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July Obs/Disco Thread


George BM

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  On 7/13/2017 at 7:06 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

We might roast next week too if some of the guidance is right.

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Yea next week looks legit.  EURO wants to pop a 597 dm ridge over Kentucky & relax the Great Lakes low substantially.  That was a similar setup to the 2012 heat that brought us the derecho.  

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This should be interesting tonight if LWX is correct in their afternoon AFD:

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Upper trough axis over the northwestern Great Lakes shifts
southeast overnight allowing the focus of activity that has been
north of the area to drop towards or into the LWX CWA.
Instability persists overnight, so nocturnal convection/
propagation of MCS activity into our area overnight is possible.

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