BTRWx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Where they converge might end up being a localized qpf lollie? I'd think convection, but there's barely any sun shining through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Just now, BTRWx said: I'd think convection, but there's barely any sun shining through. Clouds are breaking north further west into Capon Bridge and Romney, WV won't take much to get things agitated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Clouds are breaking north further west into Capon Bridge and Romney, WV won't take much to get things agitated. I was just looking for a good satellite image. Why on earth did I expect to find localized still images from weatherbug? #GOESRneverlookback http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-02-12-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Just now, BTRWx said: I was just looking for a good satellite image. Why on earth did I expect to find localized still images from weatherbug? #GOESRneverlookback We're actually flirting with 1,000 CAPE from I-70 south somehow there's enough energy for gullywashers and an isolated wet microburst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: We're actually flirting with 1,000 CAPE from I-70 south somehow there's enough energy for gullywashers and an isolated wet microburst. Not good with what has already fallen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Past couple frames of GOES-16 show it's really trying to clear out to our west. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-02-48-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: We're actually flirting with 1,000 CAPE from I-70 south somehow there's enough energy for gullywashers and an isolated wet microburst. I should know this, but I'm sure others are interested. What signals indicate microburst chances and how would we best recognize one without being in one? I'd assume storm relative velocity is one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 The inner cylinder is going to breach soon. Closing in on an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Just now, BTRWx said: I should know this, but I'm sure others are interested. What signals indicate microburst chances and how would we best recognize one without being in one? I'd assume storm relative velocity is one? My experience has been watching the 0.5 and 1.5 degree Base Velocity. If there is a bright spot that quickly disappears then it can indicate a mass of precip cooled air rapidly descending to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: My experience has been watching the 0.5 and 1.5 degree Base Velocity. If there is a bright spot that quickly disappears then it can indicate a mass of precip cooled air rapidly descending to the surface. Awesome, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 1 hour ago, smokeybandit said: Some funky radar. Some cells moving to the SW. Some to the NE. Some to the NW. All you have to do is look at the 850mb moisture transport on the SPC mesoanalysis page. Maybe a Potomac River precip max later this evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 0.66" yesterday evening and 1.10" so far today. I've noticed it never rains until I complain about it on here, then we get deluged. I should probably remember that from now on- next time my lawn needs water, instead of grabbing the hose I'll just make a post here complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 I have sun! That cell just nw of the District looks threatening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 237 PM EDT Thu Jul 6 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A weak frontal boundary persists across the Mid-Atlantic through tonight. Low pressure crosses the area tonight. A cold front will cross through the region Friday night into Saturday morning. High pressure builds into the Mid-Atlantic behind the front this weekend and persists into Monday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Have expanded/lengthened the flash flood watch. Given the history of the atmosphere over the past 24 hours, the fact that the regional radar shows a line of heavy showers forming along the Mason-Dixon line westward to central OH/western KY moving east, and the WPC day 1 excessive rainfall graphic (they`ve done very well in the past two days) feel this is the proper track. Hopefully this won`t come to fruition. Have heard that in Fairfax Co several roads are closed due to high water. Our radar operators will be on guard through the evening. Previous... High pressure has moved off the ME coast and in response the boundary has dropped further in the western Atlantic and then moving northwest across our forecast area. This has provided the focus for very heavy rainfall this morning - NHK received 1.05" in 23 minutes this morning. IAD 12Z sounding had a PWAT of 2.14", which is even higher than yesterday morning`s 1.89. As a result showers which formed were extremely efficient rain producers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Very dark to my west eta: I received a trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Well over an inch in the gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 4 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Looks like some 6" amounts south of Dale City over the past 24 hours Well, that appears to corroborate the 5.2 inches in my three rain buckets scattered all over the back yard lol. I got so happy about the rain overnight that I ended up staying up til 8am lmao, then conked out til 330pm. Looks like I picked up another 2 or so between 8am and 3pm lol. If this is true, I have really picked up five inches since 4pm yesterday, that is an unbelievable amount of rain. Talk about a WIN!!! Those of you tackling rush hour tonight, stay very safe, slow down and give yourself extra time.. Is the NWS REALLY calling for even MORE rain tonight? Wow wow wow Wow WOW WOW!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 This one's been a bust IMBY. Only about .4"out of the 1.2" predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Middletown, DE area getting crushed this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 1 minute ago, smokeybandit said: This one's been a bust IMBY. Only about .4"out of the 1.2" predicted. Same here. 0.32" so far. Looks like some incoming/developing heavy showers though with the low passing over the lower Chesapeake. I am sure it will find a way to mostly miss mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 3 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: I'm finally under one of those stationary, growing trains of steady to moderate rain. I can see the gauge creeping up from inside the house and guessing about .50" so far. Could be under these returns for awhile but still a long way off before I cry, "Uncle!" No F'N way I ever cry UNCLE. While I want everyone to get their share of the rain, I NEVER, EVER cry Uncle when it comes to heavy rain and battleship gray skies! Bring It ON!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Looks like that area just south of Middletown has had 4-5" in the past 3 hours. Persistent 50 dbz returns there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Looks like that area just south of Middletown has had 4-5" in the past 3 hours. Persistent 50 dbz returns there. I was just coming here to post something about that. The loop is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Finally getting some beneficial rain. Looks a touch over .75 in my junky rain gauge and still a nice steady rain falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 We drove through some real heavy rain on our way down to Raleigh this morning! Some of the heaviest on I-95 south was right around the Dale City area where Jeb was building his ark amidst torrential downpours and battleship gray skies. Once we got south of Fredericksburg the skies started to break and we had full sun by Richmond. Here in Raleigh it was 95 at 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: We drove through some real heavy rain on our way down to Raleigh this morning! Some of the heaviest on I-95 south was right around the Dale City area where Jeb was building his ark amidst torrential downpours and battleship gray skies. Once we got south of Fredericksburg the skies started to break and we had full sun by Richmond. Here in Raleigh it was 95 at 5pm. LMAO!!!!!! Ark is nearly completed, just in time for yet another round of rain lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Since nobody has mentioned it, there is a tornado warning down by Madison, VA. Plenty of sun out there now. Holy moly is it humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Tornado confirmed in Charles Town yesterday. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 432 PM EDT Thu Jul 6 2017 ...Tornado Confirmed Near Charles Town in Jefferson County WV... Location...Charles Town in Jefferson County WV Date...July 05 2017 Estimated Time...8:14 PM to 8:15 PM EDT Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF-0 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...70 mph Maximum Path Width...30 Yards Path Length...0.25 mile Beginning Lat/Lon...39.297 N / 77.844 W Ending lat/Lon...39.300 N / 77.847 W * Fatalities...0 * Injuries...0 * The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS Storm Data. ...Summary... The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington DC has confirmed a weak tornado near Charles Town in Jefferson County WV on July 05 2017. A small tornado touched down at the entrance to the Jefferson Crossing Shopping Center on Flowing Springs Road just north of U.S. 340. The tornado damaged the sign at the entrance. The tornado crossed Flowing Springs Road and damaged the roofing of three barns and the door to a fourth barn located at Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races. One barn lost a section of roof completely, leaving seven stalls exposed. Debris from the roof of one barn was thrown into power lines, snapping a telephone pole. Fencing was also damaged by debris from the roof. Projectile impacts were also noted in nearby barn roofs from two- by-four pieces of wood that were lofted by the tornado. The tornado lifted as it crossed East Fifth Avenue near the vehicle entrance to the barn area. The tornado was captured on security camera footage at the Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races. The footage showed sections of barn roof being lifted and spun into the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Sun just came out here. 1.48" since 7:00 a.m. after 0.57" yesterday. 2.95" for July now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Decent bit of sun west of I-270...might be just enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.