ForestHillWx Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 I'm into it now. Some of the heaviest rates of the year. Easily approaching 1" storm total so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 I have under .10 and looks like this will bust big time for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 12:02 PM, JerseyWx said: Last night the HRRR couldn't make up its mind lol. As you can tell, the heaviest rain is focused over northern and western parts of the area. Expand 1.15 of rain so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 12:00 PM, Brian5671 said: big ol bust for many. Euro was closest, but it was 50 miles too far south. Upton still has 1-2 inches here for today, we'll be lucky to crack .25 Expand I'd give you 5:1 odds that you'll crack 0.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 12:52 PM, danstorm said: I'd give you 5:1 odds that you'll crack 0.25 Expand 3:1. That whole batch is shifting east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 12:00 PM, Brian5671 said: big ol bust for many. Euro was closest, but it was 50 miles too far south. Upton still has 1-2 inches here for today, we'll be lucky to crack .25 Expand LOL, you love to stir the pot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 7, 2017 Author Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 12:52 PM, danstorm said: I'd give you 5:1 odds that you'll crack 0.25 Expand On 7/7/2017 at 12:55 PM, dmillz25 said: 3:1. That whole batch is shifting east Expand Don't worry the weenies know everything, its a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 This morning's light showers have actually given way to some peeks of sun here in southwest Suffolk. Going to end up with close to nothing unless that slug of rain over NEPA/NNJ pivots through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 Nice job by Euro and NAM signaling that there would be 3" maxes around the region. As always, you have to wait until nowcast to see where the jackpot is located. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 12:52 PM, danstorm said: I'd give you 5:1 odds that you'll crack 0.25 Expand Perhaps. Although I would bet totals here are closer to .25 than Upton's 1-2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 I'm approaching 2" now. There should be some decent flooding out this way in the low areas. The Muscentcong, Raritan headwaters/ Black River area has seen between 1.5-3" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 12:55 PM, dmillz25 said: 3:1. That whole batch is shifting east Expand He likely breaks an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 Heavy rain has commenced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 1.65 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 1:22 PM, Brian5671 said: Perhaps. Although I would bet totals here are closer to .25 than Upton's 1-2 inches. Expand Absolutely not. Track the hourly rainfall rates - 0.5"-1"+/hr is headed right for you. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=OKX&loop=yes This is not some dying cold front that will feel the marine layer and go poof, there's circulation with this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 1:36 PM, danstorm said: Absolutely not. Track the hourly rainfall rates - 0.5"-1"+/hr is headed right for you. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=OKX&loop=yes This is not some dying cold front that will feel the marine layer and go poof, there's circulation with this thing. Expand a 1 hour total loop is imo the best way to gauge where convective precip is propagating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 check out the meso low South of LI - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 0.11 out here so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 2:06 PM, Brian5671 said: check out the meso low South of LI - Expand I want my tors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 7, 2017 Author Share Posted July 7, 2017 Deluge here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 It's about to pour here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 Looks like well get .25" in 15 mins here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 0.60" so far.. Looks like the Heavy rain axis set up just to my south in NNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 Best looking stuff moving across SI into Brooklyn. Some locally gusty winds with the torrential downpours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 2.13 so far in butler nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 2:33 PM, rgwp96 said: 2.13 so far in butler nj Expand Nice! Looks like you guys in Morris & Warren counties jackpotted for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On 7/7/2017 at 2:20 PM, snywx said: 0.60" so far.. Looks like the Heavy rain axis set up just to my south in NNJ Expand So close http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=WARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 .55" total at least got something but the ECM sucked here, very little just to my south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 On nexrad it looks more like Westchester is the JP. Red returns for the longest amount of time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 .7 in 20 min at the new SI mesonet. http://www.nysmesonet.org/data/meteogram#?stid=STAT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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