winterwx21 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 17 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: The heaviest is south of Allentown and heading ese. The batch in central PA seems to be aimed at the I80 corridor Yeah with that first batch near Allentown it looks as if we're just gonna get a light to moderate shower here, while the heavy stuff goes down into Burlington and Ocean counties. I hope we can at least squeeze out a half inch of rain from this event. The soil is pretty dry right now. I'm holding off on watering the vegetable garden, hoping we get a decent amount of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Current radar trends would tend to favor the NAM 3K idea with a more southerly trajectory for this feature vs the Euro. With the exception of the HRRR, the models do not seem to be picking up on the ongoing convection over SE PA very well which will impact how the feature now over north central PA performs over our area this evening. In any case the 18z run of the HRRR has a stripe of 1 - 3" amounts across the area from west to east especially south of I-80 in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 .10" and think the rest stays I78 north, infuriating second half of July after the rains came easy early in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 14 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Current radar trends would tend to favor the NAM 3K idea with a more southerly trajectory for this feature vs the Euro. With the exception of the HRRR, the models do not seem to be picking up on the ongoing convection over SE PA very well which will impact how the feature now over north central PA performs over our area this evening. In any case the 18z run of the HRRR has a stripe of 1 - 3" amounts across the area from west to east especially south of I-80 in NJ. 21z HRRR went nuts, with a band of 4 to 5 inch amounts just south of the city (Mercer to Monmouth). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Congrats philly again!! Amazing severe spot the last few years. Just some drizzle here in Susquehanna county Pa. Fine with me as they had 4" of rain here last week. Let's see if anything survives to the island or it just fizzles like usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Precip field looks to be intensifying somewhat over eastern PA as it moves east. There are heavier echos further north near Wilkes-Barre however that is accounted for by orographic lift over terrain that is 2000 feet above sea level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Congrats philly again!! Amazing severe spot the last few years. Just some drizzle here in Susquehanna county Pa. Fine with me as they had 4" of rain here last week. Let's see if anything survives to the island or it just fizzles like usual 59 MPH wind gust measured in Camden, NJ as that line moved through that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Congrats philly again!! Amazing severe spot the last few years. Just some drizzle here in Susquehanna county Pa. Fine with me as they had 4" of rain here last week. Let's see if anything survives to the island or it just fizzles like usual This reminds me of five or six years ago when everything would slam into Philly and Monmouth and Ocean County right after they had the 2009-10 winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 57 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: This reminds me of five or six years ago when everything would slam into Philly and Monmouth and Ocean County right after they had the 2009-10 winter Best storm I've ever been in was 5 years ago in Brick, NJ. 70 mph gusts and constant CG strikes with incredible mammatus afterwards (which is in my profile pic.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 7/22: PHL: 93 EWR: 92 NYC: 92 New Brunswick: 92 ACY: 92 LGA: 91 TEB: 92 TTN: 91 ISP: 90 JFK: 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 This event is starting to crank it up here. 0.75" so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Looks like another NYC shafting. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Not looking too good north of I-80 as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Really pouring here - 1.12" so far. Looks like the I-78 / I-287 corridor in Somerset and Middlesex County in NJ will be next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Another event splits the uprights... still nothing to the heat island disrupting convection thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 8 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Another event splits the uprights... still nothing to the heat island disrupting convection thing? Whatever the reason, I don't think this is purely coincidental. The atmospheric memory theory is an interesting one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 There is a stationary front running roughly parallel to I-78 in eastern PA and central NJ. There is a mesoscale low traversing the front from west to east and that is causing the rains in that area. If you check the Mt. Holly hourly obs and look closely at the dewpoints you can see it. The front separates an air mass with dewpoints in the 60s and low 70s with a different air mass with dewpoints in low to mid 70s to the south. The front is acting as a lifting mechanism and that is helping to cause the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Pouring right now very heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Current temp 72/DP 70/RH 92% 0.31" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Pouring here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Had 0.50" up to midnight...higher amounts just east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Looks like a little rain finally made it to wantagh. Let's see if we can get a half inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 0.65" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 0.02" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Still pouring here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 0.02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Midnight low of 72, 5 degrees lower than the morning low. 0.53" in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 0.60" in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 At least we got the half inch of rain that I was hoping for. Picked up .52" here. The big 1 to 2 inch amounts went just to the south, across central Middlesex county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 23, 2017 Share Posted July 23, 2017 Wantagh got 1.22" and looks like FRG .40. Fwiw the Euro says we do it all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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