Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

July 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

We should tack on a tenth or two of a degree to the July departures today. Then it looks like a slow drop for the rest of July as it won't be as hot as this week was.

EWR...+1.6

NYC...+2.0

LGA...+2.8

JFK...+2.5

BDR...+3.0

ISP...+2.9

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

We should tack on a tenth or two of a degree to the July departures today. Then it looks like a slow drop for the rest of July as it won't be as hot as this week was.

EWR...+1.6

NYC...+2.0

LGA...+2.8

JFK...+2.5

BDR...+3.0

ISP...+2.9

7/25 - 7/30 looks near normal and should shave these back .5 - 1+

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

7/25 - 7/30 looks near normal and should shave these back .5 - 1+

Yeah, we should hold onto a smaller + departure than some of the really hot 2010's Julys as the heat has been less extreme. But it looks like 2014 will still stand as the only - departure July of the 2010's. So 7 above normal Julys since 2010 vs only 1 below normal. Similar to only one below normal snowfall winter since 2010 with 2011-2012.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 7/18/2017 at 10:01 AM, SACRUS said:

July's - on our way to a 2015/16ish June dep-wise

EWR

2010:  +4.9
2011: +5.3
2012: +3.5
2013:  +3.5
2014:  -0.3
2015:  +1.6
2016:  +2.6

so far: +1.6

 

LGA:

 

2010: +5.4
2011:  +3.0
2012:  +3.0
2013: +3.8
2014:  -0.4
2015:  +1.8
2016: +3.7

so far:  +2.8

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Recent runs of the HRRR are keying in on the idea for heavy flooding rains of 1.5 - 3" for parts of northern/central NJ and NYC.  12z NAM concurs with a bulls eye in the I-78 to I-287 corridor and into Staten Is.  Amounts of up to 4 - 5" in some parts of that area.  The event would occur this evening and the first part of tonight.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

Recent runs of the HRRR are keying in on the idea for heavy flooding rains of 1.5 - 3" for parts of northern/central NJ and NYC.  12z NAM concurs with a bulls eye in the I-78 to I-287 corridor and into Staten Is.  Amounts of up to 4 - 5" in some parts of that area.  The event would occur this evening and the first part of tonight.

Yeah this seems more likely than anything severe. At the same time the heaviest rain may be isolated. The RGEM takes the focus south of most of the metro area but hits us hard tomorrow night

Link to comment
Share on other sites

37 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

this MCV appears to be on a good trajectory for us

 

The Euro tracks the MCV right down I-80 across our area. Has a solid 2"+ event with some gusty winds near the rear inflow jet behind the MCV.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The Euro tracks the MCV right down I-80 across our area. Has a solid 2"+ event with some gusty winds near the rear inflow jet behind the MCV.

it's practically a small tropical cyclone. look at that pwat

nam_2017072212_015_40.7--74.12.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

90 earlier, 88 now at home 

was boiling hot here at cedar beach before, sea breeze finally kicked in to make it more bearable 

The fact that there are three or four (or more?) Cedar Beaches in Suffolk County boggles my mind, there's a lot of repetition with the street names as well. Kind of dumb imo. I was at the north shore Cedar Beach the other day, the water felt nice. The sea breeze made it extremely muggy, once it retreated south it was nice and dry.

My high today was 90.0 (89.98), the rate the temp was climbing earlier I expected it to go higher, but a 90 is a 90.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

2 runs in a row of the HRRR now have most of the rain missing us to the south. Hopefully it's wrong. I've found the HRRR to be unreliable in the last several months.

The heaviest is south of Allentown and heading ese. The batch in central PA seems to be aimed at the I80 corridor

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...