dendrite Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That model is a joke. Biggest not gonna happen James ever. Looks meteorologically possible to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Not that this is going to happen, but it actually makes sense if things played out this way. The trailing wave, presumably the one currently located near the Cape Verde islands ends up reinforcing the block, almost acting as a 50/50 so that when 92L approaches the Southeast coast it gets slingshot right into Long Island and then SNE. Honestly it's just nice to have something to track that's not headed towards Mexico or an early recurve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 You're overanalyzing it. It's the extended tropical canadian and doesn't have a prayer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 18, 2017 Author Share Posted August 18, 2017 50 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Not that this is going to happen, but it actually makes sense if things played out this way. The trailing wave, presumably the one currently located near the Cape Verde islands ends up reinforcing the block, almost acting as a 50/50 so that when 92L approaches the Southeast coast it gets slingshot right into Long Island and then SNE. Honestly it's just nice to have something to track that's not headed towards Mexico or an early recurve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 sure it is ... in so much as, 'throw 'nough schit against the wall, somethin's gonna eventually stick' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 12z canadian ends up in the same spot as 0z... Big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 12z ukie also developing this now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Run-to-run consistency. Model concensus. Inside day 10. What more could you want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: ineedweenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Hoist the red flags now. Queue up Billy Joel's "Storm Front." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 Chances down to 40% in latest NHC discussion for 92L. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 26 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Chances down to 40% in latest NHC discussion for 92L. TUTT to its northeast, northerly shear from that ridging FTL. Hostile environment for several days. If it survives into the Bahamas then maybe it'll be worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 Twitter is a horrific cesspool of crap over this stupid CMC depiction garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Twitter is a horrific cesspool of crap over this stupid CMC depiction garbage 12Z cmc continues the theme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 36 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 12Z cmc continues the theme Of garbage solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Of garbage solutions. Hopefully it's right This season has been very boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: 12Z cmc continues the theme The problem is these people do nothing but take SLP tracks at face value...they don't take the time to or make the effort to check or realize if that sort of solution makes sense or too see if such a solution is possible given pattern evolution and configuration. Theres a reason why this area goes so long without seeing direct hits or impacts from tropical systems...it takes the right type of pattern and everything has to align and come together. If these 8-10 day solutions verified as much as we did this region wouldn't exist lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 CMC with the weak sauce Donna solution. God what a POS that model is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 NHC for 92L Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Hope they are wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yep, I deserve that but I will still be tracking 92L and hoping the other models follow the CMC. What else is there to look forward to weather wise ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Yep, I deserve that but I will still be tracking 92L and hoping the other models follow the CMC. What else is there to look forward to weather wise ? Last heat wave of the summer next 3-4 days and a mild winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Yep, I deserve that but I will still be tracking 92L and hoping the other models follow the CMC. What else is there to look forward to weather wise ? 6z gfs gets it pretty strong but kicks it ots.. Lets see what 12z brings... It is looking better this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 20, 2017 Author Share Posted August 20, 2017 This season sucks and sucks hard. I see zero interesting in the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This season sucks and sucks hard. I see zero interesting in the foreseeable future. Gfs. Ukie and canadian develop invest 92l at 12z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Gfs. Ukie and canadian develop invest 92l at 12z.... Yes they do Although every model has it staying well offshore ( as of right now ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 It won't be anywhere near the coast unless the trough ends up over the Midwest. Otherwise she's gone like Scooters prom dress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 20, 2017 Author Share Posted August 20, 2017 13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Gfs. Ukie and canadian develop invest 92l at 12z.... This season sucks and sucks hard. I see zero interesting in the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: This season sucks and sucks hard. I see zero interesting in the foreseeable future. 4 more months until winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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