Vice-Regent Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 There is a possibility of a Jose retrograde pulling Maria into the NE as well instead of recurving her away. Crazy setup overall. Such a scenario is visible on the 9/15 0z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 We're onto Maria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 43 minutes ago, Hoth said: She gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 One tropical tease after another until flakes are flying at the picnic tables. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: RIP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Were you guys privately hoping for this GFS run cycle to come in differently? haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Were you guys privately hoping for this GFS run cycle to come in differently? haha The "sick" side of me always wants a storm to be a hit not a miss. Then the rational side takes hold. Always a ying yang that I keep private and to myself. Don't tell anyone! Meanwhile "Maria" really looks like its getting her act together. Maybe Vice-Regent is on to something. Will Maria move slow enough that the trough passes and leaves Maria behind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 27 minutes ago, Hoth said: One tropical tease after another until flakes are flying at the picnic tables. At least I'm getting good use out of my model subscription Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Ukie is still near LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Ukie is still near LI Dude move on. Focus on policework Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 32 minutes ago, mreaves said: RIP yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Snow88 is right. Uncle is way west of GFS/CMC. Lets see what Euro says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 16, 2017 Author Share Posted September 16, 2017 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dude move on. Focus on policework That dude is still seeking a trend south for 3/5/01. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 16, 2017 Author Share Posted September 16, 2017 I just want whatever isn't going to happen to not happen already, so we can all move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Euro came well west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just want whatever isn't going to happen to not happen already, so we can all move on. How is it even possible for two operational weather models to be that far apart 2 days out? There is more or less a fundamental flaw in the mathematics of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 16, 2017 Author Share Posted September 16, 2017 Looks like Maria is going to be a force to contend with, Hispanola interactions not withstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Euro is a closer pass at 12Z with recurvature still. Rainier here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: Snow88 is right. Uncle is way west of GFS/CMC. Lets see what Euro says. Euro says your Uncle had too much Jose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like Maria is going to be a force to contend with, Hispanola interactions not withstanding. Brutal for the islands that were demolished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro is a closer pass at 12Z with recurvature still. Rainier here. Its actually not closer on hi res Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Rut roh what the heck is the Euro doing, Jose maybe getting cocked at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Its actually not closer on hi res Its further west down here but similiar position up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro is a closer pass at 12Z with recurvature still. Rainier here. Interesting you just mentioned that (bold). I have been observing on satellite what appears to be a formulating(ed) PRE that is arcing S of LI and E of the MA... I'm wondering actually if that pivots NW and clips the region given a Jose pass S of ACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro says your Uncle had too much Jose No. It over trended but signaled what the euro would do (trend west) which ultimately brings many areas a lot more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: No. It over trended bit signaled what the euro would do (trend west) which ultimately brings many areas a lot more rain. Euro is no closer at 12Z to you then it was at Oz , In fact about 30 miles further SE, I don't see much change in rainfall distribution??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Lks like it's gone right back to that weird looping idea - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Euro is no closer at 12Z to you then it was at Oz , In fact about 30 miles further SW, I don't see much change in rainfall distribution??? Boston SE with nearly 2 inches vs wait-you're right...lol. I want the rain but don't need the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Ha.... Steve will stop at nothing to engineer Jose down to nothing - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2017 Share Posted September 16, 2017 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Ha.... Steve will stop at nothing to engineer Jose down to nothing - Just stated what the Euro shows, sorry Kev Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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