cyclone77 Posted August 17, 2017 Share Posted August 17, 2017 3 hours ago, ice1972 said: Guys good high resolution visible satellite links? That can be zoomed up on? Need to see clouds in high detail.....provided there's an actual cell service lol and looped too GOES-16 imagery from COD is the best that I know of. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=cenplains-07-24-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 17, 2017 Author Share Posted August 17, 2017 A lot of Missouri looks iffy to put it mildly on the 00z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 17, 2017 Share Posted August 17, 2017 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: A lot of Missouri looks iffy to put it mildly on the 00z GFS. GFS and Euro showing an active convective signal for Sunday night/Monday morning with that potent LLJ over the Plains/MO valley. Euro has focused the convection further to the north the past few runs compared to several earlier runs. This would be good news for the eclipse corridor further to the south. It's looking like the LLJ and associated convection is pretty much a go at this point, but the question is how far north/south will this set up. I'm really hoping the MO area is good to go as I really don't want to drive all the way to Nebraska. Also don't want to go to southern IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted August 17, 2017 Share Posted August 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: GFS and Euro showing an active convective signal for Sunday night/Monday morning with that potent LLJ over the Plains/MO valley. Euro has focused the convection further to the north the past few runs compared to several earlier runs. This would be good news for the eclipse corridor further to the south. It's looking like the LLJ and associated convection is pretty much a go at this point, but the question is how far north/south will this set up. I'm really hoping the MO area is good to go as I really don't want to drive all the way to Nebraska. Also don't want to go to southern IL. Me too, as thats where I am most likely headed for the eclipse since I have family in N MO, I'd hate for it to be socked with clouds, especially since there won't be another one in this area for a very long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 17, 2017 Author Share Posted August 17, 2017 13 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: GFS and Euro showing an active convective signal for Sunday night/Monday morning with that potent LLJ over the Plains/MO valley. Euro has focused the convection further to the north the past few runs compared to several earlier runs. This would be good news for the eclipse corridor further to the south. It's looking like the LLJ and associated convection is pretty much a go at this point, but the question is how far north/south will this set up. I'm really hoping the MO area is good to go as I really don't want to drive all the way to Nebraska. Also don't want to go to southern IL. You and me both. Nebraska is like my plan D. Really don't want to go there but I've come this far with anticipation so I would do it if it's abundantly clear that areas farther east won't work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted August 17, 2017 Share Posted August 17, 2017 Quote AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 303 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 .Specifics for the Total Solar Eclipse on August 21st... Issued at 303 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017 Model projections continue to show an fairly unsettled weather pattern early next week as zonal flow along the northern periphery of a southeastern U.S. ridge impacts the area. Under this configuration, passing shortwave disturbances appear likely, and latest model trends support remnant convection early Monday morning with additional activity possible during the afternoon hours. Considering we`re still 4+ days out, a lot can still change, but overall trends this afternoon continue to support the notion that cloud cover will be present to at least some degree over the Lwr Missouri Vly early Monday afternoon. Whether its dense enough to inhibit eclipse viewing remains elusive this far out, and more details will follow in the coming days. Can't really say I am a huge fan of that AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 17, 2017 Author Share Posted August 17, 2017 Looks like hotels are just about gone now around St. Louis. Not much in smaller towns a bit outside totality either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 17, 2017 Share Posted August 17, 2017 10 hours ago, ice1972 said: Guys good high resolution visible satellite links? That can be zoomed up on? Need to see clouds in high detail.....provided there's an actual cell service lol and looped too The NASA site also has GOES 16 images/loops. Unlike COD, NASA lets you zoom in to any location. https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastconusband02.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted August 17, 2017 Share Posted August 17, 2017 8 hours ago, cyclone77 said: GOES-16 imagery from COD is the best that I know of. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=cenplains-07-24-0 Oh man that is a great site.....thanks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 17, 2017 Author Share Posted August 17, 2017 Pivotal Weather has the totality path overlaid on their products. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted August 17, 2017 Share Posted August 17, 2017 As far as Nashville, the main concern right now looks to be the potential for the typical popcorn t'storms to bubble up during peak heating. As long as they don't form over / near the city around the time of the eclipse, we should be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 18, 2017 Author Share Posted August 18, 2017 Well, usual caveats about no guarantees, being 4 days out and things can change, but looking at overall model signals/trends, it seems like the area of totality most likely to have a potential problem is the northern part of Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Anyone familiar with the Higginson-Henry Wildlife Management Area in Western KY? We don't mind roughing it and were thinking about throwing the tent in the back and finding an off the beaten path place to pitch it in Western KY Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 http://www.predsci.com/corona/aug2017eclipse/home.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 5 hours ago, bowtie` said: http://www.predsci.com/corona/aug2017eclipse/home.php Are you still going to that appointment on Monday before the eclipse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 18, 2017 Author Share Posted August 18, 2017 FYI, Tom Skilling is going to be in Carbondale for anyone heading that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 18, 2017 Author Share Posted August 18, 2017 I read a story about traffic backups already occurring in Oregon as of a couple days ago. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 Friend of mine lives just outside of Bend Oreogon sent me this. Said traffic was at a dead stop for 15 miles. He said he had to wait 30 minutes in line for fuel and some of the gas stations are running out of gas.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 The weather across Iowa is looking increasingly bad Monday, with a good chance of showers and storms, and certainly clouds. It would be pretty frustrating if the path of totality passed through here, especially considering much of the month has been sunny and dry. I hope the Missouri watchers can avoid the cloud debris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 19, 2017 Author Share Posted August 19, 2017 I have these big road maps and drew the center line on there. Old school lol. But I'm not taking chances if I have to quickly relocate and internet/GPS is having problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 19, 2017 Author Share Posted August 19, 2017 nrgjeff in the Tenn Valley forum says that the HRRR is going to run with eclipse adjusted conditions on Monday. Pretty cool and potentially very useful. Edit: looks like maybe only the HRRRx and not the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 51 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I have these big road maps and drew the center line on there. Old school lol. But I'm not taking chances if I have to quickly relocate and internet/GPS is having problems. Good idea. Think I'll do that with my atlas as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 9 hours ago, Torchageddon said: Are you still going to that appointment on Monday before the eclipse? Yes. Especially seeing how I have a tooth or some other problem that has erupted this past week. I'll take my 90% and be fine with it. After all, it is not the end of the world, yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 19, 2017 Author Share Posted August 19, 2017 We could have better agreement than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 I basically have two targets picked out now. Either somewhere south of Cameron MO, or near Beatrice NE depending on cloud issues. Staying in Osceola IA Sunday night. Will make the decision first thing Monday morning as to which target to go to. If both areas are compromised then I guess we'll just have to roll with it and try to enjoy it even with cloudy skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 I'll be looking at a lot of these simulated sat images going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: I basically have two targets picked out now. Either somewhere south of Cameron MO, or near Beatrice NE depending on cloud issues. Staying in Osceola IA Sunday night. Will make the decision first thing Monday morning as to which target to go to. If both areas are compromised then I guess we'll just have to roll with it and try to enjoy it even with cloudy skies. I'm headed to Ravenna NE.....not far from Beatrice....good luck man... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 19, 2017 Author Share Posted August 19, 2017 Plan is to leave the hotel very early Monday morning for the Missouri/Illinois border area. If I have to adjust east, I have a couple targets picked out near center line in IL/KY, and hopefully I'd be able to get through the traffic apocalypse to make it in time. Ideally want to be near the center, but comfortably within the zone will do if I can't make it to my targets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 19, 2017 Author Share Posted August 19, 2017 St Louis afd seems more pessimistic. However they and Paducah mentioned how the models may be affected by not properly accounting for the reduced insolation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 I'm not too optimistic, but still holding with near Carbondale as my target. Nearby areas are a backup option, but I'm not gonna drive deep into MO or KY for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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