OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Guess you Brian and Chris missed Tips explanation earlier The explanation on how this is getting down to 850 mb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Guess you Brian and Chris missed Tips explanation earlier Post 1265, meat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 What’s euro looking like?Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: What’s euro looking like? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Through 60 hours it's about the same as 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 12 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: The explanation on how this is getting down to 850 mb? The wind on east side regardless of LF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Meanwhile.... the NHC tropical outlook brings "Jose" up to a 70% chance of development. Perhaps if Irma develops are large outflow it would prohibit Jose from developing. Not sure how much spacing in between but at 240 hours the GFS has Jose in the vicinity of Hispaniola heading westbound... Busy September inbound... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: The wind on east side regardless of LF Exactly, how did I get roped into not understanding tropical systems? I just quoted what I assume was a typo. As TCs transition wind will typically move east and rain west, but if it stays warm core (which it most likely would into the Mid Atlantic) the wind won't extend that far east. You want a Sandy type transition to really blow the wind field up to the east. We had tropical storm force gusts all the way up here from Sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The wind on east side regardless of LF On the biggest systems in history, tell us how far hurricane and tropical storm force winds spread out from the center even on the east side? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 well.. in any event.. .the stuff about the LF wind field's affect more locally was: 1 ... added to the forward speed of an accelerating cyclone 2 ... in deference to a NYC strike which was more endemic to an earlier model run. If this thing goes into Ch. Bay that obviously (shouldn't need to be said) changes the landscape quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 no historical Cat 1 or better has taken that GFS track https://coast.noaa.gov/hurricanes/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Trough bypasses on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Trough bypasses on the Euro Was about it to post that. Setting up for a Hugo lf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: Was about it to post that. Setting up for a Hugo lf? entering a cul, all bets off if that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Holy crap this seems north! Almost looks like it's cooking OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: Holy crap this seems north! It's definitely north of the previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Looks like moving ne at day 8 then on next panel nne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Reintroduces ots solution I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Looks like OTS at hour 198 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Euro gone fish in'. Probably the epic waves I was hoping to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Ots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Reintroduces ots solution I think. Given that the op was a western outlier within the EPS, it's not overly surprising that there was a correction east today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Funny how the Euro has now been all over the place and the GFS is maintaining general stability. Whether it's right or wrong is another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Nice track if it was winter..prob be quite breezy down here nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Faster run. 0Z at day 10 was on the SC coast. 12Z day 9.5 is SE of the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Gfs pretty steady.... Euro all over the place it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Now come the rationalizations of why the euro is wrong....lol. It's stage one of the process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: Now come the rationalizations of why the euro is wrong....lol. It's stage one of the process. Right. Euro was well within the EPS range of solutions, and in fact closer to the 00z EPS mean track. So we don't toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Nav gem going towards the gfs and canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Now come the rationalizations of why the euro is wrong....lol. It's stage one of the process.Nah... Nav gem going towards the gfs and canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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