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August 2017 Discussion


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Take it FWIW but based on current NOAA projections, this LiveScience article hints at the likelihood of a warmer-than-normal August, including here in the sub.  And equal chances of above or below normal precip.

https://www.livescience.com/59886-weather-forecast-summer-fall-2017.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Livesciencecom+(LiveScience.com+Science+Headline+Feed)

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1 hour ago, IWXwx said:

Maybe. At this point, I'd rate the chances somewhere between Marginal and piss poor.

I'd say about the western 1/2 to 2/3 of the current marginal risk may have slightly better odds, which is not good for you guys farther east.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
1239 PM CDT Tue Aug 1 2017

ILZ010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-012100-
Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-Cook-La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Will-
Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-
Benton-
Including the cities of Dixon, Dekalb, Aurora, Elgin, Wheaton,
Chicago, Ottawa, Oswego, Morris, Joliet, Kankakee, Pontiac,
Watseka, Paxton, Gary, Valparaiso, Morocco, Rensselaer,
and Fowler
1239 PM CDT Tue Aug 1 2017 /139 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017/

...Funnel Clouds Possible Through This Afternoon...

Atmospheric conditions are favorable for the development of
isolated funnel clouds associated with widely scattered
thunderstorms expected through the afternoon. These funnel clouds
normally only protrude a few hundred feet downward from the parent
cloud, rotate or spin like a top, and last a few minutes before
dissipating.

These funnel clouds rarely touch the ground and typically do not
pose any sort of hazard. The atmospheric conditions that these
funnel clouds develop in do not support strong, damaging
tornadoes. However, on extremely rare occasions, these funnels can
briefly touch the ground and produce very minimal, if any, damage.

If threatening weather approaches, move indoors to a place of
safety. The National Weather Service will continue to closely
monitor the situation.

$$

RC

 
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5 hours ago, Powerball said:

I'm in Oklahoma today, so there's no doubt in my mind that the Detroit area will get a decent round of convection later today since I'm not around. 

Not so much down here but up in our neighborhood it is coming down.

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1 hour ago, Stebo said:

Not so much down here but up in our neighborhood it is coming down.

It looks like the line of storms went severe as it blew through michsnowfreak's area.

There was also a report of downed tree limbs on Belle Isle. The outflow boundary seemed impressive on radar.

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Quite a thunderstorm hit around 545pm. Havent had a summer storm like that in Wyandotte in years. Cant remember when Ive seen so much hail in one storm. Marble sized, so not big, but plentiful. Lots of leaves knocked down from the hailstones but minimal tree damage. Lots of tree damage just to my south. The storm dropped 1.78" imby in less than an hour, which is more than fell in total from May 30-July 6!

 

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