted....meh, who knows? Let's see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 Unless I'm hallucinating....It's not moving quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 The clouds have really thickened up in the last 1/2 hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Unless I'm hallucinating....It's not moving quick. Could be interesting! Just finished work, so out back I go to work on our "flood control project" which was seriously tested Sunday/Monday. Kind of hoping for a good test so we don't have to wait another year or two to check the results. We shall see. Awesome atmospheric dynamics at work no matter how much falls here or there. And yes, early next week looks pretty nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 2 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Philly and close by burbs look pretty damn good per radar. Allentown and N may get shafted....meh, who knows? Let's see.... Shafted is my middle name... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 3 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Unless I'm hallucinating....It's not moving quick. My 90% chance was reduced a peg to 80% so you know what that means - it really looks like it may never get into upper bucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Damn, this thing is building (more yellows and reds as it moves East) and moving so damn slow. Once it gets here..."it's here". On my doorstep... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 From my "Flash Flood Watch".....I'm not on/at the Mason-Dixon line but somewhat close. 6"+ would super suck and Floyd like. "Rainfall amounts during this time will generally range from 2 to 4 inches. However, training of thunderstorms may lead to isolated higher amounts in excess of 6 inches, especially south of the Mason-Dixon line." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 "Reds" on radar are growing and kinda spinning N/NW of me.....RedSky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Yet none of it can make it past Pottsville up here in the Skook... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 16 minutes ago, Voyager said: Yet none of it can make it past Pottsville up here in the Skook... Quite frankly it looks like it's jogging West again? WTF? Once it settles itself on top of us/you....I think your good to go. It's hanging out around Harrisburg/State College.....damn thing won't move? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Quite frankly it looks like it's jogging West again? WTF? Once it settles itself on top of us/you....I think your good to go. It's hanging out around Harrisburg/State College.....damn thing won't move? It's getting sucked back southwest into the developing low, many models have shown just this scenario leaving Lehigh and Bucks with very little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gakmsg Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 rushed to the grill at 5pm because rain was on the doorstep... still dry and its retreating West at near 11pm... looks like a winter time/ redevelopment dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted July 29, 2017 Author Share Posted July 29, 2017 Moderate to Heavy Rain here in Sea Isle City NJ with 0.24" so far temp 74.0 RH 95% DP 72.9 with winds gusting to 16 mph from the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 43 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Quite frankly it looks like it's jogging West again? WTF? Once it settles itself on top of us/you....I think your good to go. It's hanging out around Harrisburg/State College.....damn thing won't move? 36 minutes ago, RedSky said: It's getting sucked back southwest into the developing low, many models have shown just this scenario leaving Lehigh and Bucks with very little. Almost EXACTLY like we see in the winter with a developing snowstorm. The snow shield makes it to a certain point and then retrogrades toward the low. Watching the radar trends, I believe if I get any rain up here, it may struggle mightily to get to a quarter inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Voyager said: Almost EXACTLY like we see in the winter with a developing snowstorm. The snow shield makes it to a certain point and then retrogrades toward the low. Watching the radar trends, I believe if I get any rain up here, it may struggle mightily to get to a quarter inch. So far down here up to 0.20" total...should get some heavier rain shortly but the system seems to be moving fast from west to east now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 It is trying painfully slow to advance north as the low works it's way east just want something out of it .25- .50". It has to get here right the chance is 90% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 I got all of 0.01" in a brief 5 minute shower last night right before I went to bed...ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 9 minutes ago, Voyager said: I got all of 0.01" in a brief 5 minute shower last night right before I went to bed...ugh. Light rain had apparently started here just after 2 am and after some fits and starts, I currently have 0.14". Temp is 67F with some breezy drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 32 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Light rain had apparently started here just after 2 am and after some fits and starts, I currently have 0.14". Temp is 67F with some breezy drizzle. You guys were supposed to do much better than that, weren't you? If so, major bust down that way. For me, it was never supposed to be much, so while it is/was frustrating to miss out once again, it was expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, Voyager said: You guys were supposed to do much better than that, weren't you? If so, major bust down that way. For me, it was never supposed to be much, so while it is/was frustrating to miss out once again, it was expected. Big ass dry slot apparently eroded a bunch of it away, at least where I am (NW Philly) It's like some of us were caught in between the bands of the evolving nor'easter. Winter redux. BLT & D.C. probably got the bulk of it considering it was pouring there yesterday afternoon into the evening. Sky is currently brightening to the west as the storm moves east and the sun rises. It's overcast here now with a temp of 66F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bliz299 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Wow! Since midnight 3.33"! Yesterday had 0.67". So a total of 4.00" since 5pm yesterday(Friday). Might pick up another hundredth or two as I see it's all exiting stage right. Enough! For the month 8.33". Will be wettest July since 2000 (8.38"). Last wettest any month was just last September (11.06") . Yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 51 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Big ass dry slot apparently eroded a bunch of it away, at least where I am (NW Philly) It's like some of us were caught in between the bands of the evolving nor'easter. Winter redux. BLT & D.C. probably got the bulk of it considering it was pouring there yesterday afternoon into the evening. Sky is currently brightening to the west as the storm moves east and the sun rises. It's overcast here now with a temp of 66F. You're not kidding....we're in the middle. Stuff off shore (East) and stuff out West which I think will eventually fling around/gather moisture/combine and come our way. Or a super bust? Who knows? Shower or two overnight but that's about it. 64.8F / DP 61F w/a breeze......super nice out there w/a cup of coffee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: You're not kidding....we're in the middle. Stuff off shore (East) and stuff out West which I think will eventually fling around/gather moisture/combine and come our way. Or a super bust? Who knows? Shower or two overnight but that's about it. 64.8F / DP 61F w/a breeze......super nice out there w/a cup of coffee. Looking at the surface map, with that gigantic Canadian High and a sortof weak low, it seems like that stuff back by Pittsburgh will probably dissipate before it gets here. If the Low had been progged to get cut off from the jetstream and hung out at the coast, then there would be more rain chances but it'll probably go scooting away to the NE. It's pretty breezy out and the dp is dropping rapidly. Currently 65F w/dp 60F and NE winds that are light to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVLion77 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 Disappointed we missed out in lehigh valley but probably a good thing since we have had 8.2" in july at abe. This was a very interesting system to watch and there were some interesting systems in the spring as well.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Looking at the surface map, with that gigantic Canadian High and a sortof weak low, it seems like that stuff back by Pittsburgh will probably dissipate before it gets here. If the Low had been progged to get cut off from the jetstream and hung out at the coast, then there would be more rain chances but it'll probably go scooting away to the NE. It's pretty breezy out and the dp is dropping rapidly. Currently 65F w/dp 60F and NE winds that are light to moderate. Yep....stuff out by Pitt may fall apart. I'll be happy with .3" - .5" today and sun tomorrow. This would have been a nightmare winter event.....I would have lost my mind! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted July 29, 2017 Share Posted July 29, 2017 once I saw the models yesterday I knew it was game over for North of Philly. pretty surprised how awful it actually was though. I doubt I even got a quarter inch here, there's still dry spots under the cars lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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