dryslot Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 8 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: If that ridge is a little weaker/further east, Irma may make the turn. Purely academic at this point though. Right now, We have a 2,000 mi wide cone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Latest satellite are impressive to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: WAR building. In the Atlantic, in the Korean Peninsula, in Iraq. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Still missing Bob Marley.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Messenger would be good with this. R.I.P. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 16 minutes ago, weathafella said: Still missing Bob Marley.... No Irma no cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 EPS is Hugoish, somewhere aiming for the Florida to SC coast. So much time so many answers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 1 minute ago, dendrite said: No Irma no cry. Stir it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 I have a feeling this is going to be an epic storm to track at the least. I wouldn't be surprised to see it be one of the top Ace producers of all time. Just tons of warm water and low shear in its path. Warm water that extends to great depth as it's been ages since a major went through the Lower Mdr. This things going to be a monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: No Irma no cry. LOL. I remembahhh....when we used to ween in someone's backyard in Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Good calls he's had, But many calls he's lost... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro cuts that trough off though next week. I dunno...almost looks like a classic euro weird cutoff thing it does in winter. The mean agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Does anyone remember how far out Gloria was forecasted to come up the E. Coast? It seemed like it was waayy out in the Atlantic. The hype went on for days about how it was going to destroy the E Coast. Is there any reason the models back then had such a good handle on its track while over 30 years later there's such a large range of possible tracks with a CV storm like Irma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Has the WAR been that far west at all this summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Euro ensembles look like an east coast hit Alot of spread though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 14 minutes ago, Hoth said: Has the WAR been that far west at all this summer? Just when Kev wants it west all summer but nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good calls he's had, But many calls he's lost... I remembahhh....when we used to ween in someone's backyard in Tolland. Good calls he's had, But many calls he's lost Along the way.In his great future, he can't forget his past, So dry your tears, I seh. no Irma, no cry, no Irma, no cry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Right in the middle of the goalposts here. Doesn't mean squat D10 out, but then again EURO Ens. looks worse case skirting South FL with majority of members leaning toward the N. Being that strong would be wise to at least prep for extended isolation. House built for Major Hurricane, shed is not secured with eons to prep and tie-down, sitting at 108' ASL. Probably the only house for miles around to withstand the pounding. Neighbors already taking dibs on moving in for awhile. Putting odds OTS presently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 51 EPS members 3 direct hits on SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 45 minutes ago, Hoth said: Has the WAR been that far west at all this summer? yeah no, not really .. i've been scratching my head about that, and why the Euro chooses now to do it - it doesn't mean it won't do that? However, we've seen WAR over produced in the guidance' at other occasions during the extended base-line pattern persistence; which has been to normalize the Bermuda high. It's enough to wonder if the models just engaging in that same extended range sort of bias, but happenstance there is a TC now to handle while it is doing so. By the way folks, the trailing wave now an Invest... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 16 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Right in the middle of the goalposts here. Doesn't mean squat D10 out, but then again EURO Ens. looks worse case skirting South FL with majority of members leaning toward the N. Being that strong would be wise to at least prep for extended isolation. House built for Major Hurricane, shed is not secured with eons to prep and tie-down, sitting at 108' ASL. Probably the only house for miles around to withstand the pounding. Neighbors already taking dibs on moving in for awhile. Putting odds OTS presently. Key is next 3 days and sw movement if at all, I'd lean Florida gOM based on EPS or maybe Hugoish, probably Cat 5 at some point near the Islands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 One of my Greenfield PD friends has a buddy who is in a helicopter unit of the Texas State police. He texted my friend this morning telling him that the scale of the destruction is unimaginable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 I'm thinking a Carolina hit. Not sure yet on that extreme southern track. Doesn't really matter at this juncture but that's my feeling as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: One of my Greenfield PD friends has a buddy who is in a helicopter unit of the Texas State police. He texted my friend this morning telling him that the scale of the destruction is unimaginable. hundreds of miles, really is unfathomable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: hundreds of miles, really is unfathomable How do you even conduct search and rescue operations on a 30,000 square mile area? Never mind how you clean up the toxicity left behind. Mind-boggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 35 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah no, not really .. i've been scratching my head about that, and why the Euro chooses now to do it - it doesn't mean it won't do that? However, we've seen WAR over produced in the guidance' at other occasions during the extended base-line pattern persistence; which has been to normalize the Bermuda high. It's enough to wonder if the models just engaging in that same extended range sort of bias, but happenstance there is a TC now to handle while it is doing so. By the way folks, the trailing wave now an Invest... You have been on the pattern persistence train all summer, and it's certainly been a winning strategy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Good calls he's had, But many calls he's lost... Tolland stopped the damage But they didnt stop the board weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Same issue of some overlap from the trailing wave, I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 18z gfs looks like it will be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2017 Share Posted August 31, 2017 Holy****!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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