Eskimo Joe Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 What are totals like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Just now, losetoa6 said: 4-7" Oh my god. That's absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 4-7" Low end of my threshold, but I'll take it. Hope the NAM/GFS come around...EURO hasn't been the king of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Its a central N MD crush job right now. Even the GFS went up with totals. But as with our winter storms, the track of the low will determine everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 All of us that have been complained about a lack of rain will be the first ones to complain that we got too much. 41 minutes ago, mappy said: well that will make for a crappy pool party, but thats okay. i can deal with cool weather, plenty of backyard space for the kids to play (we bought a moon bounce!). rain is my bigger concern. Moon bounces are awesome! Be sure to stake it down really well. There are a few (great!) videos out there where they've become Apollo missions and blown around with kids in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Maybe we'll get lucky and this won't flake out...we've been bereft of a decent regionwide event this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 12z Panasonic QPF for DC region through 96 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z Panasonic QPF for DC region You don't have a shot of western PA by any chance do you? Heading up this weekend to see my father-in-law who lives just outside of Pittsburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 12 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: All of us that have been complained about a lack of rain will be the first ones to complain that we got too much. Moon bounces are awesome! Be sure to stake it down really well. There are a few (great!) videos out there where they've become Apollo missions and blown around with kids in them. ha, it will be staked. though, if it rains as much as Euro says, the kids can use it as a boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Just now, showmethesnow said: You don't have a shot of western PA by any chance do you? Heading up this weekend to see my father-in-law who lives just outside of Pittsburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Just now, yoda said: Thanks, just a county away from the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, mappy said: ha, it will be staked. though, if it rains as much as Euro says, the kids can use it as a boat. Hope you have a good time. But keep an eye out for your neighbors. https://www.msn.com/g00/en-us/news/watch/watch-neighbor-unplug-bounce-house-that-deflated-on-12-kids-at-birthday-party/vp-BBBzelU?i10c.referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bing.com%2F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 LWX afternoon AFD hitting the heavy rainfall potential: .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... The showers and thunderstorms will likely move to the south and a brief break in activity is likely Thu night. The cold front will be approaching the Appalachians Thu night while a closed low passes across the Great Lakes. Cyclogenesis will be occurring across the Mid-Atlantic region Friday and depending on the placement of the sfc low and front hazardous weather is possible. The main threat at this time is heavy rain due to the increased PWAT air and overrunning Fri morning into the afternoon. Thunderstorms are possible mainly in the warm sector and across the southern CWA. Deepening of the sfc low will continue off the Mid-Atlantic coast resulting in northerly flow on the backside of the low Fri night. The wind field will strengthen aloft as the upper level low approaches the Mid-Atlantic region. Bands of heavy rain may continue Friday night into Saturday. There will likely be multiple rounds of heavy rain Friday morning into Saturday. Uncertainty exists in the location of the heaviest bands of rainfall but all interested parties across the Mid-Atlantic region should stay tuned to the rainfall threat during this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 39 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z Panasonic QPF for DC region through 96 hrs Is that using the Kuchera ratio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 44 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z Panasonic QPF for DC region through 96 hrs I'm pretty sure that's next winter's total snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 43 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Ukie for fun.. Rain rain rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 I can hardly believe today's KLWX AFD! What is this, late July, or is it mid November? High pressure moves off the coast this evening and southerly flow will increase in the mid-levels across the Mid-Atlantic region. A cold front will push southward across the Mid-West tonight while multiple disturbances move eastward, approaching the Mid-Atlantic region. Convection will likely be diving down across the Mississippi Valley overnight. Mostly dry conditions are expected across the region tonight. A few NCAR ensemble members show iso-sct showers forming late tonight into Thu morning due to the WAA. Kept forecast dry for now as confidence is low at this time. Clouds and possibly some showers will be around Thursday morning as moisture continues to move northeast into the Mid-Atlantic region. As the mid-west disturbances approach from the Ohio Valley Thursday morning, the wind field is expected to strengthen as do the lapse rates. There is a model spread for the amt of available energy by Thursday afternoon but 1000 J/Kg or more is expected by Thu afternoon. DSoutherly surface flow will continue during the day with about 30 kt of 0-6km shear. Isolated strong to severe storms are expected Thurs afternoon into the evening. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... The showers and thunderstorms will likely move to the south and a brief break in activity is likely Thu night. The cold front will be approaching the Appalachians Thu night while a closed low passes across the Great Lakes. Cyclogenesis will be occurring across the Mid-Atlantic region Friday and depending on the placement of the sfc low and front hazardous weather is possible. The main threat at this time is heavy rain due to the increased PWAT air and overrunning Fri morning into the afternoon. Thunderstorms are possible mainly in the warm sector and across the southern CWA. Deepening of the sfc low will continue off the Mid-Atlantic coast resulting in northerly flow on the backside of the low Fri night. The wind field will strengthen aloft as the upper level low approaches the Mid-Atlantic region. Bands of heavy rain may continue Friday night into Saturday. There will likely be multiple rounds of heavy rain Friday morning into Saturday. Uncertainty exists in the location of the heaviest bands of rainfall but all interested parties across the Mid-Atlantic region should stay tuned to the rainfall threat during this time. Very hard to believe this is late July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 I can't believe we're talking about Euro crush jobs and northern MD lollies in late July LOL. I hope we get a good soaking rain, but it clears out for a gorgeous weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Good to see the UKMET with similar setup to the Euro. Having the GFS, to a lesser extent, on board is a bonus. We could use a good flush on the rivers and it's been about 6-7 years since the Potomac had a flood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Is it just me, or is CWG getting clickbaity these days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 19 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Is it just me, or is CWG getting clickbaity these days? Sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 Hoping for flooding. WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 The old King ain't what he used to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 Here comes the wet 00z NAM Oh will you look at that @Eskimo Joe, it looks like the... EURO with its QPF totals... fascinating 3-6" of rain through 09z SAT and still raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 33 minutes ago, yoda said: Here comes the wet 00z NAM Oh will you look at that @Eskimo Joe, it looks like the... EURO with its QPF totals... fascinating 3-6" of rain through 09z SAT and still raining All done by Sunday... nice 6-10" stripe near EZF ETA: weather.cod.edu map confirms closing in on 10" near EZF by hr 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 18 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 3k really has northeast winds picking up by Late Friday night into Sat. ..gusts to 45+..long range but still.. That could be potentially bad with water logged ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 Only in July will a 500mb low over Detroit track to our south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 00z GFS says hi... 4-9 inches for MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 3 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: The old King ain't what he used to be. Funny how the 00z NAM/00z 3km NAM/00z GFS all jumped on board with the 12z EC with their rain totals of over 4 inches... looks like wrong again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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