NJwx85 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 17 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Even way up here? It's close, I'll leave this up for a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It's close, I'll leave this up for a few minutes. Thanks, I've seen this act before...its all part of Fringe City living living LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 12z Euro is about 25-50 miles north of last night's run....huge jackpot in far SNJ with close to 9 inches! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 26, 2017 Author Share Posted July 26, 2017 47 minutes ago, TriPol said: A nor'easter in July? Has Autumn come ealry? Decent area of gales along the coast for a surfers delight without any tropical influence. Not every year we see a nearly 4 SD NAO drop in late July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Euro now with a Saturday washout... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 20 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: Euro now with a Saturday washout... couple mets in the NE forum opine that it's overdone.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 48 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 12z Euro is about 25-50 miles north of last night's run....huge jackpot in far SNJ with close to 9 inches! LOL We saw that once in the past I think in the 90s a summer nor'easter that dumped 14" over south jersey and led to major flooding. I think ACY had 13" in 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We saw that once in the past I think in the 90s a summer nor'easter that dumped 14" over south jersey and led to major flooding. I think ACY had 13" in 24 hours 2006 June i believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 26, 2017 Author Share Posted July 26, 2017 14 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We saw that once in the past I think in the 90s a summer nor'easter that dumped 14" over south jersey and led to major flooding. I think ACY had 13" in 24 hours Yeah, that was the 8-20-97 cutoff deluge. https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-8212D882-E6DF-4F35-B57A-B1247E4E0FE5.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 JB all in...notes a system in 8/94 that it reminds him of-says that if the energey does not escape b/w hour 78-84 this could be even worse than advertised. Also notes the boiling AMO will help it feedback... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 29 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, that was the 8-20-97 cutoff deluge. https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-8212D882-E6DF-4F35-B57A-B1247E4E0FE5.pdf July 97 I thought we had a classic winter like nor Easter with 3-4 inches of rain and highs like 55-60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: JB all in...notes a system in 8/94 that it reminds him of-says that if the energey does not escape b/w hour 78-84 this could be even worse than advertised. Also notes the boiling AMO will help it feedback... I guess we're due for a deluge, i hope it stays away from the region but wouldnt shock me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, SACRUS said: I guess we're due for a deluge, i hope it stays away from the region but wouldnt shock me Been a weird July here...3 days where temps never got out of the 60's and 10 days of fairly decent heat bookending the cool. Guess a big ol noreaster would be the !!! point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 The EPS mean agrees on the deluge. It's close to the OP with 1.50"+ for most of the area. Monmouth and the extreme south shore of LI and points South are all at least 2"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Of course it figures that the biggest rainstorm of the season is going to occur while I'm completely out of the area. The 15z SREF was wet too, 2"+ in NYC proper. 3"+ for parts of coastal NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Of course it figures that the biggest rainstorm of the season is going to occur while I'm completely out of the area. The 15z SREF was wet too, 2"+ in NYC proper. 3"+ for parts of coastal NJ. you missed a biggie earlier this summer too-I think you were in Florida. Since you won't be here, I'm forecasting a jackpot of 10 inches right over your house from this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Just now, Brian5671 said: you missed a biggie earlier this summer too-I think you were in Florida. Since you won't be here, I'm forecasting a jackpot of 10 inches right over your house from this one. Yes I did, I was out of the country for ten days so I'm not sure on the exact timing of that. New Orleans looks surprisingly dry, just normal scattered afternoon storms. I half expected a hurricane to be bearing down on the city when I booked this trip six months ago. My main concern right now is getting out of dodge before the rains arrive on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Well Monday looks to be on the dry side for my trip to the Dominican Republic. Looks like mid 80s and sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 54 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: JB all in...notes a system in 8/94 that it reminds him of-says that if the energey does not escape b/w hour 78-84 this could be even worse than advertised. Also notes the boiling AMO will help it feedback... One of my favorites. That was a weird hybrid nor'easter that produced 50mph gusts and minor tree damage on the island. It also caused massive waves and beach erosion. Some of the biggest summer time waves I have even seen with water under the board walk at jones beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 Wicked cutoff on the 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 3k NAM is further NW, this is only through late Friday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Wicked cutoff on the 18z NAM. it's the NAM but wow at that band of 5-7 inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 26, 2017 Share Posted July 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: it's the NAM but wow at that band of 5-7 inches! I'll take my 5-6" and run... Also, on further thought I believe Snowgoose is right and the powerful hybrid system was July 97 not 94. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 26, 2017 Author Share Posted July 26, 2017 2 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: July 97 I thought we had a classic winter like nor Easter with 3-4 inches of rain and highs like 55-60 I believe the August 97 event over SNJ was close to a 500-1000 year rainfall for that location. Mid-Atlantic Region Heavy downpours from thunderstorms hit Atlantic City, New Jersey and caused very severe urban flooding across southern New Jersey. 10.36 inches of rain fell in 3 hours on August 20-21 with a storm total of over 13 inches at the Atlantic City Airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 July 24th 1997 was the date for the cool rain that year... https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-90896456-672C-425D-BF76-BA60E1FEAFC4.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 Bats being picked up in SE CT on KOKX radar right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 27, 2017 Author Share Posted July 27, 2017 Newark is getting close to its first below normal temperature July since 2014. Departures continue to fall across the area with the cooler late July pattern. EWR...+0.3 NYC....+0.7 LGA....+1.3 JFK....+1.3 ISP....+2.0 BDR...+1.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 44 minutes ago, bluewave said: Newark is getting close to its first below normal temperature July since 2014. Departures continue to fall across the area with the cooler late July pattern. EWR...+0.3 NYC....+0.7 LGA....+1.3 JFK....+1.3 ISP....+2.0 BDR...+1.6 Given how cool the weekend may be, we may very well slip into the negatives this month and definitely for Newark and NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 23 hours ago, SACRUS said: Trakcing the Cool down dailies 7/23 - 7/31 LGA: 7/23: 80/72 (-2) 7/24: 73/64 (-9) 7/25: 71/62 ( -11) 7/26: 78/65 (-6) EWR: 7/23: 81/70 (-2) 7/24: 75/65 (-8) 7/25: 73/62 (-10) 7/26: 76/66 (-7) NYC: 7/23: 79/71 (-2) 7/24: 73/6 (-9) 7/25: 71/62 (-10) 7/26: 77/65 (-6) TTN: 7/23: 83/71 (+1) 7/24: 82/65 (-2) 7/25: 77/64 (-5) 7/26: 77/65 (-5) PHL: 7/23: 89/72 (+3) 7/24: 88/70 (+1) 7/25: 79/66 (-5) 7/26: 82/67 (-3) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 27, 2017 Share Posted July 27, 2017 Clouds in the way and another strong negative departure today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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