Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Any why GYX and not BOX? Box doesn't launch, only ALB CHH and GYX in our hood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 2:00 PM AST Tue Sep 5 Location: 16.9°N 59.1°W Moving: W at 14 mph Min pressure: 926 mb Max sustained: 185 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 56 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah... can y'all see the saw-dust sprayin' ? I was just going to post how incredible it looked on the last few frames. Impressive! http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/html5-rb-long.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Pig Pile on the NHC statellite site ...! pig pile on the NHC satellite site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Considering this chart ...as sorted by top winds ... it seems Irma has a subtle outlier wrt to her more total intensity profile. This cyclone's winds are slightly disproportionate to the pressure curve to wind ratio that is suggested by this list below... Interesting. Note, winds presently 185 at 929, not 175 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 41 minutes ago, MarkO said: I was just going to post how incredible it looked on the last few frames. Impressive! http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/html5-rb-long.html You've got to check out goes16 http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1000&y=1000&z=0&im=36&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p[0]=14&p[1]=0&opacity[0]=1&opacity[1]=0&hidden[0]=0&hidden[1]=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=goes-16/mesoscale_01_band_02_sector_05&width=1000&height=1000&number_of_images_to_display=100&loop_speed_ms=80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Thinking a lot has to do with the relative small size, rapid intensification. It appears the eye is going to pass very close to, if not directly over Barbuda in the next 12-18 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Well the day 6 fuzzy clusters are showing that the faster/northern ensemble members are more likely to curve east of Florida or miss altogether. The southern (not necessarily faster or slower) ensembles are more likely to slip into the far eastern GoM before the curve. Of course we still can't see where that curve goes, since day 6 is the max range for data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: That day 5 nonsense will change...it'll be over SNE on the models soon. These always trend north. Seriously though, this is an impressive storm. Thoughts and prayers for those in its path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Do we think she gets to 200mph sustained? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, BRSno said: Do we think she gets to 200mph sustained? Yes. The eye is currently contracting. Doesn't appear to be any sign of an eyewall replacement cycle yet. No current detrimental environmental factors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 1 hour ago, bobbutts said: You've got to check out goes16 http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1000&y=1000&z=0&im=36&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p[0]=14&p[1]=0&opacity[0]=1&opacity[1]=0&hidden[0]=0&hidden[1]=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=goes-16/mesoscale_01_band_02_sector_05&width=1000&height=1000&number_of_images_to_display=100&loop_speed_ms=80 https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/905143076213096448 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 I saw a Youtube channel hyping the storm to category 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/905143076213096448 Too much tunnel vision. Zoom that out a little an it's mesmerizing. You can see gravity waves emanating from the eye out in concentric rings plus the transverse banding as the cirrus becomes outflow. It's a gorgeous storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: Too much tunnel vision. Zoom that out a little an it's mesmerizing. You can see gravity waves emanating from the eye out in concentric rings plus the transverse banding as the cirrus becomes outflow. It's a gorgeous storm. I was looking at the evil faces in the eye plus the mesos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I was looking at the evil faces in the eye plus the mesos Yeah, the meso vortices are cool. Plus storms like this all but guarantees that GOES-16 becomes GOES-East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Curious as to your thoughts. Just looked at the GOES 16. The disturbance in the BOC seems like it wants to get its act together. If it does more than the models suggest how would it (or the outflow) affect Irma? Would it help weaken it more than progged since the outflow would be somewhat limited on the west flank? Could make for some interesting interactions? Jose looks good too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Curious as to your thoughts. Just looked at the GOES 16. The disturbance in the BOC seems like it wants to get its act together. If it does more than the models suggest how would it (or the outflow) affect Irma? Would it help weaken it more than progged since the outflow would be somewhat limited on the west flank? Could make for some interesting interactions? Jose looks good too... would pump the ridge and probably force Irma into Cuba, ie Euro shows that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 http://barbadosweather.org/Composite/kidbuuComposite_displayer.php?Product=Reflectivity&Sector=EC_Bar&Composite=Sabre&PlanetOfTheApes=1503012134 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 49 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I saw a Youtube channel hyping the storm to category 7. This one goes to 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 44 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Yeah, the meso vortices are cool. Plus storms like this all but guarantees that GOES-16 becomes GOES-East. What becomes of the older satellites? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: This one goes to 11 11? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, Sugarloaf1989 said: 11? ...Spinal Tap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: What becomes of the older satellites? Retirement? They'll continue to use them as long as they work, maybe in support of another region. Otherwise they move them far out of the way of other operational satellites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 18z GFS ticked N about 25 mi thru hr 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Well away from Cuba this run, should allow for more strengthening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Miami spared the eyewall this run as it goes further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 Watch out carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2017 Share Posted September 5, 2017 It's coming for Tolland the heart wants what the heart wants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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