Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: We track We hope goes out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 Oh, I've already locked in the triple loop landfall from the SE. It's gonna be wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 7, 2017 Share Posted September 7, 2017 40 minutes ago, Snow88 said: We track Haven't learned your GFS obsession is useless? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Haven't learned your GFS obsession is useless? Looks like a storm track I would've made during social studies class in 6th grade. I have a better chance of going back into the past to wrestle a pink t-rex than that evolution verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 For the love of God.. can we just a freaking legit cane to track right up into SNE. I mean what happened to days of yore when they'd frequent the area. Year after year we end up with blue balls. Sooner or later it's got to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Looks like a storm track I would've made during social studies class in 6th grade. I have a better chance of going back into the past to wrestle a pink t-rex than that evolution verifying. For a Davis 2 impressive https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IPROVIDE35#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Serious question. All responses appreciated. Should I stay or should I go? As most know I live in a CAT5 constructed log home. 30 miles W of Daytona Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: For the love of God.. can we just a freaking legit cane to track right up into SNE. I mean what happened to days of yore when they'd frequent the area. Year after year we end up with blue balls. Sooner or later it's got to happen. If by "legit" you mean a major cane, just note that we went from 1635 to 1815 without a major once. 180 years. Of course, we also had something of a bonanza between 1938-1960. Might be a long time before your balls find relief, buuuut just maybe you'll might find yourself in a '54 style Kate Upton/Kelly Rohrbach sandwich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 1 hour ago, ROOSTA said: Serious question. All responses appreciated. Should I stay or should I go? As most know I live in a CAT5 constructed log home. 30 miles W of Daytona Beach. Hard to say in your location...would think you'd be in for solid cat 2, maybe 3 wind in gusts. I'll say my grandmother and uncle are evacuating Siesta Key for a spot away from the beach, even though they are probably a fair distance from landfall. Better safe than sorry. Your home can probably take the wind, but are you situated such that you might be susceptible to falling trees? Do you have all your basic supplies, medications, pet foods, etc. etc.? Are you prepared to be cut off for a while? Is your health reliably good? My uncle was ordered by his doc to a hospital for the storm because he has a heart condition. Can you put up with an extended period without A/C? Is your area liable to flooding? Too many variables. Side note: another uncle lives in St. Thomas and said it was the scariest thing he's ever experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 18 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Serious question. All responses appreciated. Should I stay or should I go? As most know I live in a CAT5 constructed log home. 30 miles W of Daytona Beach. As long as you stay inside, cover your windows you will be fine. Just have to deal with a week to two of camping. Winds probably max near 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 19 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Serious question. All responses appreciated. Should I stay or should I go? As most know I live in a CAT5 constructed log home. 30 miles W of Daytona Beach. If you have the means, just go. Secure as much you can and go somewhere safe. If it's not that bad in your area after the storm, you can head back right away. If it's bad, at least you're safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 17 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Serious question. All responses appreciated. Should I stay or should I go? As most know I live in a CAT5 constructed log home. 30 miles W of Daytona Beach. While I don't envy your situation Don, I think you should be able to ride out the storm. I do think you see hurricane force winds (80-100 mph) but I don't think you'll see the damage that's occurred in the Caribbean or what looks to occur in S FL. My biggest concern would be a tree that could damage your roof or a wall allowing the winds to get into the interior of the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Like Hoth said (in more eloquent words), you could live through Irma there (most likely), but the after part might not be fun. I would still try for a beefy hotel maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 3 hours ago, JC-CT said: Jose, Jose, where are you Jose Jose can you see by the dawns early light... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Jose can you see by the dawns early light... Play ball~~ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: As long as you stay inside, cover your windows you will be fine. Just have to deal with a week to two of camping. Winds probably max near 100 15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: While I don't envy your situation Don, I think you should be able to ride out the storm. I do think you see hurricane force winds (80-100 mph) but I don't think you'll see the damage that's occurred in the Caribbean or what looks to occur in S FL. My biggest concern would be a tree that could damage your roof or a wall allowing the winds to get into the interior of the house. Both great answers, sounds like Don's domicile is probably good for 100+ gusts, just tape the windows, be smart, be safe and enjoy. Food and non grid cooking and light sources are key. Even in the relatively tame Northeast I always have those at the ready for my family and neighbors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 My friend and his family lives on St. John, USVI. The Last message I got from him, his roof tiles were getting ripped off. I've since heard second hand that everyone is ok, but the house is completely gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 8, 2017 Author Share Posted September 8, 2017 My take is no different from anyone else's for the most part.....the main challenge for me was parsing my words in such a manner has to convey the utmost sense of urgency that this warrants. http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/09/confidence-grows-regarding-catastrophic.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: For the love of God.. can we just a freaking legit cane to track right up into SNE. I mean what happened to days of yore when they'd frequent the area. Year after year we end up with blue balls. Sooner or later it's got to happen. Lol. a New England hurricane. Lol waste of a tropical system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Akeem the African Dream said: Lol. a New England hurricane. Lol waste of a tropical system Stay safe bro, best of luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 NAM LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: NAM LOL Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tossed. We should've taken it out the back and shot it years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: For the love of God.. can we just a freaking legit cane to track right up into SNE. I mean what happened to days of yore when they'd frequent the area. Year after year we end up with blue balls. Sooner or later it's got to happen. Yes!!! Yes!!! Yes!!! lol all the haters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 One day I will take a full blown Cat 3 up my fanny....ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Seems this should happen more often than a tltotal solar eclipse - which I chased into Missouri - I'm searching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Cluster analysis is really starting to highlight the differences we need to paying attention to at this hour. The slower, southern ensemble members are more likely to target an early turn and the east coast of FL. The faster, southern solutions are more likely to target the west coast of FL. The members that are middle of the road speed and maybe slightly north more often end up tracking down the middle of FL as well. For whatever reason, there are some really slow CMC members that still insist on a whiff completely. And you can really see why the EPS is west, because there are hardly any members that are slower and south. More often they are faster than the mean, with a cluster south of track and another larger cluster at or north of the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 So I would be paying close attention to where Irma tracks from the forecast over the next 24 hours. If she starts edging farther south and faster, the Keys up into the west coast of FL could be in for a ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 Surprised to see the drop in wind speeds this morning. MSW are now 155 - 160. I think that's bad news. In Katrina there was substantial "weakening" before landfall and people assumed that meant the storm was going to much less severe. However, the drop in wind speeds didn't correspond to a drop in overall engery output and we know what happened there. I can see the same thing happening here. This is a large storm that's pushing a huge amount of water into Florida. If it comes ashore with winds of 150, 160, 170 whatever...it's still going to beat the living hell out of the coast. Hell of a month for the insurance industry. Going to be double digit billion dollar losses back to back.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted September 8, 2017 Share Posted September 8, 2017 18 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I really don't get why this story is gaining traction ...it's really not that big of a deal - no it's not. firstly, those commercial airlines are tanks in the sky, with so many safety and reinforcing structural components that jet fighters could be envious, ..because they have to be. They can take a lot of atmospheric punishment once they are above the planetary boundary layer. secondly, they fly at 400 to 500 mph ... what part of that velocity makes anything Irma is doing that much of a threat. They can fly circles around that the f thing if they wanted... going, na na na-na na. Oh my god this so pimping a story for the sake of getting ratings... gross... - typical sensational crap. there's literally NOTHING to be amazed about there. Agreed. It's just funny - particularly given how fickle US air transport seems to be under OTHER conditions. I've had flights cancelled due to the POTENTIAL for snow. Obv. planes can fly through and around this stuff: see hurrican hunter flights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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