MarkO Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 St. Croix has over 50k people (that's 20x the population of Barbuda). It appears the northern eyewall will pass directly over the island. At this point all they can hope for is an eyewall replacement. Haven't been following in that regards, but thoughts and prayers go off to those American's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 I just had a scan at 15k with winds at 196 mph on radar scope velocity scan,damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 31 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Maybe it's my proximity to IJD and the fact that I went to high school with a lot of kids that were born in Puerto Rico, but I am really feeling this one. The best hope is a jog to the south of the current track. I have many many friends from IJD, have employees from PR all with friends and family on Vieques, and the Eastern shore. I hear you man. I sent out warnings 2 days on FB ago with hope I was so so wrong. Dr Knabb is shook you can see it. No hype man this is as dangerous as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Ian made this This map is excellent. Worth saving. Rough times for the islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 3 hours ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Looks like St Croix will really take a beating this time around. St Croix webcam: Shiat about to hit the fan there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Some serious downsloping going on at STT, they are gusting to 54 knots despite being well away from the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Jose looks like it has numb feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 10 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Some serious downsloping going on at STT, they are gusting to 54 knots despite being well away from the center. Peak 60kt. Must be downsloping I guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: Maybe it's my proximity to IJD and the fact that I went to high school with a lot of kids that were born in Puerto Rico, but I am really feeling this one. The best hope is a jog to the south of the current track. Yup, and no matter how catastrophic it is, most people outside of the Caribbean will have forgotten about it in a few days. I've got a friend SW of San Juan, all can do at this point is wish him and his family good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Peak 60kt. Must be downsloping I guess? I mean a NE wind is coming right off the spine of 1000-1250 ft hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yup, and no matter how catastrophic it is, most people outside of the Caribbean will have forgotten about it in a few days. I've got a friend SW of San Juan, all can do at this point is wish him and his family good luck. Many of my students (past and present) have family there. They are pretty stressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Shiat about to hit the fan there That livestream is intense! And that's the north side of the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 3 hours ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Don't forget world end on September 23rd. Would make our fundraising golf tournament that day sort of moot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 St Croix webcam done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 16 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Many of my students (past and present) have family there. They are pretty stressed. We have 3 kitchen staff over at the restaurant from PR, until I talked with them this morning they had no idea this was poised to be direct hit. I felt bad for freaking them out but it seemed pretty dire and apparently is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 3 minutes ago, Dan76 said: St Croix webcam done Coinciding with hurricane conditions. 43G74KT at the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 anything live from st croix? can't find any feeds.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 74kt now METAR TISX 200153Z 03043G74KT 3/4SM +RA BR SCT013 OVC018 25/25 A2926 RMK AO2 PK WND 02074/0151 SLP908 P0030 T02500250 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: 74kt now METAR TISX 200153Z 03043G74KT 3/4SM +RA BR SCT013 OVC018 25/25 A2926 RMK AO2 PK WND 02074/0151 SLP908 P0030 T02500250 $ For the non metar peeps 10:00 PM 77.0 °F - 77.0 °F 100% 29.24 in 0.5 mi NNE 50.6 mph 85.2 mph 0.14 in Fog , Rain Heavy Rain METAR TISX 200200Z 03044G74KT 1/2SM +RA FG VV014 25/25 A2924 RMK AO2 PK WND 02064/0157 PRESFR P0014 T02500250 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: For the non metar peeps 10:00 PM 77.0 °F - 77.0 °F 100% 29.24 in 0.5 mi NNE 50.6 mph 85.2 mph 0.14 in Fog , Rain Heavy Rain METAR TISX 200200Z 03044G74KT 1/2SM +RA FG VV014 25/25 A2924 RMK AO2 PK WND 02064/0157 PRESFR P0014 T02500250 $ Real men read METARs raw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: Real men read METARs raw. More like MANTARs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Looks like Maria is going through an eyewall replacement on radar. Hopefully that and a slightly more southerly track somewhat spares the island, although I do expect the damage to be significant. Probably worse than St. John. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Godspeed St. Croix.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Last few runs of the GFS and today's 12z EURO bring Maria really close to NJ/NE type landfall. The EURO was fun it kind of used Jose's remnants as a pendulum and closes in on landfall before escaping NE. Tonight's 00z GFS was very close with a still very strong Maria at making landfall in NJ. Between the hours of 150 & 168 hours Maria makes a fairly sharp NW turn before escaping E. I know we just got teased with Jose and it is very far out there, but I think this could end up being a close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Last few runs of the GFS and today's 12z EURO bring Maria really close to NJ/NE type landfall. The EURO was fun it kind of used Jose's remnants as a pendulum and closes in on landfall before escaping NE. Tonight's 00z GFS was very close with a still very strong Maria at making landfall in NJ. Between the hours of 150 & 168 hours Maria makes a fairly sharp NW turn before escaping E. I know we just got teased with Jose and it is very far out there, but I think this could end up being a close call. It doesn't show landfall into NJ though and the "sharp" NW turn is more like a slight wobble for one frame and then the stall and quick NE exit......at 150 hrs the wobble NW can turn into an abrupt NE escape too in future runs.......still something to keep an eye on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Send up prayers and good thoughts to my nephew. I just learned he is 'sheltering in place' in Vieques. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Glad I didn't wake up to this here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Looks like we lost wind at JSJ. Thanks ASOS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 So you weaken to a high end 4, but surround the island with hurricane winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 20, 2017 Share Posted September 20, 2017 Hope TJUA radar isn't down. Looks like the eye was going to go straight over the dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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