Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Current temp 78/DP 69/RH 72% Yesterdays high temp was 93 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2017 Author Share Posted July 22, 2017 We should tack on a tenth or two of a degree to the July departures today. Then it looks like a slow drop for the rest of July as it won't be as hot as this week was. EWR...+1.6 NYC...+2.0 LGA...+2.8 JFK...+2.5 BDR...+3.0 ISP...+2.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: We should tack on a tenth or two of a degree to the July departures today. Then it looks like a slow drop for the rest of July as it won't be as hot as this week was. EWR...+1.6 NYC...+2.0 LGA...+2.8 JFK...+2.5 BDR...+3.0 ISP...+2.9 7/25 - 7/30 looks near normal and should shave these back .5 - 1+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Interesting to see how hot it can go today ahead of the clouds. Days before or of any frontal boundry always seem to over perform. But it looks like clouds will get in the way by 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 10AM: Roundup TEB: 85 NYC: 82 EWR: 86 LGA: 82 JFK: 86 ISP: 84 New Brunswick: 86 BLM: 85 TTN: 84 PJL: 86 ACY: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2017 Author Share Posted July 22, 2017 10 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 7/25 - 7/30 looks near normal and should shave these back .5 - 1+ Yeah, we should hold onto a smaller + departure than some of the really hot 2010's Julys as the heat has been less extreme. But it looks like 2014 will still stand as the only - departure July of the 2010's. So 7 above normal Julys since 2010 vs only 1 below normal. Similar to only one below normal snowfall winter since 2010 with 2011-2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 On 7/18/2017 at 10:01 AM, SACRUS said: July's - on our way to a 2015/16ish June dep-wise EWR 2010: +4.9 2011: +5.3 2012: +3.5 2013: +3.5 2014: -0.3 2015: +1.6 2016: +2.6 so far: +1.6 LGA: 2010: +5.4 2011: +3.0 2012: +3.0 2013: +3.8 2014: -0.4 2015: +1.8 2016: +3.7 so far: +2.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Up to 87 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 11AM Roundup TEB: 85 NYC: 84 EWR: 88 LGA: 84 JFK: 88 ISP: 86 New Brunswick: 87 BLM: 88 TTN: 85 PHL: 89 AcY: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Gotta go south for severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 88.3 here after a low of 79.3.....90 is almost a guarantee at this point, but that low might not hold. Solid 4 day heat wave. 93.2 / 75.1 95.7 / 77.6 96.2 / 77.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Current temp 89/DP 58/RH 35% The dew point has dropped quite a bit this morning with temps responding faster then yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Gotta go south for severe Is this in any way a shocker!! I'm up in NE PA. Cloudy and not to hot here. I hope we can at least get some strataform rains in the met area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Recent runs of the HRRR are keying in on the idea for heavy flooding rains of 1.5 - 3" for parts of northern/central NJ and NYC. 12z NAM concurs with a bulls eye in the I-78 to I-287 corridor and into Staten Is. Amounts of up to 4 - 5" in some parts of that area. The event would occur this evening and the first part of tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 7 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Recent runs of the HRRR are keying in on the idea for heavy flooding rains of 1.5 - 3" for parts of northern/central NJ and NYC. 12z NAM concurs with a bulls eye in the I-78 to I-287 corridor and into Staten Is. Amounts of up to 4 - 5" in some parts of that area. The event would occur this evening and the first part of tonight. Yeah this seems more likely than anything severe. At the same time the heaviest rain may be isolated. The RGEM takes the focus south of most of the metro area but hits us hard tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 this MCV appears to be on a good trajectory for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: this MCV appears to be on a good trajectory for us 12z NAM is keying in on this feature to impact us this evening. 12z NAM Radar simulation lines up well with current radar trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Central Park 90 EWR 88 (down from a high of 90) LGA/JFK both 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 90 earlier, 88 now at home was boiling hot here at cedar beach before, sea breeze finally kicked in to make it more bearable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2017 Author Share Posted July 22, 2017 37 minutes ago, forkyfork said: this MCV appears to be on a good trajectory for us The Euro tracks the MCV right down I-80 across our area. Has a solid 2"+ event with some gusty winds near the rear inflow jet behind the MCV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 16 minutes ago, bluewave said: The Euro tracks the MCV right down I-80 across our area. Has a solid 2"+ event with some gusty winds near the rear inflow jet behind the MCV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 32 minutes ago, bluewave said: The Euro tracks the MCV right down I-80 across our area. Has a solid 2"+ event with some gusty winds near the rear inflow jet behind the MCV. it's practically a small tropical cyclone. look at that pwat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Current temp 91/DP 67/RH 44% The dew point has steadily climbing back to the upper 60's after falling to 58 during the late morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 No 90 here today as onshore wind held temp to 88 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 2 hours ago, psv88 said: 90 earlier, 88 now at home was boiling hot here at cedar beach before, sea breeze finally kicked in to make it more bearable The fact that there are three or four (or more?) Cedar Beaches in Suffolk County boggles my mind, there's a lot of repetition with the street names as well. Kind of dumb imo. I was at the north shore Cedar Beach the other day, the water felt nice. The sea breeze made it extremely muggy, once it retreated south it was nice and dry. My high today was 90.0 (89.98), the rate the temp was climbing earlier I expected it to go higher, but a 90 is a 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 Holding together quite well https://giphy.com/gifs/l3JDpuaobFkGe2u1W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 2 runs in a row of the HRRR now have most of the rain missing us to the south. Hopefully it's wrong. I've found the HRRR to be unreliable in the last several months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 22, 2017 Share Posted July 22, 2017 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: 2 runs in a row of the HRRR now have most of the rain missing us to the south. Hopefully it's wrong. I've found the HRRR to be unreliable in the last several months. The heaviest is south of Allentown and heading ese. The batch in central PA seems to be aimed at the I80 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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