mattie g Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 28 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: New svr warning for MoCo. Maybe that stuff can build south into Fairfax Co. Still 91 here. I'm hoping for something to fire along the outflow boundary. Not sure we can squeeze out a storm otherwise down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 6 minutes ago, mattie g said: I'm hoping for something to fire along the outflow boundary. Not sure we can squeeze out a storm otherwise down here. i think we're cooked down here... don't really see a trigger for us to see a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 1 hour ago, BlizzardNole said: LOL at Germantown included in that warning -- not a drop here and I am at Rt 355 and Rt 27, a couple miles east. This is the most agonizing miss I can remember with a stationary severe thunderstorm literally three miles away. Just disgusted. I am sort of in the same place. Storm just to my North parked right over 70W. All I am getting 5 miles to the South is some sympathy thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 I'm looking at that outflow boundary coming my way. I hear rumbles of thunder. Showers are blowing up along it. If it can slow down and stop while a huge t-storm sets up over me, I'd be happy. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 Just a few more miles east, please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 That huge Laytonsville area storm earlier then one popped just a few miles south around Gaithersburg. Only a brief minute of drops here, not even enough to wet the ground. I've never been fringed this bad before just 2-3 miles in multiple directions. Stephens City has got nothin' on the infamous Germantown micro-desert. OK back out to finish mowing my dusty, weedy hard-packed lawn. At least I don't have to cut often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 29 minutes ago, yoda said: i think we're cooked down here... don't really see a trigger for us to see a storm I agree, though I'm putting some baked beans on right now. I'll see if family g can provide the trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 Just move a few miles south!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 I got brushed by that rain over Hyattsville and Riverdale Park. I guess I'll have to live with that. But the sun is out and it's raining buckets a mile to my east. lol Random CG lightening though. One just hit a few hundred yards from my house. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Faint rainbow, sun, and pouring rain. I knew that storm was going to settle right to the southeast of me (about one mile). lol I'm getting random CG lightening and no rain. Hope it builds to the northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 That's the second time today the pool has been closed by a sunny day lightning strike. Such a shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 And that's a wrap? Any more chances this evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted July 17, 2017 Share Posted July 17, 2017 Dry in my desert locale. Shut out again. Mid 90s. My area sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 12 hours ago, Stormpc said: Dry in my desert locale. Shut out again. Mid 90s. My area sucks. Rain shield in full force here. Big rainer blossomed 2 miles to my NW, lots of thunder, 12 drops of rain. That thing moved west then hooked south and hit Easton. lol cant make it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Models pumping out decent heat for late week. Euro is roughly 95/98/97 for Thurs-Sat. The GFS OP is a horror show with a streak of 95+ including three 100s. GFS MOS is 95/96/99/98/98/95 starting Wednesday. Thankfully, the GFS was high on this last round of heat, so may be again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 4 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Models pumping out decent heat for late week. Euro is roughly 95/98/97 for Thurs-Sat. The GFS OP is a horror show with a streak of 95+ including three 100s. GFS MOS is 95/96/99/98/98/95 starting Wednesday. Thankfully, the GFS was high on this last round of heat, so may be again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 This sucks unless we get a derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 12z GFS tries for a sneaky 100 tomorrow, upper 90s Thursday, around 100 on Friday, around 100 on Sat as well -- this is for the DC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Just now, yoda said: 12z GFS tries for a sneaky 100 tomorrow, upper 90s Thursday, around 100 on Friday, around 100 on Sat as well -- this is for the DC area If we manage to stay mostly sunny or full sun it's a definite possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 F big heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Anyone have any thoughts on storms today? From what I've seen its gonna be a crapshoot again, with barely moving blobs. Really looking forward to something widespread again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Anyone have any thoughts on storms today? From what I've seen its gonna be a crapshoot again, with barely moving blobs. Really looking forward to something widespread again. It will not be like yesterday. Most activity should be very pulsey and quite isolated in nature. See the short term and hi-res modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: It will not be like yesterday. Most activity should be very pulsey and quite isolated in nature. See the short term and hi-res modeling. Didn't modeling fail yesterday, though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 5 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: It will not be like yesterday. Most activity should be very pulsey and quite isolated in nature. See the short term and hi-res modeling. Thoughts on what the 3k NAM is putting out? Verifying with the stuff down in SW VA towards Charlottesville. It looked similar to what happened yesterday. I know we've had quite a few slow/non moving storm days this year, can't remember if that's unusual or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Some storms popping in S PA though. We shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 DCA might verify heat advisory criteria today...lol. If it's one thing we go well, it's heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Things popping over/east of D.C. again. That's been the sweet spot recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 53 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: It will not be like yesterday. Most activity should be very pulsey and quite isolated in nature. See the short term and hi-res modeling. Pretty sure the short term/hi res models had an epic fail yesterday... so I dunno if using them for today will work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Mid-level lapse rates are not as robust as yesterday locally, you have to go further SW toward CHO or RNK, hence the MGRL Risk there. Still, some terrain or leftover boundaries could compensate. We've had more sun thus far then yesterday which does aid things a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 18, 2017 Share Posted July 18, 2017 Lightning strike in Beltsville per RadarScope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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