Tropical Season 2017

[Ginx snewx]

Euro be south, congrats Florida/SC Still like the Hugo idea

fyi what a bunch of whine ass elitists commenting about banter in a day 12 threat, cmon if it gets serious game on, until then look at the main page thread .

 

Oh, yeah
Well, alright
We're jammin'
Sing it, I want to jam it with you
We're jammin', we're jammin'
And I hope you like jammin' too
Ain't no rules, ain't no vow
You can do it anyhow
'Cause I and I will see you through
But every day we pay the price
Come a little sacrifice
Jammin' till the jam is through

[Bostonseminole]

Cone is narrowing? I think gulf is becoming less and less likely.. bu OTS is still very much in the cards, lots of time 

[Typhoon Tip]

this thing has an absolutely superb IR presentation right now - it's a like a heaty female cat with it's tail stickin' straight up -

[Ginx snewx]

I worry about another cul situation over land, geez

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

this thing has an absolutely superb IR presentation right now - it's a like a heaty female cat with it's tail stickin' straight up -

 

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I worry about another cul situation over land, geez

heh,...yeah that Euro run looks like a staller ... 

every solution still on the table, including White House parker - 'magine that

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, PeabodyFlood said:

 

it looks like a cat's bum ...  just tryin to offend  -

[weathafella]

Euro past 2 runs giving the gulf coasters less worry.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Euro past 2 runs giving the gulf coasters less worry.

We talk about the wiper effect, by Labor day it will narrow, until then its what 2K from anywhere?

[weathafella]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

We talk about the wiper effect, by Labor day it will narrow, until then its what 2K from anywhere?

I thInk (with no real science) that this one nails a lot of east coasters.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, weathafella said:

I thInk (with no real science) that this one nails a lot of east coasters.

I am worried about a stall honestly somewhere in the south

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I thInk (with no real science) that this one nails a lot of east coasters.

Mmmm hmmmmm

[OceanStWx]

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We talk about the wiper effect, by Labor day it will narrow, until then its what 2K from anywhere?

Nah, start the hype train. It's less than 1580 miles from the Lesser Antilles.

[USCG RS]

I thInk (with no real science) that this one nails a lot of east coasters.

 

I actually agree, this is where my gut lies and the science behind my thinking is with the ridging and the trough approaching the eastern seaboard, it's going to climb the EC.

 

EDIT : Granted, she's a long way away

 

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'd like to see a FL landfall.

It's going to end up like a cat 2 hybrid over like Delaware.

Blah.

If it isn't a NE strike, I'd rather an Andrew redux..

[40/70 Benchmark]

The east coast  impact above the Carolinas scenario just offers too many opportunities to go wrong.

Hopefully it goes no further than SC.

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The east coast  impact above the Carolinas scenario just offers too many opportunities to go wrong.

Hopefully it goes no further than SC.

Well, considering it's eons away I'd say hopefully it threads the needle and we get a Bob track with '38 strength. I agree that Carolinas probably have the best odds for a significant impact with how things look at this particular moment. 

[OceanStWx]

12z EPS still offers more wide rights than hits.

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, PeabodyFlood said:

Well, considering it's eons away I'd say hopefully it threads the needle and we get a Bob track with '38 strength. I agree that Carolinas probably have the best odds for a significant impact with how things look at this particular moment. 

Yeeaah thanks but no thanks. '38 was 109mph sustained where I am, and I just put a new roof on the house last week.

[Hazey]

Never really was sold on a gulf entry. This has someone on the east coast in the crosshairs or a close shave. Long ways to go.

[weathafella]

I believe MQE had a gust of 186 mph in '38.  Bring it...lol.

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I believe MQE had a gust of 186 mph in '38.  Bring it...lol.

And sustained 121mph.   Unreal.   

[weathafella]

Meanwhile, Irma looks mighty healthy on satellite imagery.....mighty healthy.

[Ginx snewx]

I'd like to see  a Cat 5  out to sea in between Bermuda and the East Coast. No need to wish destruction and death but some monster rollers would be cool.

[ROOSTA]

To much dependency on the run to run and the rhetoric that follows. This I think everyone knows, any location to the W is still in the game. FACT as much as some would debate. Obtaining Major status one might conclude a more Northerly track, coriolis effect... A stout ridge to the north blocking that process. So one looks to other "steering" components, there's a trough. Boils down to placement and timing plain and simple!

 

[Ginx snewx]

14 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Yeeaah thanks but no thanks. '38 was 109mph sustained where I am, and I just put a new roof on the house last week.

Obvious who own homes and who doesn't, who lives near the south coast and who lives way inland. big difference living in Wilmington mass and Wilmington NC in wishing

[dryslot]

FWIW

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, dryslot said:

FWIW

why does that say ePS guidance, its not

[dryslot]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

why does that say ePS guidance, its not

I guess you would have to ask NCAR..............lol

[OceanStWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

why does that say ePS guidance, its not

It could be be an ensemble prediction system, not THE ensemble prediction system.