BuffaloWeather Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Figured it's been a few months since a new thread. We are now in the middle of the warmest time of the year. Interesting photo from Tom Niziol. Also from the Buffalo NWS Facebook page about the latest tornadoes. We've had several questions about historical tornadoes near Buffalo or in Erie County with the recent tornadoes. The first image is all historical tornadoes from 1950 to 2015 from the NOAA NWS Storm Prediction Center archive. The last tornado in Erie County was in 2006 in Cheektowaga, and the last F2 or stronger tornado was in 1987 in Cheektowaga. The strongest tornado in the record was an F3 near Eden in 1970. The second image overlays the two new tornado tracks in Erie County from July 20, 2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 23, 2017 Author Share Posted July 23, 2017 For today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Had a chance to take a drive around the damage area today. WOW. So much different seeing it up close. The pictures don't do the amount of damage justice compared to seeing it up close. Wanted to hike it through the ridge but they still had the west side of the park closed. The one stretch on Newton where almost every tree was leveled and that structure on Druaght that was ripped apart was crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 24, 2017 Author Share Posted July 24, 2017 7 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Had a chance to take a drive around the damage area today. WOW. So much different seeing it up close. The pictures don't do the amount of damage justice compared to seeing it up close. Wanted to hike it through the ridge but they still had the west side of the park closed. The one stretch on Newton where almost every tree was leveled and that structure on Druaght that was ripped apart was crazy. Yeah, the damage was a lot worse than I expected it to be. Only a weak EF2 tornado too, tornado wind strength is just incredible. The one that hit Moore Oklahoma had 300 MPH+ winds, 3 times what hit Hamburg, can you even imagine what that would do?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 24, 2017 Share Posted July 24, 2017 Turning into tornado alley up here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 24, 2017 Author Share Posted July 24, 2017 Yeah that's definitely a tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 25, 2017 Share Posted July 25, 2017 20 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah that's definitely a tornado. Storm report confirms radar indicated rotation however no damage on the ground was reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 25, 2017 Share Posted July 25, 2017 Not 100% to scale but I really wanted to map out the path of the Hamburg tornado as it really seemed to zig zag around. Made this map based on what I saw driving around and the air one video. The red lines are areas of visible damage to try and track the path. Looks like it made some sharp turns and jumped around quite a bit. Again this isn't all inclusive to all the damage but I think it gives a rough idea of the path... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 25, 2017 Share Posted July 25, 2017 Did summer call it quits? This is just down right depressing... we better be rewarded with a stellar winter after this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 25, 2017 Author Share Posted July 25, 2017 3 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Did summer call it quits? This is just down right depressing... we better be rewarded with a stellar winter after this! Looks like a weak El Nino which almost always results in above average snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted July 25, 2017 Share Posted July 25, 2017 59F and drizzle here. Classic trick or treating weather. Oh wait......it's still July? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 26, 2017 Author Share Posted July 26, 2017 They updated the Lake Effect Snow page. Goes all the way back to 1994 with every event, pretty awesome! http://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2016-2017&event=A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 29 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: They updated the Lake Effect Snow page. Goes all the way back to 1994 with every event, pretty awesome! http://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2016-2017&event=A Nice. Reading through that will be fun. That Dec 9-12 1995 storm was just the kind of Metro hit that we haven't been able to get in recent years. A great discussion of the effect of lake thermals in the early season affecting the heading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 27, 2017 Author Share Posted July 27, 2017 3 hours ago, WNash said: Nice. Reading through that will be fun. That Dec 9-12 1995 storm was just the kind of Metro hit that we haven't been able to get in recent years. A great discussion of the effect of lake thermals in the early season affecting the heading. Yeah that was the event that really got me into weather in the first place. I remember it like yesterday. The heaviest snowfall was on a Sunday, peak rates were absolutely insane. Had to be 5-6" per hour in some of that band. If that event lasted more than 18 hours it would have blown away all records. Still holds the record for heaviest 24 hour snowfall at KBUF. It was more of a SW/SSW event than a true SW event and as you know that wind direction is very rare in the winter. Cold air comes from the N/NW/W not from the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 27, 2017 Author Share Posted July 27, 2017 One of the best bands ever in Metro Buffalo. Buffalo, New York was paralyzed on 9-10 December 1995 when the airport measured 38 in. of snow in a 24-hour period. This amount shattered the previous 24-hour snowfall record of 25.3 in. set on 10-11 January 1982. What's even more crazy is in 2014 we had places get 65" of snow in 24 hours almost doubling airports record. It really shows you the limits are endless with lake effect snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 28, 2017 Share Posted July 28, 2017 On 7/26/2017 at 6:21 PM, BuffaloWeather said: They updated the Lake Effect Snow page. Goes all the way back to 1994 with every event, pretty awesome! http://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2016-2017&event=A Finally! That is awesome. Love the layout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 2, 2017 Author Share Posted August 2, 2017 Winter type pattern setting up. .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... For the weekend and into the beginning of next week a large trough will carve out over the eastern half of the boundary with the broad upper-level low centered near the Hudson Bay. Saturday will see the main upper level trough axis swing from the upper Ohio Valley across the region bringing with it +6C air at 850mb pivoting across the lower Great Lakes. Forecast models suggest a decent amount of synoptic moisture associated with the trough axis, which, when combined with the cold advection and lake sfc to 850 mb temp differences around 14 to 15C, would be sufficient to support some lake effect rain showers downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario early Saturday. Strong diurnal heating this time of year would likely quickly overwhelm any morning lake effect showers, transitioning to a few widely scattered showers inland for the afternoon. These will end Saturday evening as weak high pressure briefly builds into the eastern Great Lakes. A few scattered showers may return by Sunday as a weak east/west oriented warm front develops over the southern Great Lakes. A better chance of rain will arrive by Monday as low pressure moves from the Ohio Valley into New England. Temperatures will bottom out on Saturday, with cool air aloft and some cloud cover keeping lower elevations in the lower 70s with mid to upper 60s for higher terrain. Sunday and Monday highs will be back into the mid 70s at lower elevations, roughly 5 degrees below average for mid summer. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 2, 2017 Author Share Posted August 2, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 2, 2017 Author Share Posted August 2, 2017 I'm not sure everyones elses thoughts, but personally I am in the camp that trends take months and months to change. Last years record breaking summer did not transition in winter and kept above normal temps going throughout the entire winter season. Seeing cooler weather now makes me think we are going to have a much better winter than the last two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Looks like south shore is goin to get a good pounding Saturday. 6 to 9 foot waves. Lake shore flood warnings up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Now saying 7 to 10 feet waves. Almost like October in height of summer. Lake shore is goin to be pulverized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Saturday morning looks nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Goin to be a nice lake effect thunderstorms in early August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 https://twitter.com/jenny_mcgirr/status/893513469642911744 Nice shot of the storm moving into Buffalo. Big waterspout! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Looking like a very active day for severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Lots of warnings out across area. Even see a tornado warning in Ohio. All while storm prediction center sleeps apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Now a watch is out. Took em long enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Would not be surprised if there are a couple tornados in area today if some more discrete storms fire ahead of main line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 4, 2017 Author Share Posted August 4, 2017 Crazy storms in buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 4, 2017 Share Posted August 4, 2017 Why they crazy. Wind hail. Structure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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